WNBA Player Props and Best Bets for Friday, July 12

WNBA fans can usher in the weekend with three games featuring some of the league’s most exciting teams and players tonight. It’s a lineup bettors will find intriguing, whether they want to put money down on traditional betting lines or one of the many WNBA player props sportsbooks offer.

Will A’ja Wilson have another big night for the Aces? Can Caitlin Clark keep the good times rolling for Fever fans? Can Minnesota slow down Seattle’s Jewel Loyd? We’ll address those questions and more as we review our favorite WNBA player props and best bets for Friday, July 12.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream

• Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA.

• Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, July 12

• Coverage: ION

• Point Spread: Aces -13 (odds via bet365)

A’ja Wilson, OVER 26.5 Points at -105 via bet365

Just the thought of betting the UNDER for a Wilson points total feels wrong. She is human, of course, and has had games where she finished under her listed point total. In fact, the OVER for her point total is 6-4 over her last ten games.

Of the 21 games the Aces have played this season, Wilson has scored 26.5+ points in 13 and over 30 in six. She has done so against many lesser teams and some of the elite. Against the Dream in Atlanta on May 31, she scored 28.

Kelsey Plum, OVER 3.5 Made Threes at +170 via bet365

Asking for at least four three-pointers may seem a bit much, but Plum has hit 4+ in three of her last five games. However, she has only done so twice over the remainder of the year. But the Dream is allowing 8.3 made threes per game (seventh best) and is allowing them to make 35.4% (tenth best).

Teams are making 8.8 per game against the Dream in Atlanta (tenth best).  At plus-money odds, this prop has a lot of value.

Alisha Gray, OVER 17.5 Points at -120 via bet365

Gray is the leading scorer for the Dream with 16.5 ppg, but she has been performing at a much higher clip in recent games. With 20 points against the Sky on Wednesday, she’s had 17.5+ in her last five games and in seven of her last eight.

Against an Aces defense in Las Vegas on May 31, she recorded 24 points. 

Bet on Aces vs Dream Props at bet365

Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever

• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.

• Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, July 12

• Coverage: ION

• Point Spread: Mercury -2.5 (odds via bet365)

Caitlin Clark, UNDER 19.5 Points at -130 via bet365

• OVER 3.5 Made Threes at +130 via bet365

For a player averaging 16.7 ppg, asking her to score 20+ may be risky. When you consider that she’s done so in just two of her last ten games,  a red flag should go off in the head of anyone thinking about betting on this market.  

While she is playing better, Clark does not score 20 points per game very often.

As for how many threes she’ll make, Clark has been coming on strong in several facets of her game lately. However, she has made 3.5+ three-pointers in three of his last seven games. While that may make it look like the UNDER is the way to go, it shows that she is improving.

She only made two of ten in her one game vs. the Mercury (in Phoenix on June 30). But the Mercury give up nine three-pointers a game to teams (last).

Kahleah Copper, OVER 24.5 Points at -105 via bet365

Copper is one of the more prolific scoring threats in the league, and she’s facing a team that has struggled on defense all season. However, when the Mercury played the Fever in Indianapolis on June 30, she only scored seven points. Since then, she has scored 21, 34, 25, and 32 points.

Given how both teams struggle on defense, this game will probably turn into a good old-fashioned shootout.

For more insights, read our full game preview and prediction for the Mercury vs Fever game.

Bet on Mercury vs Fever Props at bet365

Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm

• Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

• Game Time & Date: 10 p.m. ET on Friday, July 12

• Coverage: ION

• Point Spread: Storm -6 (odds via FanDuel)

Jewel Loyd, UNDER 20.5 Points at -130 via FanDuel

Loyd has been turning it up of late, with 20+ points in five of her last six games (21.5+ in four). She already had ten, 20, and 25 points in three games vs. Minnesota this season. But to be fair, two of those games were the first two of the season when players and teams were working out all the kinks. 

While she has been scoring well in recent games, the Lynx are playing excellent lockdown defense. In their last five games, they’ve held opponents to 70 ppg (best in the league). Only two opponents in those games scored 20+ points.

Alanna Smith, UNDER 10.5 Points at -118 via FanDuel

Smith is averaging 11.5 ppg this season but has scored over ten in one of her last four games and five of her last ten. Against Seattle, she has recorded 22, 16, and seven points. With Napheesa Collier still out, she may see the ball more, increasing the likelihood of her going over her total.

But we see Seattle’s tough defense limiting her touches/open looks and making her work for the few points she scores.

Bet on Lynx vs Storm Props at FanDuel