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Premier League Top Four Odds, Predictions, Picks 2025

Updated: Feb. 17, 2025, 05:22 AM ET
7 min read
  • The Premier League 2024/25 season began on August 16 and ends on May 25

  • The campaign will feature 38 rounds of fixtures spread over more than nine months

  • Several teams are in contention for a top-four finish in the 2023/24 season

The 2024/25 Premier League season is past the halfway mark, with 20 teams competing for various goals between now and May.

Several of those sides will be targeting a top-four finish, which would bring with it a place in the Champions League. The fifth spot may also be enough to qualify for that competition, but that will only be determined later.

Which teams will finish in the top four? Let’s take a look at the latest odds offered by the best soccer betting sites.

Premier League 2025 Top Four Odds

For discussion of Liverpool’s and Arsenal’s prospects this season, check out our Premier League title article.

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Top 4 Predictions

Who Will Finish in the Premier League Top Four 2025?

Manchester City at BetMGM

Title favorites at the beginning of the campaign, Manchester City had to lower expectations after a nightmarish run of form at the end of 2024. Their form picked up at the start of this year, but City were brought back down to earth with a 5-1 defeat by Arsenal recently.

However, they added to their squad in January and City looked rejuvenated in a 4-0 thrashing of Newcastle United on Saturday. Pep Guardiola will hope that proves to be a turning point, with third place well within reach for City.

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Chelsea at BetMGM

Chelsea’s Premier League title chances have taken a hit over the last couple of months. Enzo Maresca’s men have failed to beat any of Everton, Fulham, Ipswich Town, Crystal Palace, Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion, putting league leaders Liverpool out of their reach. 

The Blues now have a fight on their hands to qualify for the Champions League. Still, there is sufficient reason to believe that Maresca’s men will remain in the hunt for a while. Having said that, they need to improve their performance levels quickly.

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Nottingham Forest at BetMGM

Nottingham Forest are the surprise package of the Premier League campaign. Relegation candidates in the last two seasons, they are up to third in the standings in February 2025. That is a remarkable feat. 

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side increasingly look like the real deal, as they showed in a 7-0 demolition of Brighton & Hove Albion in a recent top-flight assignment. Their counter-attacking game plan has helped them to get the better of numerous opponents already, but Forest fell to a 2-1 defeat by Fulham on Saturday.

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Newcastle United at BetMGM

Newcastle United have had their fair share of ups and downs so far this season, but recent victories over Leicester City, Ipswich Town, Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur and Southampton saw them surge up the standings at the start of 2025.

Newcastle were way down in 12th place a few weeks ago, but they are now up to seventh and are outside the top four by just three points. However, the Magpies suffered a humbling 4-0 loss to Manchester City last time out.

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Bournemouth at BetMGM

Andoni Iraola is doing a sensational job down on the south coast. Bournemouth were seen as relegation candidates at the beginning of last season. Now they are genuine contenders for Champions League qualification. 

Fifth in the standings at the time of writing, the Cherries are just one point adrift of the top four. They are in fantastic form despite an injury crisis, but going the distance will be tough given the teams they are competing against. The sportsbooks have them down as outsiders.

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What Happens to the Top Four Teams in the Premier League?

The top four teams in the Premier League automatically qualify for the group stage of the following season’s Champions League. It is therefore a prize worth fighting for, even though the goal of many clubs at the start of the season is to win the Premier League title.

In previous seasons, the top three teams automatically reached the group stage of the Champions League, and the fourth-place finisher entered the qualifying phase. 

That changed at the start of the 2017/18 campaign when UEFA handed more automatic qualification spots to Europe’s biggest leagues, including England’s top flight.

This season five teams could qualify for the Champions League, but that depends on how well English clubs perform in continental competition in 2024/25.

Which Clubs Have the Most Finishes in the Premier League Top Four?

ClubNumber of Finishes
Manchester United26
Arsenal23
Liverpool20
Chelsea19
Manchester City14
Tottenham Hotspur7
Newcastle United6
Blackburn Rovers3
Leeds United3
Aston Villa3

When it comes to winning the title and finishing in the top four, Manchester United are the most successful side in Premier League history in that regard. Arsenal moved further clear of the chasing pack in second thanks to their second-place finish last term.

Manchester City are still relatively low down this list due to the fact that their first Premier League top-four finish came in 2010/11. They will probably continue to close the gap on the teams above them in the next few seasons.

Premier League Top Four FAQ

Who Are the Top Four in the Premier League?

Was the Premier League Top Four Always a Goal for Clubs?

Was the Premier League Called the Premiership?

How Can I Watch the Premier League on TV?

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Greg Lea WSN Contributors

Greg Lea

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Premier League
Champions League
Bundesliga
La Liga
Betting Picks
Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts in Politics
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 10 years
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