The Minnesota Lynx will take on the New York Liberty on Tuesday night in the 2024 edition of the Commissioner's Cup Championship. Online sportsbooks will offer bettors a healthy menu of WNBA player props along with the traditional betting line for this marquee matchup.
When these two teams met back in May, Napheesa Collier and Alanna Smith were two of four Minnesota players to score in double figures (15 ppg each). Collier also had 12 rebounds, and Kayle McBride hit four three-pointers.
Breanna Stewart led New York with 20 points and 11 rebounds in a losing effort.
Let's review some of our favorite WNBA player props for Tuesday's Lynx vs. Liberty Commissioner's Cup Championship game.
The following odds are taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel and claim $150 in bonus bets when wagering $5.
Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York
Game Time & Date: 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, June 25
Coverage: Prime Video
Point Spread: Liberty -5.5
It is really tempting to go for the OVER on this one since it has plus-money odds, and Collier has averaged 20.9 ppg this season. However, the Liberty has a solid defense that will not be easy to score against. This game feels like one that will see several players score in double figures for the Lynx.
But no one will score over 20 points.
Bet on Napheese Collier Props at FanDuel
UNDER 14.5 Points at -102
McBride can be lights out from behind the three-point line if she gets hot, as she did against Seattle (6/9) and Phoenix (6/7) when she went 7-10 and 8-13. But she has had Under 2.5 in eight of 16 games this season and in five of nine this month.
But with the odds set at -178 for the OVER and +13 for the Under, the UNDER has more value.
If she doesn't hit more than a pair of threes, she is more likely to finish under 14.5 points than over. In the eight games where she made two three-pointers or less, she finished with fewer than 14.5 points in seven.
Bet on Kayla McBride Props at FanDuel
Williams averages 10.4 points a game, but she has scored 11+ points in just three of nine games in June. She is not the first, second, or even third scoring option for the Lynx. Against a tough New York defense, the Lynx will focus more on getting Collier, McBride, and Smith the ball.
Williams will probably have to create most of her shots.
Bet on Courtney Williams Props at FanDuel
Stewart is a good rebounder, averaging 8.6 per game this season. She had 11 against Minnesota earlier in the season. But she has not had 10 in her last four games and did in three of ten games this month. Minnesota is a solid rebounding team and will not make it easy for her.
Stewart will likely still have a good night on the boards, just not good enough to go OVER the total.
Bet on Breanna Stewart Props at FanDuel
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To Record 4+ Made Threes at +205
Ionescu is averaging 2.9 made three-pointers per game this season and has had at least three in nine of 18 games, including her last four. Minnesota's defense has been stingy on the perimeter (27.1% allowed). She made two of her six attempts against the Lynx earlier in the year.
However, Ionescu has had a hot hand from behind the arc of late. She's hit 4+ in her last four games, in five of ten this month. If you are feeling cautious, go with the OVER at -138.
But there is a lot of value in Ionescu hitting 4+ at +205.
Bet on Sabrina Ionescu Props at FanDuel
Jones is averaging 8.8 rebounds per game this season. She had 11 and 13 in her last two games but 9+ in just four of ten games this month. Her results were similar in May when she had 9+ in three of eight games. She had six in 28 minutes against the Lynx in May.
That may make it sound like the UNDER is the better play here. But we expect Minnesota to be more concerned about slowing Breanna Stewart down, leaving Jones open to dominate the boards for New York.
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