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UFC 309 Fight Night: Jones vs. Miocic - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Contributors
Published November 15, 2024
6 min read
  • The greatest light heavyweight takes on the greatest heavyweight of all time

  • Lightweight contenders Oliveira and Chandler rematch for a top-five spot

  • Bo Nickal looks to remain undefeated at middleweight

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Click the link to place your bets: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

FighterOdds
(C) Jon Jones-670
BET HERE
Stipe Miocic+430
BET HERE
FighterOdds
Charles Oliveira-280
BET HERE
Michael Chandler+210
BET HERE
FighterOdds
Bo Nickal-1400
BET HERE
Paul Craig+680
BET HERE
FighterOdds
Viviane Araujo+220
BET HERE
Karine Silva-295
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FighterOdds
Mauricio Ruffy-950
BET HERE
James Llontop+540
BET HERE

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic - Picks & Predictions

(C) Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic - Heavyweight championship

Our pick: Jon Jones (-670) at FanDuel

Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler - Lightweight division

Our pick: Charles Oliveira (-280) at FanDuel

Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig  - Middleweight division

Our pick: Bo Nickal (-1400) at FanDuel

Viviane Araujo vs. Karine Silva - Women’s Flyweight division

Our pick: Karine Silva (-295) at FanDuel

Mauricio Ruffy vs. James Llontop - Lightweight division

Our pick: Mauricio Ruffy (-950) at FanDuel

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Jones vs. Miocic Predictions Odds

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic - Heavyweight Championship

Jon JonesTALE OF THE TAPEStipe Miocic
37Age42
6 ft 4 inHeight6 ft 4 in
84.5 inReach80 in
27-1, 1 no-contestRecord20-4

Arguably the greatest fighter of all time takes on the heavyweight with the most title defenses in UFC history.

Jon Jones - the man who never lost his light heavyweight title - takes on Stipe Miocic this Saturday in the main event of UFC 309.

After vacating his title shortly after his 2020 win over Dominick Reyes, Jon Jones wouldn’t be seen in the UFC octagon again until 2023 - this time as a heavyweight fighting for a vacant title.

He took on Ciryl Gane and defeated him with a first-round submission to become heavyweight champion. He has not fought since.

Stipe Miocic, who holds the record for the most heavyweight title defenses in UFC history (3), hasn’t fought since his KO title loss to Francis Ngannou that took place in 2021.

These two were originally scheduled to face-off last November at UFC 295. However, an injury caused Jon Jones to pull out of the fight which led to an interim title fight between Tom Aspinall and Sergei Pavlovich - with Aspinall coming out victorious.

Despite the layoff of both fighters, this is being touted as a battle of two legends. A win for Jones (who is a massive (-670) favorite to win at FanDuel) would likely solidify him as the greatest fighter the UFC has ever known.

A win for underdog (+430) Stipe Miocic at FanDuel would mark him as the greatest heavyweight the division has ever seen. However, regardless of who wins, it seems unlikely that a face-off with interim champ Tom Aspinall would be next as both of these main event fighters seem to be flirting with retirement. 

To find out how to place your bets for this UFC heavyweight championship main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

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Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler - Lightweight Division

Charles OliveiraTALE OF THE TAPEMichael Chandler
35Age38
5 ft 10 inHeight5 ft 8 in
74 inReach71 in
34-10,1 no-contestRecord23-8

Two of the UFC’s top-ten lightweights will do battle once again.

Former champion Charles Oliveira and contender Michael Chandler fought once before - for the vacant UFC lightweight championship back in 2021. In a back-and-forth stand-up war, it was Oliveira who came out on top - securing a second-round TKO victory to earn his first lightweight title.

Since then, Oliveira has gone 3-2 and is coming off of a split-decision loss against Arman Tsarukyan that took place at UFC 300.

Michael Chandler has spent the better part of  two-years waiting for a “guaranteed” Conor McGregor fight that never came to fruition. He has not fought since his 2022 submission loss to Dustin Poirier at UFC 281. 

Oliveira holds a fourth-degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but Chandler boasts incredible wrestling and grappling credentials. It is likely, like their first fight, that this bout will mostly be contested on the feet - where we believe Oliveira the (-280) favorite at FanDuel has the advantage over the less active Michael Chandler.

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig - Middleweight Division

Bo NickalTALE OF THE TAPEPaul Craig
28Age36
6 ft 1 inHeight6 ft 4 in
75 inReach76 in
6-0Record17-8-1

After winning his middleweight debut against Andre Muniz in 2023, former light heavyweight Paul Craig has lost two in a row - once by submission and once by knockout.

He has been tasked with taking on the undefeated prospect Bo Nickal - who at 6-0 has yet to go to the judges’ scorecards.

Nickal is coming off of a second-round submission win over Cody Brundage at UFC 300.

Craig last fought at UFC 301 - suffering a second-round KO loss at the hands of Caio Borralho.

The biggest betting favorite on the main card this weekend, oddsmakers have Bo Nickal listed as a (-1400) favorite at FanDuel to defeat Paul Craig.

Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Viviane Araujo vs. Karine Silva - Women’s Flyweight Division

Viviane AraujoTALE OF THE TAPEKarine Silva
37Age30
5 ft 5 inHeight5 ft 5 in
68 inReach67 in
12-6Record18-4

Number-nine ranked women’s flyweight Viviane Araujo takes on the number-11 ranked Karine Silva in a bout that could see one of these fighters challenge for a title in early-to-mid 2025.

Araujo, a BJJ black belt, has struggled as of late - holding a record of just 1-3 over her last four fights. 

Opposite of that, Karien Silva has won her last nine-fights in a row, with four of those coming under the UFC promotional banner. She is coming off of a win over Ariane Lipski that took place this past April. 

Seven-years younger than her opponent, Karine Silva is listed as the (-295) favorite at FanDuel to come out victorious this weekend.

Wager $5 at FanDuel for $150 in Bonus Bets

Mauricio Ruffy vs. James Llontop - Lightweight Division

Mauricio RuffyTALE OF THE TAPEJames Llontop
28Age25
5 ft 11 inHeight6 ft
75 inReach73 in
10-1Record14-4

Despite this being only his second fight in the UFC, Mauricio Ruffy is listed as a (-950) favorite to win at FanDuel over his opponent James Llontop.

After his win on the Contender Series, Ruffy won his UFC debut back in May with a first-round flying knee knockout over Jamie Mullarkey.

On the opposite side of the octagon will be James Llontop - a fighter who also won on the Contender Series but who has also gone 0-2 in the UFC since then.

Llontop will stand one-inch taller but the favorite Ruffy will look to utilize a two-inch reach advantage.

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How to Watch UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, New York

  • When: Saturday, November 16

  • Time: 10PM EST

  • How: PPV, UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+, Sportsnet+

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Ryan Bristlon

Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
UFC
NHL
Betting Picks
Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
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