You can pick holes in each of the ‘Big Three’ in the Futures market but Djokovic has arguably the best claims. He’s a four-time champion in New York, including last year, and he arrives off the back of his best result of the season - winning Olympic gold in Paris. That was actually his first title of the season and he’s rested up since, perhaps in order to protect his knee which was operated on in June. Loves the hardcourts and as long as motivation hasn’t dropped after he landed his main goal of the year, he should be tough to beat. The potential to win a record-breaking 25th Grand Slam singles title should certainly spur him on.
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The player who lost the 2020 final from two sets up continues to be something of a nearly-man but he keeps knocking on the door at the big events. He’s already been to the final of the French Open this year and he wasn’t far away from beating Jannik Sinner at the big warm-up tournament in Cincinnati last week - a single game, in fact. His big serve helped him in Ohio and US Open organizers are aiming to have their courts at the same speed. Has made semis and quarters here since that final loss to Dominic Thiem and should go deep again.
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Korda and Frances Tiafoe have both been in good form and are arguably the host nation’s best chances ahead of the likes of Ben Shelton, Tommy Paul, and Taylor Fritz, whose results have disappointed of late. Korda is the pick. He’s won the title in Washington and made semis in Montreal in the past few weeks, results which added to a decent grasscourt season. Has long been touted to make a big impression at the top level. Perhaps now is that time.
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Opposing Auger-Aliassime in the first round of Grand Slam has proved a good plan of action over the years - the Canadian has lost at that stage of 10 of his 21 appearances at the top level, including four of the last six. Even when he’s won, Auger-Aliassime has often struggled early on with only three of those 21 R1 matches being won in straight sets, so consider the handicap too or instead of the moneyline. Mensik, a finalist in Dohai earlier this season, is a talented teenager and while he’s not yet got the consistency levels right, he has a big game and is more than capable of competing with the elite.
Looks the correct favorite having beaten her main title rival, Iga Swiatek, in Cincinnati recently. The reigning Australian Open champion used her extra power to beat the world number one in straight sets and she looks the one to beat in New York, where she’s finished RU-SF-SF in her past three visits. Is the two-time reigning champion at the Australian Open so knows how to win at this level too.
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While defending champion Coco Gauff may be the poster girl, it is Navarro who is arguably the United States’ best chance of a home win this year. The pair could meet in the last 16 - and it was Navarro who won comfortably when they crossed paths at Wimbledon. Gauff’s form is poor but Navarro is enjoying a breakout season and she’s made semi-finals in Toronto and Cleveland (where, at time of writing, she’s due to play in the last four) since returning to the hardcourts.
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Elina Rybakina looks very opposable in the second quarter of the draw and Putintseva may just be able to take advantage at a big price. She’s beaten a host of top-20 players on hardcourts this season, including Gauff in Cincinnati, thanks to her powerful, backcourt game. Also played well on the grass and would have been crushed to have suffered a knee injury just before the Olympics. Having landed in a decent part of the draw, has the potential to make waves.
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Zheng won Olympic gold only three weeks ago but we’ve often seen players struggle to back up such success over the years. Her return to the hardcourts didn’t go particularly well, winning just one match in Cincinnati, and now she’s been handed a tough draw in New York. Anisimova didn’t play in Paris and has instead been racking up hardcourt wins - she made quarter-finals in Washington and the final in Toronto where US Open favorite Sabalenka was among her victims. This one could well see an upset.
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What: US Open Tennis
Location: Flushing Meadows, Queen’s, New York, USA
Time: Monday, August 26 to Sunday, September 8
How to Watch: ESPN (men’s final also on ABC)
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