Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings Prediction & Props: Don't Count on Another Miracle Finish for Dallas

The Las Vegas Aces will look to get a new win streak going with a victory over the Wings in Dallas tonight. As could be expected, the betting odds for the game at online sportsbooks like FanDuel list the Aces as substantial favorites.

This contest will be the third meeting between these teams this season; Vegas won the previous two. However, Dallas enters the game red hot after overcoming a 19-point deficit in the fourth quarter to steal a win over the Los Angeles Sparks. 

But overcoming a deficit to the Aces will not be nearly as easy.

Aces vs. Wings Betting Odds for Tuesday, August 27

With their next loss, Vegas will have doubled last year’s losses. While the win over the Chicago Sky stopped a two-game losing streak, the Liberty had actually lost four of their last five (including one to the Sky).

Beating a struggling team like the Sparks is not something to brag about. But how the Wings won certainly is. LA held a 92-73 advantage when the fourth period began, but the Dallas offense caught fire, outscoring the Sparks 40-18 in the final period to secure a 113-110 victory.

Could we see another high-scoring game like that one?  The answer is yes if the final score goes OVER the total listed in the betting line.

The odds for Aces vs. Wings are taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and claim $200 in Bonus Bets when wagering $5.

Aces vs. Wings Preview

The struggle has been real for the Aces this season. While the offense has been top-notch, the defense has been lacking, leading to 11 losses after recording just six last year. But none of those losses have come against the Wings.

Vegas was favored in both, of course (-9.5 on June 6; -15.5 on July 7) and covered. The OVER went 2-0.

The Aces are ahead in the all-time series vs. Wings, 43-35. They’ve won the last seven and eight of the last ten. Dallas last beat Vegas at home during the 2023 season (July 7, 80-78). The OVER is 5-5 in the previous ten games between them.

Aces Preview

• 18-11 SU, 10-19 ATS

• OVER: 14-15

• 9-4 SU, 5-8 ATS on the road

The Aces got a beautiful last-second play from A’ja Wilson to secure a much-needed win vs. the Chicago Sky Sunday, 77-75. It was a standard A’ja Wilson type of play and one of the many reasons she’s the MVP frontrunner, but they shouldn’t have needed the last-second heroics.

But when you are a team that wins with offense and shoots a dismal 38.% from the floor (25% from three-point range), it’s hard to win games. While her game-winning shot was beautiful, Wilson struggled hard from the floor, missing 20 of 28 shots, a career-high.

Wilson has had some of her better games of the season against the Wings. In the June 5 game in Dallas, she scored 36 points (15-22 from the floor) and pulled down 12 rebounds. As for the July 7 game, she recorded 28 points and 10 rebounds.

Las Vegas will likely hope that Wilson can have a similar game, one that can keep the Aces from losing a game they should easily win.  

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Wings Preview

• 7-22 SU, 9-20 ATS

• OVER: 18-11-1

• 5-8 SU, 3-10 ATS at home

In some respects, the Wings would love to play like they did against the Sparks in every game: four players scored in double figures, with two scoring 30+, they shot for over 50% from the field (40-76), and only needed three quarters to score 100 points.

However, they only scored 13 in the first. Their opponent shot 60% from the field (50% from three-point range) and had four players score in double digits, with three scoring 20+. While it was an incredible performance on the offensive end of the court for three quarters, it was another train wreck on the defensive end.

The best chance the Wings have at an upset in this game is to outscore the Aces. Dallas knows its defense is horrible and probably has little to no chance of slowing down the Vegas onslaught. But the Aces have allowed opponents to score 90+ points on eight occasions this season. Of those eight contests, the Aces lost seven.  

But of the nine times the Aces scored 90+ points in a game, they won seven.

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Player Props & Best Bets for Aces vs. Wings

A’ja Wilson, O/U 26.5 Points at 26.5 -102/-128 via FanDuel

• O/U 11.5 Rebounds at -136/+102 via FanDuel

Wilson has been a little quiet the last few games; well, quiet compared to a typical night for her. In her last three games, she averaged under 20 points per game. Pulling down 18 rebounds vs. the Sky Sunday was impressive, but she only had 16 total in the two previous games vs. the Lynx.

Don’t count on her having another ‘slow’ night. Wilson is the MVP frontrunner for a reason. Playing a lackluster team like the Wings may be what she needs to return to her explosive ways. In two previous games vs. Dallas this season, she had 36 points, 12 rebounds, and 28 points, 10 rebounds.

She will go OVER her point total. As for her rebound numbers, we are leaning towards the OVER, but the UNDER does have some value.

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Satou Sabally, O/U 18.5 Points at +100/-130 via FanDuel

• O/U 2.5 Made Threes at +140/-188 via FanDuel

Sabally did not blow up against the Sparks in that 113-point night Sunday. But she did have a respectable game with 19 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists. Since the break, she has gone OVER 18.5 points in three of four games, the one outlier being a 10-point night vs. New York (the league’s best defense).

New York is playing better defense, but it is still not great. The Liberty may be a little more concerned with Natasha Howard and Arike Ogunbowable after their 30+ point nights on Sunday. Between that and the need to play catch-up throughout the game (which will lead to several three-point shots), she’ll go OVER her total.

As for how many threes she’ll make, she has had 3+ in three of four games. With how the OVER and UNDER are priced, take the OVER.

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How to Watch Aces vs. Wings

• Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

• Game Time & Date: 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 27

• Coverage: NBA TV