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2024 Olympic Men’s Basketball: Brazil vs. USA, Odds, Predictions, & Picks

Contributors
Published August 5, 2024
5 min read

The final quarterfinal match is between Brazil and the gold medal favorite, the United States. Brazil found its way to the quarterfinals as one of the top two third-place teams, but it faces a mountain of a task against Team USA. For all the best predictions and picks for the 2024 Olympic Men's Basketball Tournament, stay locked in at WSN!

For the best Olympic basketball bets, WSN has you covered with betting picks and tips daily throughout the 2024 Paris Olympics! New sports bettors can use the top basketball sportsbook promo codes and bonuses before their favorite team tips off!

Team USA is the heavy favorite to advance to the semifinals. Brazil plays for another upset when it takes on the world's best. The stars are out in the day's final match, and the USA and Brazil have their eyes on a podium finish!

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Olympics Men's Basketball Brazil vs. USA Prediction Durant & Curry
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Brazil vs. United States Betting Odds for 2024 Olympic Men’s Basketball, August 6

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Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Brazil +26.5 (-110) +1600 Over 186.5 (-105)
United States -26.5 (-110) -10000 Under 186.5 (-120)

Our Betting Pick for Brazil vs. United States

The United States is the favorite against a tenacious Brazil squad in this matchup. While Team USA is expected to win, they’ve scored 26.5 points in a win just once this tournament. Brazil is an athletic team that likes to get up and down the court, shoot the three, and should be able to cover the spread even in defeat.

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Head-to-Head: Brazil vs. United States

BrazilHead-to-HeadUnited States
Aleksandar PetrovicHead CoachSteve Kerr
1-2 (3rd in Group B)Standings3-0 (1st in Group C)
Won 1FormWon 3
80.3PPG105.6
82.6Opp PPG84.3
-7.0Diff+64.0
Leaders (Per Game)
V. Benite (14.3)PPGA. Edwards (16.7)
B. Caboclo (7.3)RPGJ. Tatum (7.5)
Y. Santos (6.0)APGL. James (7.3)
B. Caboclo (1.7)SPGD. White (2.0)
B. Caboclo (0.7)BPGJ. Embiid (1.5)
B. Caboclo (5.3) / M. Huertas (.600)FGM / FG%A. Edwards (6.3) / L. James (.643)
V. Benite (3.0) / B. Caboclo (.900)3PM / 3P%K. Durant (3.3) / K. Durant (.714)

Brazil Preview

Despite their struggles in the tournament's opening round, Brazil fought their way into the knockout phase by qualifying as one of the top two third-place teams. They now face another uphill battle, taking on the gold medal favorites Team USA in their quarterfinal match. Brazil will try to replicate the quality shown in their last game, a blowout victory against Japan.

Brazil overcame Japan by 18 points in their last match to qualify for the quarterfinals. They shot 52.1% from the field, won the rebounding battle by 15, and hit 17 threes with 60.7% efficiency. Forward Bruno Caboclo was the standout player on the night, putting up 33 points, 17 rebounds, and four made threes on 68.4% shooting from the field.

When Brazil takes on Team USA on Tuesday, they must match the scoring pace. Despite hitting 17 threes in their last game, Brazil is tenth in overall scoring this tournament. Coming up against a vastly superior perimeter defense, Brazil will need to find success inside the arc as much as they do beyond it. It is a difficult task when all-world-level defenders like Anthony Davis and Joel Embiid will oppose them.

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United States Preview

As expected, the United States cruised into the quarterfinals after going undefeated through the group phase. As the top-ranked team after the group phase, the United States was matched up with the tournament’s lowest-seeded team - Brazil. Despite a 21-point win, expect Team USA to tighten up the rotation in the knockout rounds.

In their previous match, a win over Puerto Rico, the United States overcame a losing first quarter to find victory. It’s a testament to their depth and production, as Team USA scored 104 points on 49.4% shooting despite going just 9/32 from three-point range. Anthony Edwards starred in the match, posting 26 points and three threes on 11/15 shooting off the bench.

When Team USA takes on Brazil, they’re expected to have another straightforward path to victory. They will focus on Brazil’s three-point shooting, considering they are first in three-point efficiency in the tournament. Team USA should be able to focus on their perimeter defense, considering Brazil is ranked tenth in scoring inside the arc.

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How to Watch Brazil vs. United States

  • Teams: Brazil vs. United States

  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

  • Date: 3:30 PM EST, Tuesday, August 6, 2024

  • TV: NBC, Peacock

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Christian Jope WSN Contributors

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
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Experience: 6 years
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