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UFC 307 Fight Night: Pereira vs. Rountree - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published October 4, 2024
6 min read
  • LHW champ Pereira looks to make his third title defense against Rountree

  • Raquel Pennington puts her BW title on the line against former champ Pena

  • Dolidze replaces an injured Chris Curtis & takes on Holland in main card opener

UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Click the link to place your bets: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

FighterOdds
(C) Alex Pereira-520
BET HERE
Khalil Rountree+350
BET HERE
FighterOdds
(C) Raquel Pennington-180
BET HERE
Julianna Pena+140
BET HERE
FighterOdds
Jose Aldo+118
BET HERE
Mario Bautista-150
BET HERE
FighterOdds
Ketlen Vieira+600
BET HERE
Kayla Harrison-1100
BET HERE
FighterOdds
Roman Dolidze+120
BET HERE
Kevin Holland-154
BET HERE

UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree - Picks & Predictions

(C) Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree - Light heavyweight championship

Our pick: Alex Pereira (-520) at FanDuel

(C) Raquel Pennington vs Julianna Pena - Women’s bantamweight championship

Our pick: Raquel Pennington (-180) at FanDuel

Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista - Bantamweight division

Our pick: Jose Aldo (+118) at FanDuel

Ketlen Vieira vs Kayla Harrison - Women’s bantamweight division

Our pick: Kayla Harrison (-1100) at FanDuel

Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland - Middleweight division

Our pick: Roman Dolidze (+120) at FanDuel

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UFC 307 Fight Night Pereira vs. Rountree Predictions

Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree - LHW Championship

Alex Pereira TALE OF THE TAPE Khalil Rountree
37 Age 34
6 ft 4 in Height 6 ft 1 in
79 in Reach 76.5 in
11-2 Record 13-5, 1 no-contest

It’s not every day that you see a number-eight ranked fighter receive a UFC title shot but that is exactly the situation Khalil Rountree will find himself in this Saturday night.

Currently riding a five-fight winning streak, Rountree most recently defeated former light heavyweight title challenger Anthony Smith via TKO last December.

In this weekend’s main event, Rountree takes on champion Alex Pereira - one of the most active champions in recent history. 

Pereira won the title last November and has already defended the belt twice in 2024 - both times against former champions.

A kickboxing specialist, Pereira holds black belts in both kickboxing and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. With Rountree holding credentials in muay thai, it is expected that this fight will stay on the feet. If it does, the champion will look to utilize his 2.5-inch reach advantage.

Khalil Rountree has nothing to lose here which could make him dangerous. He is currently listed as the +350 underdog at FanDuel.

To find out how to place your bets for this light heavyweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Raquel Pennington vs Julianna Pena - Women’s BW Championship

Raquel Pennington TALE OF THE TAPE Julianna Pena
36 Age 35
5 ft 7 in Height 5 ft 7 in
67.5 in Reach 69 in
16-8 Record 11-5

The second of two title fights on this weekend’s card, women’s bantamweight champion Raquel Pennington will make her first title defense since winning the vacant belt against Mayra Bueno Silva back in January.

She takes on former champion Julianna Pena - a fighter who has been out of action due to injury and who hasn’t fought since her July 2022 title loss against Amanda Nunes.

Pennington’s title win over Silva marked her sixth win in a row. Despite her 1.5-inch reach disadvantage, Pennington is listed as a -180 favorite at FanDuel to retain her gold.

Claim $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista - Bantamweight Division

Jose Aldo TALE OF THE TAPE Mario Bautista
38 Age 31
5 ft 7 in Height 5 ft 9 in
70 in Reach 72 in
32-8 Record 14-2

The oldest fighter on the main card, the “King of Rio” and former featherweight champion Jose Aldo still appears to have a lot left in the tank after coming out of retirement.

Following his loss to Merab Dvalishvili in 2022, the BJJ black belt Aldo bounced back with a big win over Jonathan Martinez at UFC 301 this past May.

He takes on Mario Bautista, a fellow BJJ black belt who has now won six in a row. 

Bautista is coming off of a unanimous decision win over Ricky Simon that took place back in January. He will stand two inches taller than Aldo and also have a two-inch advantage in reach.

Bautista is favored at -150 at FanDuel.

Wager $5 at FanDuel for $200 in Bonus Bets

Ketlen Vieira vs Kayla Harrison - Women’s Bantamweight Division

Ketlen Vieira TALE OF THE TAPE Kayla Harrison
33 Age 34
5 ft 8 in Height 5 ft 8 in
68 in Reach 66 in
14-3 Record 17-1

Former PFL champion and Olympic gold medalist in judo Kayla Harrison will be making just her second octagon appearance in the UFC this weekend. She debuted for the promotion this past April - submitting the former bantamweight champion Holly Holm in the second round of their UFC 300 bout.

Harrison will take on the number-two ranked Ketlen Vieira, who holds black belts in BJJ as well as in judo: Harrison’s specialty.

Vieira is 3-1 in her last four fights. She has not fought since July 2023, when she defeated Pannie Kinzaid via unanimous decision.

At a lop-sided -1100 at FanDuel, Kayla Harrison is not only favored to win, but she is the biggest betting favorite on the entire main card.

Register at FanDuel and Get $200 in Bonus Bets

Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland - Middleweight Division

Roman Dolidze TALE OF THE TAPE Kevin Holland
36 Age 31
6 ft 3 in Height 6 ft 3 in
76 in Reach 81 in
13-3 Record 26-11, 1 no-contest

After a brief stint at light heavyweight, in which he stepped up on short notice to challenge and defeat former champion Anthony Smith, number-ten ranked middleweight Roman Dolidze returns to 185-pounds to take on the always entertaining Kevin Holland.

Holland, who holds a black belt in BJJ and a second-degree black belt in kung-fu is just 3-2 over his last five fights. However, he is coming off of a very impressive submission victory over Michal Oleksiejczuk that took place this past June at UFC 302.

Dolidze, who actually snapped a two-fight losing skid with his win over Anthony Smith, will kick-off this weekend’s main card as a +120 underdog against Holland at FanDuel, who will also have a five-inch reach advantage.

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

How to Watch UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree

  • Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah

  • When: Saturday, October 5

  • Time: 10PM EST

  • How: PPV, UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+

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Ryan Bristlon

Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
UFC
NHL
Betting Picks
Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Print and Broadcast Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: BetRivers Sportsbook
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Experience: 12 years
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