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Alcaraz looks a worthy favorite. He won the warm-up tournaments in Barcelona and Madrid, the former without losing a set. A loss in Rome to Fabian Marozsan was a big shock but also a rare off-day for the young Spaniard, whose ability to turn defence into attack is outstanding. Won’t be fazed by reports from the practice courts that the balls are slow and fluffing up.
Another player who has looked impressive during the current European claycourt swing. Rune finished runner-up at the Masters 1000 tournaments in Monte Carlo and Rome, while he emerged triumphant in Munich too. The feisty young Dane, who isn’t cowed by any opponent, has enjoyed an excellent last nine months on tour and looks ready to take the next step and challenge at Grand Slam level.
Pick Holger Rune at +950 at FanDuel
Cerundolo has also racked up the wins over the past few weeks, in particular catching the eye in Lyon (at time of writing he’s due to contest the final). But the Argentine, brought up on the slow clay surface, had already beaten Jannik Sinner, Casper Ruud and Cam Norrie on the clay. Of those at a big price, the much-improved Cerundolo looks to have the best chance.
Bet on Francisco Cerundolo +10000 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Briton Draper has seen his season disrupted by injury but he’s shown flashes of his capabilities over the past week in Lyon, beating Miomir Kecmanovic and taking a set off the aforementioned Cerundolo. He also beat Seba Baez and pushed Hubert Hurkacz hard in Monte Carlo. Etcheverry has also been in good nick, reaching a final on the Challenger Tour, but a fully-fit Draper is at a better level and can win this at odds-against.
Head to PointsBet to bet on Jack Draper +110
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Swiatek has long been the best clay courter in the world, as evidenced by the fact she’s won this title on two of the last three occasions. She’s also already won in Stuttgart in the build-up to this season’s French Open, as well as making the final in Madrid. If fully fit, she’ll take some stopping but the potentially off-putting factor is injury – she was last seen limping out of Rome with a thigh injury. Still, the defending champion insists she’s fine.
Beat Swiatek in the Madrid Open final and has really stepped up a level in 2023. Began the year by storming to her maiden Grand Slam title at the Australian Open and has continued to shine ever since. Has a huge game – big serve, thumping groundstrokes – and has managed to cut down on her error count, playing more consistently so far this season. Also looks mentally tougher. In the opposite half to both Swiatek and Elena Rybakina, so has every chance.
Bet on Aryna Sabalenka at +700 at FanDuel
Also in the bottom half of the draw, along with Sabalenka, Pegula has potential at a decent price. She’s been to the semi-finals of Charleston and the quarter-finals of Madrid in the run-up to Roland Garros, while last season she made the last eight at this event. Clay may not be her favorite surface but the American has landed in the weakest quarter of the draw and that could allow her to do some damage in Paris.
Head to PointsBet and bet on Jessica Pegula at +4000
Jabeur has had injury problems during the European clay season and when she did return to Rome, she won just five games against Paula Badosa. Bronzetti doesn’t have the same weapons as Badosa but she’s a wily player on the clay and has shown her ability in Rabat this week, making the final. In short, the Italian looks a big price to cause an early upset.
Take Lucia Bronzetti to beat Ons Jabeur at +430 at FanDuel
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