UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs Erceg - Odds, Predictions & Picks

• Top-10 flyweights go to battle in the main event

• Former champion Moreno fights in his home country of Mexico

• Raul Rosas Jr. looks to continue his climb in the bantamweight rankings

UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs Erceg

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and get $200 in Bonus Bets with a winning wager.

UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs Erceg - Picks & Predictions

Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg - Flyweight division

• Our pick: Brandon Moreno (-250) at FanDuel

Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober - Lightweight division

• Our pick: Drew Dober (-115) at FanDuel

Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer - Middleweight division

• Our pick: Joe Pyfer (-330) at FanDuel

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Vince Morales - Bantamweight division

• Our pick: Raul Rosas Jr. (-480) at FanDuel

David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira - Bantamweight division

• Our pick: David Martinez (-400) at FanDuel

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas - Flyweight division

• Our pick: Ronaldo Rodriguez (-164) at FanDuel

Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg - Flyweight Division

Former flyweight champion and current number-two ranked flyweight contender Brandon Moreno fights in his home country - where he will take on former title challenger Steve Erceg in this weekend’s main event.

After suffering back-to-back losses - including losing his flyweight title to Alexandre Pantoja - Moreno bounced back with a unanimous decision victory over Amir Albazi in his most recent bout last November.

Number-eight ranked flyweight Steve Erceg has lost his last two fights in a row - including his title challenge against Alexandre Pantoja. He most recently suffered a TKO loss against Kai Kara-France at UFC 305 last August.

Moreno, the former champion, listed as a -250 favorite, will stand one-inch shorter but will have a two-inch advantage in reach. He also holds a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

To find out how to place your bets for this top-ten flyweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

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Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober - Lightweight Division

Holding a record of 3-1 in the UFC, Mexico’s Manuel Torres looks to bounce back from his first UFC loss in this weekend’s co-main event.

Torres last fought in September 2024 at UFC 306 but was defeated via TKO by the hands of Ignacio Bahamondes.

He takes on fan-favorite slugger Drew Dober, who is just 1-3 in his last four fights. Dober has lost his last two in a row - most recently losing by TKO (doctor’s stoppage) against Jean Silva last July.

Torres is the taller and longer fighter, but Dober is listed as the -115 favorite to win. However, oddsmakers have this as the tightest fight on the main card as Torres comes in at -111 via FanDuel.

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Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer - Middleweight Division

After a lot of mixed success and changes in weight, former middleweight title challenger Kelvin Gastelum is sticking with the middleweight division after earning a big unanimous decision win over Daniel Rodriguez last June.

He had gone just 2-6 leading up to that last fight.

Gastelum takes on the surgeon Joe Pyfer, who is 6-1 over his last seven fights and who is coming off of a first-round knock-out win over Marc-Andre Barriault that took place last June.

All but one of Pyfers 13 wins have been finished by either KO, TKO or submission.

Pyfer will have both the height and reach advantages over the former title challenger and is listed as the -330 favorite to win at FanDuel.

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Raul Rosas Jr. vs Vince Morales - Bantamweight Division

The youngest fighter to ever debut for the UFC, Raul Rosa Jr. now has a 4-1 UFC record under his belt at only 20-years-old. 

Rosas Jr. has won his last three straight - most recently earning a unanimous decision win over Aori Qileng at UFC 306 last September.

He takes on Vince Morales, who, after winning five in a row, finds himself amidst a two-fight losing streak.

Morales fought earlier this year (February), dropping a unanimous decision to Elijah Smith.

Rosas Jr. will stand two-inches taller but Morales will have a three-inch advantage in reach. It’s not surprising that Raul Rosas Jr., at -480 via FanDuel, is the largest betting favorite on the main card.

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David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira - Bantamweight Division

Mexico’s David Martinez will make his UFC debut this weekend after riding a six-fight winning streak into his unanimous decision win on the Contender Series last October.

He takes on the Brazilian Saimon Oliveira, who has gone 0-2 since joining the promotion in 2021. He last fought in January 2023 - losing via TKO to Daniel Marcos at UFC 283.

Due to his inactivity, Oliveira is listed as a +290 underdog at FanDuel despite his four-inch reach advantage.

Martinez, a -400 favorite, will stand two-inches taller.

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Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas - Flyweight Division

Kicking off the main card will be Mexico’s own Ronaldo Rodriguez, who will be considered a -164 favorite at FanDuel over his opponent Kevin Borjas.

Rodriguez has won his last seven fights in a row, including two fights in the UFC. He most recently earned a unanimous decision win over Ode Osbourne at UFC 306 last September.

Kevin Borjas was successful on his Contender Series appearance but has since lost his first two fights for the UFC promotion. He most recently lost to Alessandro Costa by TKO last May.

Rodirguez will stand one-inch taller but the underdog Borjas will have a three-inch advantage in reach. 

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How to Watch UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs Erceg

• Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico

• When: Saturday, March 29

• Time: 7PM EST

• How: ESPN, ESPN+, Sportsnet+