With a win over the Chicago Sky tonight, the Indiana Fever will have a .500 record (16-16) for the first time this season. Despite their road woes (6-11), they opened as 5.5-point favorites over the Sky. However, Indiana has not been a great road team this season.
Chicago is holding onto the eighth seed in the playoffs; they have a one-game lead over the Atlanta Dream. But with their struggles at home and how well Indiana is playing, that lead could soon disappear.
The Fever faced a big test Wednesday night against the Connecticut Sun, one of the league's top three teams. They had won three of their last four but didn't beat anyone noteworthy. Their one loss came against the Minnesota Lynx, one of the three teams with single-digit losses.
Are they becoming a good, solid team, or are they just beating up on the lesser teams in the league? It may be too soon to call them contenders, but with an 84-80 win over the Sun, they are trending in the right direction.
As for the Sky, the struggle has been real since the break. They have gone 1-4 since play resumed and take a four-game losing streak into tonight's contest. Let's check out the betting line for the Fever vs. Sky game with odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and claim $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Indiana Fever | -5.5 (-110) | -245 | O 165.5 (-112) |
Chicago Sky | +5.5 (-110) | +194 | U 165.5 (-108) |
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Chicago won the last meeting against the Fever, 88-87, on June 23. But the Fever lead the season series, 2-1 straight up (SU) and 3-0 against the spread vs. the Sky this year. Indiana also holds a substantial lead in the all-time series (55-34). However, Chicago has won six of the last ten.
The OVER is 2-1 this season and 8-2 in the last ten matchups.
15-16 SU, 18-13 ATS
OVER: 19-12
On the Road: 6-11 SU, 8-9 ATS
The Fever’s offensive production has been trending upward all season; with 84 points Wednesday night against the Sun, they have averaged 87.6 points per game since the break (over five games; third best). However, their defense, which has been lacking all year, has also improved.
But the change has not been as significant.
After giving up 80 to the Sun, the Fever have allowed an average of 82.6 points per game (ninth) since the break. Take away the 90 points Minnesota put up on them on the one loss, and they are giving up just over 80 points per game.
Chicago isn’t exactly an offensive powerhouse, averaging 78.3 points per game (eleventh). But the Sky has some solid scoring threats in Angel Reese Marina Mabrey. Chennedy Carter leads the team in scoring but may still be out due to an illness that forced her to miss Wednesday’s game vs. the Mystics.
However, Sky head coach Teresa Witherspoon has said she expects Carter to be just fine.
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11-19 SU, 13-16 ATS
OVER: 15-14
At Home: 4-11 SU, 6-9 ATS
With a win over the Aces in Vegas heading into the break, things were looking up for the Sky. At 10-14, they were four games away from a .500 record, but they would be in the playoffs had they started. If the break gives the team a chance at a reset, they could return and secure their postseason position with some timely victories.
Instead, they won their first game back but lost the next four. Their lead over the ninth seed, Atlanta, has shrunk to a single game.
So, what’s been the problem?
While the defense needs improvement, it has performed roughly the same throughout the season, averaging about 81 points allowed per game. Their offense, on the other hand, is another story. Heading into the break, it was producing 79.3 points per game. But since play resumed, it has struggled, producing just 74.7 ppg (the worst in the league).
It is hard to win without offense. However, since the Fever defense is still taking it easy on opposing offenses (82.6 points allowed per game since the break), the Chicago offense could get enough of a boost to give the Fever a good fight.
Read our daily WNBA Player Props and Best Bets for more insights into this matchup.
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With how both teams are playing right now, it should be a relatively easy game for the Fever. They are trending up while Chicago is in a nosedive. But the Sky has been competitive with the Fever. Perhaps another over-hyped Angel Reese vs. Caitlin Clark show is just what they need to get on track.
Don’t count on it.
Indiana will win this game, but we are not sure whether they’ll cover the spread. Two of their three previous matchups were decided by a point. Because of that, and since the Chicago offense is playing so poorly these days, we are leaning toward taking the UNDER.
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Location: Wintrust Arena in Chicago, IL
Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, August 30
Coverage: ION
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