The women's basketball quarterfinals in the Summer Olympics get underway today. The four-game slate starts at 5 a.m. ET with Serbia vs. Australia. Betting lines and odds for player props are available at online sportsbooks for all four games.
We've scoured all available information to find the best player props for three of today's contests: Spain vs. Belgium, Germany vs. France, and Nigeria vs. USA. Read on for our best player prop picks from those three games.
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Location: Bercy Arena Lille in Paris, France
Game Time & Date: 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, August 7
Coverage: Peacock
Point Spread: Belgium -5.5 via BetMGM
She has been productive on the scoreboard whether the tram wins or loses with 26.3 ppg (vs. Germany (25). USA (24), and Japan(30)). China was the toughest offense Spain faced in pool play. While Spain won, China's leading scorer (Yueru Li) had 31 points.
Because of that game, betting on OVER 29.5 at +300 may not be too crazy. Based on Meesseman's overall performance in the Olympics, she will likely be good for 23.5+ against Spain.
Gustason has been leading the way for an undefeated Spain squad. However, her production has been all over the place. She had 29 vs. China and 18 against Puerto Rico, but then only four points vs. Serbia (in just 17:04). Belgium has a decent defense, but like Meesseman, she will get her shots.
Unless she gets hurt, she'll likely play 30+ minutes in this game.
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Location: Bercy Arena Lille in Paris, France
Game Time & Date: 12 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 7
Coverage: Peacock
Point Spread: France -5.5 via BetMGM
Sabally was the second-leading scorer in pool play, averaging 21.7 ppg. However, that number is a little misleading because she had 33 points against Japan (17 and 15 in her other two games). Based on that information, the over appears to be a decent choice.
However, France has been a decent defensive team, allowing just two players to score 18 points, but no one scored over 18.5. A solid argument could be made that France will be the toughest team Germany has faced, other than the U.S. (whom she had 15 points against).
If you do not believe in France's defense and think Sabally could go off like she did against Japan, BetMGM offers OVER 24.5 points at +300.
UNDER 4.5 Rebounds at -140 via BetMGM
France's game plan appears to be to play solid defense and efficient offense without relying too much on one player. They have yet to have a leading scorer record more than 15 points (once by Williams); she had 12 and 13 points in her other two games.
Germany is a decent defensive team, which will encourage France not to lean on any one player too much. Unless she plays around 30+ minutes and/or gets fouled early and often, she will not score over 13.5 points in this game.
As for her rebound numbers, she had four against Australia, five against Nigeria, and just three against Canada. France is not a strong rebounding team; there is no reason to think that will change in this game.
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Location: Bercy Arena Lille in Paris, France
Game Time & Date: 3:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 7
Coverage: Peacock
Point Spread: USA -27.5 via BetMGM
She had a disappointing night against Germany in the pool play closer with just 14 points in roughly 24 minutes on the floor. But with the stars on the U.S. roster, Team USA could afford not to rely on her (or Breanna Stewart) in that game—so they didn't.
But with single elimination for the remainder of the tournament, the U.S. will likely unleash Wilson and Stewart on Nigeria. If you think she might have a massive night, consider taking the OVER on her alternate point total, OVER 29.5 points at +425.
Along with Wilson, Stewart has been a beast on the scoreboard for the U.S.—just not against Germany (13 points in roughly 16 minutes. But with elimination on the line, the U.S. will unleash its full complement of weapons, including Stewart, on Nigeria.
Nigeria does not have a defense that can stop them.
For a player averaging 19.3 ppg, taking the under here must seem like a pretty bad idea. She’ll go over the total on points alone! Eh—maybe., but we don’t think so. She has yet to face a defense that compares to the U.S.
They did give up 24 to a player vs. Japan, and Belgium’s Emma Meessman also scored 24 points, but then they clamped down on Germany and held their leading scorer and the tournament’s second-best, Satou Sabally, to just 15.
She didn’t play in the 100-46 beatdown but did play against the U.S. in the Tokyo Olympics. She played around 28 minutes in that game and had 16 points and two assists.
We think she’ll lead the team in scoring, but her total will be around 14 points. Regarding her assists numbers, she has recorded two twice but had five in the win over Australia. Consequently, we doubt she’ll have more than two vs. the U.S.
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