Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty Prediction & Props: Liberty to Crush Wings for Second Time in Three Days

The New York Liberty will look to extend their win streak to eight when they face the Dallas Wings tonight. It will be the second home game in a row vs. the Wings, and like the first (Aug. 20), New York is a heavy favorite to win, according to the latest WNBA betting lines at FanDuel.

With a win, the Liberty will improve to 25-4 and need to win eight of their final 11 games to set a new franchise record for wins in a single season. New York and Dallas will play two-in-a-row in Arlington next month.

Wings vs. Liberty Betting Odds for Thursday, August 22

New York has continued to play well since returning from the break, notching double-digit wins over the Aces in Las Vegas and the Wings at home. They covered the spread in both games (-3.5 vs. Aces, -9.5 vs. Wings). The OVER went 0-2, and is 14-14 for the Liberty this season.

Dallas went into the break on a high with a win over Indiana but has dropped its first two since play resumed, 109-91 to the Sun and a 20-point loss to the Liberty, 94-74. After losing both against the spread as well as outright, they have the worst ATS record in the league at 8-19.

The following odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and get $200 in Bonus Bets.

Wings vs. Liberty Prediction

Dallas may be one of the worst teams in the league this season, and the Liberty one of the best, but the Wings hold the lead over New York in their all-time series, 33-28. They've been relatively competitive in recent years, with the Liberty winning four of the last five outright and three of those games ATS.

The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings and 7-3 in the last ten.

Dallas Wings

It has been a rough all-around season for Dallas. They've struggled at home, winning just four of 12 games. But it has been even worse on the road where they are 2-13.

But in the two games since the break, they have had one of the better offenses with 82.5 ppg, tied for fifth. Satou Sabally has injected some life into the offense with 23 ppg. Arike Ogunbowale has chipped in 19 ppg, giving the Wings one of the top tandems in the league since the break.

The defense, however, has been lacking, allowing 101 ppg in their last two (dead last), more than ten points over their season average of 90.6 ppg (also dead last).

However, it is worth pointing out that two of their last three wins have come against teams in line to make the playoffs, the Fever and Lynx. But with their defense, they'll need Sabally, Ogunbowale, and the rest of the starting five to have career games against the WNBA's best defense.

New York Liberty

New York has been practically unstoppable this season when they play at the Barclays Center (13-1). They score 87.8 points per game at home (second-best behind Phoenix, 88.3) and hold teams to 77.1 (fourth-best).

However, there is a chance they could be without their leading scorer for the game, Sabrina Ionescu. She missed the previous game against Dallas with a neck injury. She was a game-time decision before that one but wasn't ruled out until a half hour before the scheduled start time.

She is once again listed as a GTD (game-time decision). The injury report lists her estimated return date as August 22, but since they already have a playoff spot locked up and a 3.5-game lead over the No. 2 Connecticut Sun, it would not be shocking if they gave her another night off.

While the team and fans would undoubtedly love to see her on the court, they fared just fine in Tuesday's game against the Wings (94-74).  

Wings vs. Liberty Pick

My Pick: Liberty -13.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

If New York were to sit Ionescu, Breanna Stewart, and Jonquel Jones, Dallas may have a slim shot at a moral victory. The Liberty would likely still win but may not cover the spread. But with at least two of those three players in the game, New York easily wins this one.

Outright and against the spread.

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Player Props & Best Bets for Wings vs. Liberty

Breanna Stewart, O/U 23.5 Points at -110/-118 via FanDuel

• O/U 1.5 Made Threes at +108/-144 via FanDuel

With Ionescu out of the lineup, the offense will flow through Stewart. That was evident in Tuesday's game when she attempted 22 shots, the most she has shot in a single game since June 4 vs. Chicago (25 shot attempts).

If she takes that many shots once again, she'll either make enough to go over the total or will do so with some help from the free throw line. Either way, we're taking the OVER. However, if Ionescu ends up playing, we'd lean towards the UNDER.

As for her three-pointers, she hit three in three of her last four games (including the All-Star game). However, outside of the All-Star game, she did not make a three-pointer in July (0-14 across four games). But since teams are hitting 35.3% vs. Dallas, we think Stewart will hit two in this game.

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Jonquel Jones, O/U 14.5 Points at -125/-104 via FanDuel

• O/U 9.5 Rebounds at -130/-102 via FanDuel

New York's offense clicks as well as it does because they always have two dynamic scoring threats (Stewart and Ionescu), forcing opposing defenses to spread out. If one doesn't play, like in Tuesday's game, Jones can step up into that No.2 role.

She scored 23 and pulled down 12 rebounds in Tuesday's game and will have a similar night if Ionescu is out again. Take the OVER for both markets. But if Ionescu does play, take the UNDER for the points but stick with the OVER with her rebounds total.

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Satou Sabally, O/U 19.5 Points at -104/-125 via FanDuel

• O/U 1.5 Made Threes at -182/+136 via FanDuel

While our sample size is small, she has shown she is not afraid to take shots against the best defenses in the WNBA. Sabally has scored 20 and 24 in the two games Dallas has played since the break and was the second in scoring at the Olympics with 18.8 points per game.

Since Tuesday's game, New York may have devised a plan to slow her down, but until someone stops her, we're taking the OVER for her point total.

She has done most of her damage from behind the arc, going 3-6 vs. the Sun and 5-8 in Tuesday's loss to the Liberty. She will take her shots from three-point range and can hit them. But will New York defend accordingly this time?

Even if they do, we are confident she'll still hit two.

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How to Watch Wings vs. Liberty

• Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York

• Game Time & Date: 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, August 22

• Coverage: Prime Video