Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever Prediction: Can Fever Win Fourth in a Row at Home?

After a 1-8 start to the season, the future did not look promising for Indiana. But with a win over the Sun tonight, they can get within a game of .500 for the first time since they were 1-2. The betting line at FanDuel favors Connecticut, but the Fever has become tough to beat at home. 

Once they got past their early-season struggles, the Fever have been one of the better home teams in the league. After losing their first four home games, Indiana has become one of the tougher home teams in the league, winning eight of their last nine at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Sun vs. Fever Betting Odds for Wednesday, August 28

Since the break, the Fever have had the second-best offense in the league, with 88.5 points per game. But the same issue that has plagued them all season still does—defense. While the offense is clicking, the defense is not, allowing 83.3 points per game (tenth best). 

However, it is better than their season average (86.7, second to last).

The Sun stumbled out of the gate after the break with a loss to the Dream in Atlanta. But they have bounced back to win three in a row, including a 12-point win over the Liberty in New York, the Liberty’s second home loss of the season.

Here’s the betting line for tonight’s Sun vs. Fever game with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your WNBA bets at FanDuel and claim $200 in bonus bets after wagering $5.

Sun vs. Fever Preview

The Sun has dominated the Fever this year, winning all three previous matchups. But two of those wins came early in the season when Indiana was still trying to figure out who they would be as a team. By the third game (June 10), the Fever had yet to figure too much out, falling 89-72 on the road.

Indiana is 1-2 against the spread in those games, and the OVER is 2-1. Like this season, the Sun has dominated the all-time series vs. Indiana, winning 52 of 81 games. The Fever last beat Connecticut at home in Indianapolis during the 2021 season, 73-67 on July 3.

Find the best prop bets for the Sun vs. Fever game in our daily selection of WNBA Player Props and Best Bets.

Sun Preview

They are averaging 79.9 points per game for the season, the eighth-best in the league. That sort of scoring output will not win many games, but it will when you consider they are giving up just 73.4 (the best in the league).

If the trade for Marina Mabrey was supposed to give the offense a boost—technically, it has. Since play resumed following the break, the Sun has averaged 80.4 points per game. It's a slight improvement, but an improvement, nonetheless.

Mabrey's contribution has ranged from five points (vs. Sparks, Aug. 20) to 24 points (vs. Sky, Aug. 23).

However, their defense has slipped a little. Since the break, they've allowed opponents to average 75.6 points per game. But despite the additional points, the only metric that has changed significantly is opponents' rebounds. 

Before the break, the Sun was the stingiest team in the league, giving up 32.3 rebounds per game. Since the break, opponents have been pulling down 39.6.

Claim $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Fever Preview

Indiana's offense has been steadily improving all season, scoring 79.1 points per game in May, 82.6 in June, and 84.2 in July. But it has taken an even bigger leap since the end of the break, averaging 88.5 points per game, good for second-best in the league.

How have they improved? What's the most significant difference? Since the break, they have taken more shots than every other team (74.8 per game) and made the fourth-highest percentage of their shots (44.1%). 

However, the most significant difference is their three-point shooting.

Before the break, they averaged 25.8 attempts per game and made 8.7. Since the break, they have attempted 30.8 (the most in the league) and made 11.5 per game (the most). Rebounding has improved as well, going from 35.3 per game to 41.3.

But to beat the Sun, the Fever may need to find something else to excel at besides three-pointers. Opponents have been making 6.1 three-pointers per game (30.4% this season and just 5.4 and 27% since the break).

Join FanDuel and Get $200 in Bonus Bets

Sun vs. Fever Pick

• My Pick: OVER 163.5 (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

This contest is going to be a very good game, one that could go either way. Don't be shocked if it comes down to whoever can make the clutch shot to win in the game's final moments. Right now—we are leaning towards Indiana in that regard.

However, from a betting perspective, we are confident this will not be a high-scoring game—but it will be high enough. Take the OVER.

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

How to Watch Sun vs. Fever

• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

• Game Time & Date: 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, August 28

• Coverage: NBA TV