UFC Fight Night: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili - Odds, Predictions & Picks

• The UFC promises a spectacle for first sporting event held at The Sphere

• “Suga” Sean O’Malley defends his bantamweight title

• Women’s flyweights Grasso & Shavchenko complete their championship trilogy

UFC 306 Fight Night: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Click the link to place your bets: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets.

UFC 306: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili - Picks & Predictions

(C) Sean O’Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili - Bantamweight championship

Our pick: Sean O’Malley (-142) at FanDuel

(C) Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko - Women’s flyweight championship

Our pick: Alexa Grasso (-140) at FanDuel

Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes - Featherweight division

Our pick: Diego Lopes (-188) at FanDuel

Daniel Zellhuber vs. Esteban Ribovics - Lightweight division

Our pick: Daniel Zellhuber (-235) at FanDuel

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Ode’ Osbourne - Flyweight division

Our pick: Ronaldo Rodriguez (-142) at FanDuel

Sean O’Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili - Bantamweight Championship

It’s strange to see four losses on title challenger and number-one ranked Merab Dvalishvili’s record. Having won ten fights in a row since 2018, it’s hard to imagine him ever losing.

But in this Saturday’s main event, a Dvalishvili loss is a very real possibility as he takes on the -142 bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley, who is on a six-fight unbeaten streak of his own (and who still claims to be undefeated).

O’Malley most recently avenged his only professional loss, when he defeated Marlon Vera by unanimous decision in the main event of UFC 299. The win marked his first successful title defense. 

Dvalishvili has defeated former champions Jose Aldo and Petr Yan on his way to this title shot and earned his tenth win in a row at UFC 298 when he defeated the former double champion Henry Cejudo.

Dvalishvili’s superior wrestling should be a big concern for O’Malley fans, but with a five-inch height advantage and four extra inches in reach, the champion’s striking should be on a full display and may be able to neutralize the challenger’s takedown attempts.

The champion Sean O’Malley is the favorite in this main event and we don’t disagree.

To find out how to place your bets for this top-ten welterweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

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Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko - Women’s Flyweight Championship

On March 4, 2023, Alexa Grasso pulled off the upset win over long-time flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko. It was Shevchenko’s first loss since 2018.

An immediate rematch was set for last September and the two women fought their way to a five-round draw.

Now, in what will be their trilogy bout, both women look to leave everything in the octagon and not leave things in the hands of the judges.

Prior to her title win over Shevchenko, Grasso had won four fights in a row. The champion will enter Saturday’s co-main event as the -140 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook. 

But at +110, the former champ, as well as judo and taekwondo black belt, is always a threat and possesses serious knockout power in both her hands and feet.

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Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes - Featherweight Division

Originally slated to face off against one another at UFC 303, Brian Ortega pulled out on the day of the fight and Dan Ige stepped in to take on Diego Lopes - a fight Lopes went on to win (his fourth in a row).

In his post-fight interview, he asked to be rewarded with a fight at The Sphere and the UFC met his demand - rescheduling the fight with Ortega.

Ortega, a former featherweight title challenger, has suffered several setbacks recently due to injury and illness. He is just 2-3 in his last three fights. He most recently won his rematch against Yair Rodriguez by submission back in February. 

Lopes, a training partner and coach of women’s flyweight champion Alexa Grasso, will have a three-inch advantage in both height and reach. Both fighters hold black belts in BJJ but it is Lopes who comes in as a -188 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Daniel Zellhuber vs. Esteban Ribovics - Lightweight Division

After suffering his first career loss in 2023, Esteban Ribovics has bounced back in a big way - earning back-to-back victories over Kamuela Kirk and Terrence McKinney. However, at +182, he is the biggest betting underdog on the main card. Why?

Because he is set to take on Daniel Zellhuber - another fighter with only one professional loss but who will stand two-inches taller and have an eight-inch reach advantage. 

Zellhuber has also won his last three fights in a row, most recently defeating Francisco Prada in February in what was deemed the fight of the night.

Zellhuber is listed as the -235 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Ode’ Osbourne - Flyweight Division

Riding a five-fight winning streak into his UFC debut in February, Ronaldo Rodriguez came out on top over Denys Bondar - winning by second-round submission in his first fight for the promotion.

He takes on Ode’ Osbourne; a fighter with a 4-5 UFC record and who has recently suffered back-to-back losses - both losses coming in the form of a rear-naked choke submission.

Osbourne will have the advantages in reach and height but the younger Rodriguez is favored at -142 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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How to Watch UFC 306: O’Malley vs Dvalishvili

• Location: The Sphere, Las Vegas, Nevada

• When: Saturday, September 14

• Time: 10PM EST

• How: PPV, UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+