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WNBA Player Props and Best Bets for WNBA Semifinals Game 3 Friday, October 4

Written by: Travis Pulver
Published October 4, 2024
5 min read

The WNBA postseason continues tonight with Game 3 of the semifinals, starting with the Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun, followed by the New York Liberty going for the sweep of the Las Vegas Aces. Bettors can find the latest lines on both games and a healthy menu of WNBA player props at online sportsbooks.

Here are some of our favorite props from each game.

The following odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up at FanDuel and claim your bonus: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets.

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Best WNBA Prop Bets 2024 10 04

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

  • Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

  • Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 4

  • Coverage: ESPN2

Marina Mabrey, O/U 15.5 Points at -122/-106 at FanDuel

  • O/U 2.5 Made Threes at -146/+110 at FanDuel

Mabrey has become more of a scoring threat for the Sun with each game she plays. Scoring 15 and making just two three-pointers in the loss to the Lynx in Game 2 were postseason lows for her. But with a chance to close out the series in Connecticut, we expect Mabrey and the Suns' other stars to have big nights.

Take the OVER for both of the above markets.

Alyssa Thomas, O/U 14.5 Points at -114/-114 at FanDuel

  • O/U 9.5 Rebounds at -112/-118 at FanDuel

  • To Record a Double Double at -170 at FanDuel

During the regular season, Thomas' scoring was erratic and hard to count on from one night to the next. But that has not been the case in the playoffs, where she has scored 12, 19, 17, and 18. With the series at home and a chance to end it at the Mohegan Sun, we expect to see her busy on the scoreboard once again.

She's been good for ten rebounds in three of four playoff games. We expect her to crash the boards even harder in Game 3. Take the OVER for both, which would also mean she'll record a double-double.

Napheesa Collier, O/U 19.5 Points at -122/-106 at FanDuel

One of the better scoring threats in the league, Collier averaged 20.4 points per game during the regular season. But when she blew up against the Mercury for 38 and 42 points, bettors everywhere probably couldn't bet on the OVER in Game 1 of the semis fast enough. With someone like Collier bringing her 'A' game, the OVER was as good as done—until it wasn't.

What a difference a defense makes! Phoenix didn't have one, but Connecticut has one of the best. Hence, Collier scored 19 in Game 1 of the semis and just nine in Game 2. She's too good to be held to single digits in two consecutive playoff games. But don't bank on her clearing 20. Take the UNDER. 

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces

  • Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. NV

  • Game Time & Date: 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 4

  • Coverage: ESPN2

Breanna Stewart, O/U 20.5 Points at -118/-110 at FanDuel

The challenge for this game is deciding how to factor in New York's desire to close out the series versus the Aces' desire not to get eliminated.

We expect a better game from the Aces tonight, but Vegas has yet to really bring its 'A' game since the postseason began. Against Seattle, they didn't necessarily need it, but against the Liberty, they do. But New York will not sit back and wait for the championship-caliber version of the Aces team to wake up.

No, they're going to go for the jugular instead.

Stewart has done some of her best work in big games. Next to playing in the Finals, it doesn't get much bigger than having the other team facing elimination in the semifinals. We're leaning towards taking the OVER.

Sabrina Ionescu, O/U 19.5 Points at +102/-132 at FanDuel

  • O/U 3.5 Made Threes at +132/-178 at FanDuel

Ionescu has been a scoring machine in the postseason, with 36, 21, and 24 points in her last three games. While she averaged 17.3 points per game against the Aces during the regular season, we think she will smell blood in the water for this game because win and it's back to the Finals.

Both she and Stewart will be aggressive in this game, eager to nail the coffin shut on the defending champs. Ionescu hit three three-pointers in Games 1 and 2 vs. the Aces. But she hit five in Game 2 vs. the Dream. She hit 4+ in just two of the last seven regular season games.

Asking for four three-pointers is a lot, but the +132 odds have us leaning that way rather than the UNDER (-178). If you bet on the OVER for this market, you might as well take the OVER for her point total. If she hits 4+ threes, she'll score 20+ points. Take the OVER for both.

A'ja Wilson, O/U 23.5 Points at -118/-110 at FanDuel

  • O/U 9.5 Rebounds at -144/+108 at FanDuel

The league's MVP has not been as productive in the postseason as she was during the regular season. In four postseason games, she has scored 21, 24, 21, and 24 points, well below her regular season average of 26.9. Her rebounding has been way off, too (8, 13, 6, and 7).

With the team facing elimination, we expect to see more of a sense of urgency from Wilson. New York has defended her well, but Wilson will find a way to put some points on the scoreboard. As for her rebound numbers, we are not as confident she'll turn them around against a tough New York team.

We are leaning toward the OVER for her point total and the UNDER for her rebound total.

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Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver

Sports Betting Analyst

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Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, Pulver's love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.
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