UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy - Odds, Predictions & Picks
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UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Published: Apr. 4, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
6 min read
  • Top-10 featherweights look to continue to climb the ranks in the main event

  • Emmett aims to become the first man to defeat Murphy in the octagon

  • Middleweight veterans Tavares and Meerschaert square off

UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and get $200 in Bonus Bets with a winning wager.

FighterOdds
Josh Emmett+250
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Lerone Murphy-340
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FighterOdds
Pat Sabatini+190
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Joanderson Brito-250
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FighterOdds
Cortavious Romious+112
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Lee Chang-Ho-142
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FighterOdds
Kennedy Nzechukwu-350
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Martin Buday+255
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FighterOdds
Brad Tavares-260
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Gerald Meerschaert+196
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FighterOdds
Torrez Finney-265
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Robert Valentin+200
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Emmett vs Murphy Odds Predictions

UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy - Picks & Predictions

Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy - Featherweight division

Pat Sabatini vs. Joanderson Brito - Featherweight division

Cortavious Romious vs. Lee Chang-Ho - Bantamweight division

Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Martin Buday - Heavyweight division

Brad Tavares vs. Gerald Meerschaert - Middleweight division

Torrez Finney vs. Robert Valentin - Middleweight division

Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy - Featherweight Division

Josh EmmettTALE OF THE TAPELerone Murphy
40Age33
5 ft 6 inHeight5 ft 9 in
70 inReach73 in
19-4Record15-0-1

He is younger, taller and has a longer reach, so it’s no surprise that the undefeated Lerone Murphy will enter this weekend’s main event as a -340 betting favorite over Josh Emmett.

Josh Emmett, the number-eight ranked featherweight, is coming off of one of the most brutal knockout wins in UFC history, having knocked out Bryce Mitchell in the first round of their UFC 296 bout in 2023. However he hasn’t fought since then.

Murphy has remained more active, fighting twice in 2024 - defeating both Edson Barboa and Dan Ige by unanimous decision. He has yet to suffer a professional mixed martial arts loss.

Murphy is currently ranked at number-ten in the division. He will stand three-inches taller and have a three-inch advantage in reach over Emmett.

To find out how to place your bets for this top-ten featherweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

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Pat Sabatini vs. Joanderson Brito - Featherweight Division

Pat SabatiniTALE OF THE TAPEJoanderson Brito
34Age30
5 ft 9 inHeight5 ft 8 in
70 inReach72 in
19-5Record17-4-1

Looking to bounce back from his loss to William Gomis last September - a loss that snapped a five-fight winning streak - Joanderson Brito will take on Pat Sabatini in this weekend’s co-main event.

Sabatini, a BJJ black belt, is 2-2 over his last four fights and is riding the wave of his most recent first-round submission win over Jonathan Pearce that took place last October.

Brito will have a slight advantage in reach whereas Sabatini, listed as a +190 underdog, will have a one-inch advantage in height.

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Cortavious Romious vs. Lee Chang-Ho - Bantamweight Division

Cortavious RomiousTALE OF THE TAPELee Chang-Ho
31Age30
5 ft 4 inHeight5 ft 8 in
68 inReach69 in
9-3Record10-1

After a unanimous decision win on the Contender Series, Cortavious Romious made his UFC debut last November against Gaston Bolanos. Unfortunately for Romious, he was defeated by decision.

Lee Chang-Ho will also be making just his second UFC octagon appearance this Saturday. However, he managed to win his promotional debut - albeit by a narrow split-decision - over Long Xiao last summer.

South Korea’s Lee Chang-Ho wil stand four-inches taller than Romious and will have a one-inch advantage in reach. He is listed by oddsmakers as the -142 favorite.

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Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Martin Buday - Heavyweight Division

Kennedy NzechukwuTALE OF THE TAPEMartin Buday
32Age33
6 ft 5 inHeight6 ft 4 in
83 inReach77 in
14-5Record14-2

The only fighter on the main card more favored than main-eventer Lerone Murphy is heavyweight Kennedy Nzechukwu - who will enter his bout against Martin Buday as a -350 favorite.

Nzechukwu has won his last two fights in a row over Chris Barnett and Lukasz Breski - both wins earned by first-round TKO.

He takes on Martin Buday, who will be one-year older, one-inch shorter and who will be at a reach disadvantage of six-inches.

Buday most recently fought last June - bouncing back from a loss to Shamil Gaziev with a win over former UFC heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski.

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Brad Tavares vs. Gerald Meerschaert - Middleweight Division

Brad TavaresTALE OF THE TAPEGerald Meerschaert
37Age37
5 ft 11 inHeight6 ft 1 in
74 inReach77 in
20-10Record37-18

A UFC mainstay since his appearance on the Ultimate Fighter reality show in 2010, Brad Tavares will make his 26th UFc appearance this weekend when he takes on another veteran in Gerald Meerscahert.

Meerschaert, who will stand two-inches taller and have a three-inch reach advantage, holds black belts in kickboxing and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. However, he recently had a two-fight winning streak snapped by Renier de Ridder last November.

Tavares has lost his last two in a row and is just 1-4 over his last five fights. He is coming off of a split-decision loss to Park Jun-Yong that took place last October. 

Despite the losing streak and physical disadvantages, Tavares is - somewhat surprisingly - listed as a -260 favorite to defeat Gerald Meerschaert.

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Torrez Finney vs. Robert Valentin - Middleweight Division

Torrez FinneyTALE OF THE TAPERobert Valentin
26Age30
5 ft 8 inHeight6 ft 2 in
75.5 inReach77 in
10-0Record10-4

Kicking off the main card this weekend is our pick for Fight of the Night. Undefeated prospect Torrez Finney makes his UFC debut after earning three separate wins on the Contender Series. He takes on recent TUF finalist Robert Valentin.

Valentin made it all the way to the TUF finals but ultimately lost in the finals to Ryan Loder last August.

Despite his six-inch height advantage over Finney, Robert Valentin will start the show as a +200 underdog.

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How to Watch UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy

  • Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada

  • When: Saturday, April 5

  • Time: 9PM EST

  • How: ESPN, ESPN+, Sportsnet+

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Ryan Bristlon

Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
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