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Basketball at Paris Olympics 2024: Winner Predictions, Picks & Odds

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated August 9, 2024
8 min read
  • The USA is the favorite to win gold in Paris.

  • Team USA has taken home basketball gold at four straight Olympic Games.

  • The Men’s Basketball Finals at the 2024 Paris Olympics begin on August 10.

The Gold medal final for the 2024 Paris Olympics tips off on Saturday, August 10, between hosts France and the United States. Both teams have impressed through the tournament, and one win separates both sides from a Gold medal! Stay locked in at WSN for all the best predictions and picks for the 2024 Olympic Men's Basketball Tournament!

For the best Olympic basketball bets, WSN has you covered with betting picks and tips daily throughout the 2024 Paris Olympics! New sports bettors can use the top basketball sportsbook promo codes and bonuses before their favorite team tips off!

After looking less threatening in the earlier phases of the tournament, France adjusted its lineup to find success and reach the gold medal final with a win over World Champions Germany. The United States was pushed to the limit in its last match, needing a late effort to reach the final and maintain its position as gold medal favorites. Expect fireworks in this Olympic final rematch!

Let's check out the bets!

2024 Olympics Men’s Basketball - Gold Medal Winner

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Head to Caesars Sportsbook to place your bets! If you want to try Caesars Sportsbook, you can get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars With Promo Code WSN1000.

Country Odds
United States -800
BET HERE
France +2000
BET HERE

Gold Medal Winner - Pick

Just one match separates the United States from their fifth consecutive Olympic Gold medal. After overcoming Serbia late to book their ticket to the final game against France, Team USA is undoubtedly locked in to ensure they don’t suffer another nail-biter. Expect rotations to tighten up in this last match as France prepares for the game of their lives. In the end, Team USA’s talent is expected to overcome any obstacle.

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Basketball at Olympics 2024 Predictions

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Who is the Favorite to Win Men’s Basketball Gold at the 2024 Olympics?

USA (-800) at Caesars Sportsbook 

RecordStandingPoints (Group C)Points ForPoints AgainstPoints Difference
5-01st in Group C6106.886.2+64.0
  • Head Coach: Steve Kerr (GSW)

  • Assistant Coaches: Mark Few (Gonzaga), Tyronn Lue (LAC), Erik Spoelstra (MIA)

  • Key Players: LeBron James, Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant

As has been the case for the last twenty years, Team USA is the standard for basketball on the Olympic level. They secured gold over the past four Olympic games - 2020 Tokyo, 2016 Rio de Janeiro, 2012 London, and 2008 Beijing. Team USA's success on the Olympic level, 16 gold medals, comes from fielding some of the world's top players, particularly NBA players, after the 1992 Dream Team.

Team USA enters this Olympics with its usual star-studded roster, which sports some of the top talents across the NBA. They are led by LeBron James, who will be competing in his fourth Olympics; Kevin Durant, who will also be competing in his fourth Olympics; and Stephen Curry, who will be making his Olympic debut. One of the biggest stories of the tournament is the presence of Joel Embiid, who has forsaken his home country of Cameroon and his adoptive nation of France to try and win gold with Team USA.

The United States started poorly against Serbia in their last match, losing the first three quarters before putting in a 17-point differential in the fourth quarter to steal the game. France presents a similar problem. With willing shooters and a dominant force at the center position, Team USA must be wary going into the final. The revitalization of Stephen Curry’s form couldn’t have come at a better time, so expect him to team with LeBron James to lead the United States to their fifth consecutive Olympic Gold medal.

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Who is the Top Contender to Win Men’s Basketball Gold at the 2024 Olympics?

France (+2000) at Caesars Sportsbook

RecordStandingPoints (Group B)Points ForPoints AgainstPoints Difference
4-12nd in Group B579.676.6+2.0
  • Head Coach: Vincent Collet

  • Assistant Coaches: Pascal Donnadieu, Ruddy Nelhomme

  • Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Rudy Gobert, Evan Fournier

While the host nation isn't known for its accomplishments on the basketball court, France has an impressive history in the sport. In 11 appearances, Les Bleus have claimed three silver medals in basketball at the Olympics, including in the previous 2020 Tokyo Olympics.

As the host country, France automatically qualified for the Olympic basketball tournament. They are led by reigning NBA Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama and NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert. After winning silver in Tokyo, their eyes are on the Gold medal, and they are also hoping to redeem themselves after a disappointing finish at the 2023 FIBA World Cup.

France took on World Champions Germany in their semifinal match and came out looking like serious contenders for the Gold medal. Head coach Vincent Collet adjusted their lineup to match up better with the tournament’s pacier teams, and it has paid dividends. It’s an uphill battle for France to defeat the United States in the Gold medal final, but one certainty is that star center Victor Wembanyama must find his offensive form if they hope to steal a historic win.

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Paris 2024 Olympic Basketball FAQs

When is the 2024 Paris Olympic basketball tournament?

What is the format of the 2024 Paris Olympics basketball tournament?

Which countries will compete in 5x5 basketball at the 2024 Paris Olympics?

Which NBA Players are competing at the 2024 Paris Olympics?

Who won Gold in basketball at the last Olympic Games?

Are there any rule differences between Olympic and NBA basketball?

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Christian Jope WSN Contributors

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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