WNBA MVP 2025 Predictions: Wilson Opens as Favorite But Caitlin Clark Is Not Far Behind

•  A’ja Wilson ran away with the 2024 WNBA MVP trophy, her third in the last five seasons.

• The last five WNBA MVPs now play for the New York Liberty or Las Vegas Aces.

• With her third win, Wilson joins an exclusive club of 3x-winners, Sheryl Swoopes, Lisa Leslie, and Lauren Jackson; no one has ever won four MVP trophies.

As one MVP is crowned and one season ends, the drive and push for the next begins. The 2025 season is months away,  but bettors do not have to wait to put money down on who will win the 2025 WNBA MVP award.

Will A’ja Wilson make history and win her fourth? After the incredible run she had in the postseason, could it be Napheesa Collier’s time? As a two-time winner, it may not be wise to count Breanna Stewart out.  With how well her rookie season went, it would not be shocking to see Caitlin Clark take the next step.

Let’s examine the opening odds for the 2025 WNBA MVP, our analysis of the top candidates, and our picks (favorite, dark horse, longshot).

2025 WNBA MVP Odds

Here are the odds for the top five players listed at BetMGM Sportbook. To place a bet, click on the words ‘Bet Here’ located below the player’s odds. Bettors new to BetMGM can get the bonus with our promo code WSNSPORTS: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*

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WNBA MVP Predictions and Favorites to Win

While the 2023 WNBA MVP race was historically close, the 2024 race was the exact opposite. A’ja Wilson opened as the betting favorite to win, and that never changed, as she went on to win with a unanimous vote. But with the 2024 MVP awarded and a new champion crowned, it is time to turn to the 2025 WNBA season and ask one question:

Who’s next?

As the reigning MVP, Wilson has opened as the favorite, but the competition is not far behind. Caitlin Clark was a popular bet during her rookie season, and it would have been historic had she won since she would have been the second rookie to win MVP (Candace Parker, 2008). Should she continue to progress…

Let's take a look at some of the top candidates heading into the offseason.

A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces, Forward (+185 at BetMGM)

• 2024 Stats: 26.9ppg, 11.9 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.8 spg

• 2024 MVP

• First WNBA player to record 1,000+points in a single season

There was never any doubt about who would win WNBA MVP in 2024. Wilson was an absolute beast, often scoring 25+ points and 10+ rebounds. When she played well, the Aces looked like the best team in the league by far. But if she didn’t, the team looked as mortal as the rest.

Her importance and ability are without question. With the roster expected to return relatively intact, the stage is set for her to run it back and do it again. However, it will be interesting to see how the team plans on dealing with its defensive deficiencies and how Wilson’s role may be impacted.

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Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever, Guard (+250 at BetMGM)

• 2024 Stats: 19.2 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 8.4 apg, 1.3 spg

• 2024 Rookie of the Year

• Broke single-season and single-game assist records during the rookie season; became the first rookie to record a triple-double

All eyes were on her last year, as she was a popular bet for WNBA MVP last season despite it being her rookie year. She struggled to get on track and adjust to the WNBA game early on, but once she gained her footing, she became a force to be reckoned with. For her efforts, she was named Rookie of the Year and came in fourth in the MVP vote.

Now that the rookie learning curve is out of the way, fans will expect even more from her in 2025. If she can deliver, she’ll have a solid shot at winning MVP next season.

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Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty, Forward (+600 at BetMGM)

• 2024 Stats: 20.4 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.7 spg

• 2023 WNBA MVP winner

• 2024 All-WNBA First Team and Defensive First Team

Stewart was one of the best players in the WNBA last season. Now that the Liberty has won a title, there may be a little less urgency to do so again. However, there could also be more due to the controversial finish in Game 5. With the bulk of the roster returning and Stewart leading the way, it would not be shocking to see New York run it back.

If they do and Stewart has a similar season, she will be in the conversation for MVP in 2025.

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Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx, Forward (+650 at BetMGM)

• 2024 Stats: 20.4 ppg, 9.7 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.9 spg

• 2024 Defensive Player of the Year

• 2024 Commissioner’s Cup MVP

Had Wilson not won last season, Napheesa Collier would have probably won as the leader of the surprisingly competitive Minnesota Lynx. She was one of the top-scoring threats in the league (tied for fourth), the league’s third-best rebounder (9.7), and one of the highest-rated defenders.

Such a total package is just the kind of player that can and should compete for WNBA MVP.

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WNBA MVP Winner - My Picks

Favorite - Caitlin Clark (+250 at BetMGM)

Clark was under more scrutiny in her rookie season than probably any other rookie in professional sports last season—and she still played incredibly well and was named Rookie of the Year. Heading into her second season, she’ll be better equipped to handle the challenges that will undoubtedly come her way.

If she can face those challenges head-on and overcome them, she’ll be at the forefront of the MVP conversation in 2025.

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WNBA MVP History 

The WNBA has been naming a regular-season MVP since the league's inaugural season in 1997. Under the current system, the fan vote accounts for 25% of the total vote, while a panel of writers and broadcasters do so for 75%. 

Houston Comets star won the first two MVP awards in '97 and '98. Since then, 15 players have been named league MVP, with eight winning more than once.

Below is a list of WNBA MVP winners.

How to Read WNBA MVP Odds 

Futures odds, like WNBA MVP, consist of at least three numbers preceded by a plus (+) or minus (-). 

Most markets will get listed with a plus sign. However, it is not unheard of for a futures market to have minus odds. The ones that do are considered 'odds on favorites' and have at least a 50% chance of paying out. This usually does not happen until late in the season when a player stands out from the rest of the pack. There are enough talented players in the field that no one is considered an 'odds on favorite' to start the season.

Oftentimes, every market will have plus money odds; the market with the shortest odds is considered the betting favorite. However, at most, they have a 50% chance of winning (+100). 

In a market with plus-money odds, the odds are how much bettors can win if they bet $100. For example, bet on Caitlin Clark to win WNBA MVP at +250, and a $100 wager will result in a $350 payout (your stake plus $250 in winnings).

With minus odds, the odds are what bettors will have to wager to win $100. For example, had you bet on Caitlin Clark to win Rookie of the Year at DraftKings before the season got underway (-700), and you'd need to risk $700 to win $100.

You do not have to bet $100 if you do not want to. If you want to see what you can win with the stake you are willing to bet, check out our odds calculator.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the WNBA MVP

Now that you have some insights into both MVP races, it is time to find a sportsbook to place your bet. You can check out our full sportsbook reviews on our sportsbooks page, but below are some quick comparisons to help you decide.

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