WNBA Championship Odds & Predictions: Liberty Open as Favorite to Win Title in 2025

• The New York Liberty opened as the betting favorites at +175, followed by the runner-up Minnesota Lynx at +340

• Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever opened at +1500

• The expansion team, the Golden State Valkyries, opened with the longest odds at +15000

Congratulations to the New York Liberty on winning the 2024 WNBA Championship. It was an exciting series between two excellent teams. But now comes the fun part of every championship run—speculating as to who will win the title next season.

It was not surprising to see the Liberty open at the top of betting boards. Defending champions often open as the betting favorite for the following year. The Las Vegas Aces had repeated as champs, winning in 2022 and 2023, but the last back-to-back winners had been the LA Sparks in 2001 and 2002.

Does that mean you should bet on them or shouldn’t? It means they are worth considering, but remember that the Minnesota Lynx opened with +5000 odds last summer. Could we see another team rise like them? What about Caitlin Clark and the Fever?

Let’s examine the latest odds for the 2025 WNBA Championship, a best-of-seven series starting with the 2025 WNBA Finals, along with our early predictions.

2025 WNBA Championship Odds

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2025 WNBA Championship Predictions and Favorites to Win

Like the offseason for every other major professional sport in North America, it can be a time of great upheaval and uncertainty. Coaches get fired or let go, front office personnel change, players move on to what they hope will be greener pastures, and this year, teams could lose players via the expansion draft.

Of course, there will be some teams that will not change much at all, believing that they already have a championship roster. But everyone will add someone from the next crop of NCAAW superstars in the 2025 Draft.

Based on what we saw last year and what we could see in the offseason, we expect these teams to beat the forefront of the championship race in 2025:

New York Liberty (+175) at BetMGM

• 2024 Regular Season Record: 32-8

• 2024 WNBA Champions

• Became the last of the original franchises to win a championship

They say the first one is the toughest, and since it took the Liberty six tries to win one, it makes sense. The question now is how long it will take to win No. 2. Much of the roster is already locked up, and Breanna Stewart said she’d sign a one-year deal to remain with the Liberty next season.

With the star players and most of the core coming back, New York can focus on elements they’d like to have rather than needs they must get filled. Perhaps a veteran or two that wants to help make a great team better and win a title? They also have the No. 7 pick in the 2025 Draft. It may contain as much talent as the ‘24 Draft, but they’ll get a quality player.

It’s a unique position to be in, which could certainly lead to another title for the Liberty.

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Minnesota Lynx (+340) at BetMGM

• 2024 Regular Season Record: 30-10

• Runner up to the Liberty in 2023

• Played in a record seventh WNBA Finals last season

They were supposed to be a middle-of-the-road team last season; their opening odds gave them a 1.96% chance of winning the 2024 championship. Some would argue that they didn’t win because of a questionable call by the refs late in the game.  So, if they want to win in 2024, they just need to run it back.

Right?

That appears to be the plan, with the entire core of the roster signed through next season. But they may not need to add anyone to get better. All they need is their 2023 draft pick, Diamond Miller, and 2024 pick, Alisi Pili, to stay healthy and progress in their development.

It’s already a well-rounded team and will be one to beat in 2025.

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Las Vegas Aces (+400) at BetMGM

• 2024 Regular Season Record:27-13

• Fell to Liberty in Semifinals last year; had won previous two WNBA Championships

• Went from 34-6 in 2023 to 27-13 last season with no significant changes to the roster

The Aces have an interesting question to answer during the offseason—what happened? How did they go from being an unstoppable force to be reckoned with to one that struggled on defense and relied heavily on one player, A’ja Wilson, to dominate the other team even though the roster was essentially the same?

After winning back-to-back titles, there is a good chance they suffered from a championship hangover this season. Not having Chelsea Gray for part of the season didn’t help. But she’ll be back and ready to go along with Wilson and Young next season. But Plum is set to be an unrestricted free agent.

In a perfect world, they would want her back, but signing her and filling the roster with quality players may be challenging.

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Connecticut Sun (+700) at BetMGM

• 2024 Regular Season Record: 28-12

• Lost in the Semifinals the last two seasons

• 0-4 record in the WNBA Finals

For a good chunk of the season, the Sun looked like the team to beat. By far, they had the best defense in the league, which made up for their struggles on offense, especially on the perimeter. Trading for Marina Mabrey was supposed to help address that issue, but they went from scoring 79.8 ppg before the break to 80.1 after.

So, if they could just figure out how to generate some more offense without sacrificing their defensive prowess, they’d be in good shape for next season. However, there is no telling what their roster will look like in 2025.

Alyssa Thomas, Brionna Jones, DeWanna Bonner, Tiffany Mitchell, and Astou Ndour-Fall are set to become unrestricted free agents, forcing the team to decide whether to rebuild or resign.

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2025 WNBA Championship Winner - My Pick

Favorite - Minnesota Lynx (+340) at BetMGM

It will probably come down to the Lynx and Liberty again next year, but this time, it will be Minnesota looking to exercise a demon (losing in questionable fashion in Game 5 in 2024). That additional motivation will put them over the edge.

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Dark Horse(s) - Indiana Fever (+1500) at BetMGM

This team looked incredible after the break. The offense was a sight to behold. Caitlin Clark completely lived up to the hype last season and should be even better in 2025. However, to have a chance to win it all, they must do one thing—learn how to play defense.

If they’re going to get past the Lynx, Sun, Storm, or Liberty in the postseason, they must learn how to defend.

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Long Shot(s) - Dallas Wings (+6000) at BetMGM

I am tempted to go with the Sparks here since they’ll get Cameron Brink back and probably the No. 1 pick in the Draft. They’ll have to resign  Satou Saballyand Natasha Howard. Those two, along with  Arike Ogunbowale, will give the Wings one of the best offenses in the league; they were the second-best offense after the break.

They just couldn’t play defense. That will have to change, of course.

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WNBA Championship History 

There have been a few periods of dominance by one team in the 27-year history of the WNBA. It all got started in Houston where the Comets won the title in the league’s first four seasons. The Minnesota Lynx and Seattle Storm are the only other teams to win four titles (not consecutively).

Three teams have won three titles (Detroit, Los Angeles, and Phoenix). The Los Angeles Sparks and Las Vegas Aces are the only teams other than Houston to win back-to-back titles, while three teams have yet to win: the Connecticut Sun, Dallas Wings, and Atlanta Dream.

Here is a list of WNBA Championship winners:

How to Read WNBA Championship Odds 

Odds for the WNBA Championship are listed with three numbers with either a plus or a minus. Teams with minus odds have a better than 50% chance of winning, but you’ll have to risk more to win less. The odds are what you’ll have to bet in order to win $100.

If a team has -400 odds to win, bettors will need to risk $400 to win $100.

Teams with plus money odds have less than a 50% chance to win, but bettors can win more. When a team has plus money odds, the number is what bettors will win if they bet $100. So, if someone were to bet $100 on the Fever at +2500, they’d win $2600 (their stake plus $2500 in winnings).

You do not have to bet $100 if you do not want to. If you want to see what you can win with the stake you are willing to bet, check out our odds calculator.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the WNBA Championship

Next to choosing a team to bet on, the hardest decision bettors often face is which sportsbook to bet with—and there can be more to the decision than whoever has the best odds. For more on specific sportsbooks, bettors can check out our full sportsbook reviews.

To help you decide, here is a quick side-by-side look at three of the top sportsbooks, according to our reviews: