The WNBA season goes into the All-Star/Olympics break with a pair of games today: Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx at 1 p.m. ET and the Indiana Fever and Dallas Wings at 7 p.m. ET. Bettors can find the odds for both games along with a robust menu of WNBA player props at online sportsbooks.
But should you bet on one of the Alisha Gray props? Or one featuring Tina Charles, Kayla McBride, Caitlin Clark, or Aaliyah Boston? We’ll address those questions and more as we review our favorite WNBA player props for Wednesday, July 17.
Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN
Game Time & Date: 1 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 17
Coverage: WNBA League Pass
Point Spread: Lynx -7.5 (bet365)
Minnesota has not been playing well without Napheesa Collier in the lineup, but in the last five games, they have still managed to play solid defense (76.8 ppg allowed, fourth best). Gray leads the Wings in scoring with 15.9 ppg and scored 19+ in four consecutive games to start the month.
But in the last two games, she’s come back down to Earth a little against teams with a decent defense. On a bad day, the Lynx still has a solid defense; she will not score more than 16 points in this game.
Bet on Dream vs Lynx Props at bet365
Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX
Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 17
Coverage: ESPN
Point Spread: Fever -4 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
To Record 10+/12+ Assists -120/+240
To Record a Double Double at -145
Clark has made 4+ threes once in her last five games and just three times in her last seven. But the Dallas Wings have the worst defense in the league (89.6 ppg allowed). Opponents make 46.8% of their shots (a league-worst) and 35.5% of their three-pointers (tenth-best).
They are also giving up 41.3 ppg in the paint, which means 48.3 ppg are coming off jump shots of five feet or more. Teams have been taking more shots from 20+ feet (22.9 per game) than 5-19 feet (20.4 per game) and making as many shots in each range, roughly eight.
This information tells us that the Fever will probably have Clark shoot away from behind the arc in this game. If she does, we like her chances of having a big day.
Caitlin Clark was a great ball distributor in college and is now doing so at a high level in the WNBA (7.8 per game). She only had six against a tough Minnesota defense in her last game but had 10+ in six of her last seven games (not including vs. Lynx). In those six, she had 12+ in five.
Dallas allows more assists to opponents than anyone else in the league (22.8 per game).
As for the double-double prop, Clark missed out on recording her seventh consecutive double-double against the Lynx on Sunday. But she had one in six of her last eight games. There is no reason to think the Wings' defense can contain her well enough to stop her from getting one tonight.
OVER 2.5 Made Threes at -122
While Caitlin Clark gets all the attention, Kelsey Mitchell, who led the team in scoring last season, has quietly led the team in scoring again this year with 17.1 ppg; so far, she has averaged over 20 ppg in July (five games).
What makes the OVER on her point total and made threes is the same thing that makes Clark’s props appealing: the Dallas defense. They give up most of their points in the paint and beyond 20.’ So, their weaknesses open the door for Mitchell to go over her totals just like they do for Clark.
Since the two are somewhat tied together, the odds when you combine them into a same-game parlay are +122.
OVER 9.5 Rebounds at -118
Boston has failed to score in double-digits four times this season and once in her last ten games. She’s averaging 13.7 ppg, and when the offense is playing well, and the team is competitive, it’s because she’s doing her part and putting some points on the scoreboard.
We like the value on her ‘to record a double-double’ prop at +100. So, if you believe she will record her third double-double in a row, you might as well bet on the OVER for her rebound total (which is 9.5). She’s averaging over ten a game this month and has had 10+ in three of five games.
Ogunbowale is third in the WNBA in scoring with 22.2 ppg, but she has been struggling with her shot in the last few games. She has recorded 22+ points in just one game this month (out of six). As primarily a scorer, her rebounding numbers tend to be relatively low (she averages 4.7 per game).
While she did have a 13-assist game last Wednesday vs. Phoenix, she averages 5.1 per game.
Despite playing a weak defense like Indiana’s, we don’t think she’ll score more than 20 points. As for her rebounding and assists numbers, it’s more likely she matches her averages than has a big day.
If she does score 22+ points, there is still a solid chance this combo finishes under the total.
For more betting insights, read our full Fever vs Wings game preview and prediction.
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