Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever Prediction: Can the Fever Make it Six in a Row?

The Indiana Fever have won five in a row and seven of their last eight, with the only loss coming against the Minnesota Lynx. They will have to beat that same Minnesota team to extend their streak to six consecutive wins. At least this time, they play in front of a friendly home crowd at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday night.

The Lynx opened as 2.5-point road favorites, but the spread quickly dropped to -2 at several sportsbooks. Indiana has not lost at home since falling to the Mystics on July 10, 89-84.

Lynx vs. Fever Betting Odds for Friday, September 6

After winning five in a row, fans of the Fever are on Cloud 9. The team is in the playoffs, so fans may now wonder if their team can get the job done against one of the better teams in a playoff series. It is one thing to beat a good team, take a couple of nights off, then face a lesser one.

But can they defeat one and then turn around a day later and do it again?

We'll have to wait to find out, but tonight's game could be a first-round preview. If the playoffs were to get underway tonight, the Lynx, as the No. 3 seed, would face the No. 6 seed, Indiana. Both teams have won a game in the season series, both in Minnesota.

Let's check out the betting line for the Lynx vs. Fever game with odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and claim $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager.

Lynx vs. Fever Preview

Minnesota and Indiana have split their season series. However, the Lynx have been the dominant team throughout the all-time series, winning 38 of 60 matchups. But the Fever have won three of the last four and six of the previous ten. The Lynx last won in Indianapolis during the 2022 season (July 15, 87-77).

The OVER is 4-6 in the last ten Fever-Lynx games.

Minnesota Lynx Preview

• 24-9 SU, 20-12-1 ATS

• OVER: 12-19-2

• On the road: 9-6 SU, 11-4 ATS

The last time the Lynx faced off with Caitlin Clark and the Fever, they locked up a spot in the playoffs with a 90-80 win over Indiana. Napheesa Collier led the way with 31 points, followed by Kayla McBride with 19 and Bridget Carleton with 16.  

Their defense held the Fever to 43.4% from the floor and just 24.1% from three-point range (7-29). Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark were a combined 5-18 but have been averaging a shade under eight threes per game since the break.

Getting the win against the Fever tonight will likely be contingent on how well Minnesota can defend the perimeter. Just under 37% of Indiana's points have come from behind the arc since the break (Aug. 14-Sept. 5), the best in the league. In that same timeframe, the Lynx have held opponents to 28.4% from behind the arc.

Of course, when push comes to shove, Minnesota could try to simply outscore the Fever. Indiana has struggled on the defensive end of the court throughout the season. The Fever have allowed 84.1 points per game since the break (ninth), a slight improvement over their season-long average of 86.5 (eleventh).

The Lynx has averaged 87.1 ppg since the break.

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Indiana Fever Preview

• 18-16 SU, 20-14 ATS

• OVER: 22-12

• At Home: 10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS

"If you can't stop 'em, outscore 'em" has been the unofficial motto of the Indiana Fever since the break. Their defense has been one of the worst in the league all season. It's been a little better since the break, but the trick to their newfound success is simple - offense.

Since play resumed following the Olympics, they've averaged a league-best 91.4 points per game. As of Sept. 5, their scoring differential is +7.3, third best next to the Liberty (+11) and Lynx (7.6).

How has their offensive production picked up so much? Easy - they have become the best three-point shooting team in the league. Before the break they were hitting 33% of their threes, good for seventh best in the league, and making 8.3 (sixth best).

Since play resumed, they have made a league-best 11.3 per game and are hitting 39.8% of their attempts.

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Lynx vs. Fever Pick

• My Pick: Indiana Fever (+118) via FanDuel Sportsbook

The outcome of the game will hinge on Napheesa Collier. Collier had 30, 23, 27, and 31 points in four of the first five games after the break. They scored 90+ points in three of those four, including their win over the Fever (Collier had 31 points).

Indiana's defense will not stop her. So, the offense will have to get out to an early lead and hopefully force Minnesota to shoot more from the perimeter to keep up. Collier doesn't average one made three per game. It will not be easy, but the Fever can do it.

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How to Watch Lynx vs. Fever

• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

• Game Time & Date: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

• Coverage: ION