A new episode of Ride the Line with Grant Mitchell and Tanner Kern is now live on all WSN platforms!
Monday’s show is all about the MLB betting picks, and both Grant and Tanner have been crushing picks since the show started. Today, Grant starts off the proceedings by taking the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Although the Phillies have the advantage on the bump with Christopher Sanchez against Dean Kremer, the Orioles’ offense has been excellent as of late and helped power them to 12 wins in their last 15 outings. They have been particularly effective with runners in scoring position, which should be key as they look to add to their 31-18 away record.
Tanner’s first pick is the Cleveland Guardians’ runline against the Kansas City Royals. Logan Allen will duel Ryan Yarbrough on the mound in this one, and even if that is somewhat close on paper, the offensive matchup is not. The Royals have been allergic to runs for most of the season, while the Guardians have shown improvement over the past couple of months.
Grant does not love the pick because of the juice on the line but still views Cleveland as the superior team. Considering the Royals have both the worst record and record against the spread in MLB, it’s hard to get excited about much involving them other than fading them.
Both co-hosts have the same second pick of the day, which is the Los Angeles Dodgers’ moneyline against the Toronto Blue Jays. The Blue Jays have been the definition of up and down all season and are taking that .500-level of play into a road series against a Red-hot Dodgers squad.
LA has not only won 10 of its last 13, but it has posted the most runs in the league by far over the last 30 days of play and was on fire at the plate against the Texas Rangers for most of their recent series. Michael Grove will be charged with continuing the improvement he’s shown as the season has progressed against Jose Berrios, who has been dialed in for most of the year.
Grant’s final pick is the Minnesota Twins’ ML against the Seattle Mariners. This is where the “fact of the day” was shared, which is that if Kenta Maeda’s worst start of the season was removed—a three-inning, 10-earned-run outing—he’d have a 2.30 ERA. That puts his cumulative 5.10 ERA in a much different light against Luis Castillo, who’s 6-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
The Twins and Mariners are just about even in scoring over the last month of play, but the former outranks the latter in home runs, OBP, SLG, and batting average. Castillo’s weakness is also that he gives up too many home runs, which Grant believes will rear its ugly head today.
Tanner’s final pick is in the same game and is on the under of eight runs. He believes that the Twins are going to strike out a lot (as they have been prone to do) and that the Mariners’ fleeting offense will struggle even more without Jarred Kelenic, who broke his foot kicking a water cooler in frustration.
Tanner also pointed out that the over on Castillo’s strikeout total could be a worthy investment given the Twins’ tendency to expand the strike zone and swing for the fences.
Check back on Wednesday for a brand-new episode of Ride the Line with even more MLB betting picks!
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