Vezina Trophy Odds, Predictions, Best Bets 2025: It’s Hellebuyck’s Award to Lose

• Logan Thompson has the second shortest odds to win the 2024-2025 Vezina Trophy

• Hellebuyck leads the league in average Goals Against per game and in Save Percentage

• Washington’s back line ranks 15th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations

Heading into the final stretch of the regular season, the 2024-2025 Vezina Trophy is Connor Hellebuyck’s to lose per his heavy odds to win the award. Hellebuyck has been instrumental in Winnipeg’s success this season as the star goalie currently leads the league in average Goals Against per game, Save Percentage, and in Goalie Wins.

Should Hellebuyck stumble, then Washington’s Logan Thompson would be the biggest benefactor as the Capitals goalie has the second shortest odds to win the award. Unfortunately for Thompson, his back line does him no favors in his efforts of sustaining his high level of play as Washington’s defense ranks 15th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.

Vezina Trophy Odds 2025

Vezina Trophy Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Barring a catastrophe, it looks like the 2024-2025 Vezina Trophy award is Connor Hellebuyck’s to lose as he continues to lead all qualified goalies in average Goals Against per game and in Goalie Wins.

Connor Hellebuyck at FanDuel

Connor Hellebuyck has played a major role in Winnipeg’s success this season as he has helped the front runners for the Presidents’ Trophy win at a consistent rate by stringing together dominant performances on a nightly basis. Since the start of the regular season, Hellebuyck has held a firm lead over the rest of the field in average Goals Against per game while rivaling the top of the board in Save Percentage.

Not only has his play helped him build a strong case for winning his second straight Vezina Trophy, but he has also drawn interest for the Hart Memorial Trophy as well. A goalie has not won the MVP award since the Montreal Canadiens Carey Price in 2024-2015. Should Hellebuyck be able to sustain his high marks in net for the remainder of the regular season, then he has a realistic chance at winning both awards.

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Logan Thompson at FanDuel

After creeping up the oddsboard for the Vezina Trophy during the month of January, Logan Thompson has seen his odds crash back down after two straight poor performances. Against the Winnipeg Jets and Florida Panthers, Thompson averaged 3.97 Goals Against per game and a .873 Save Percentage. While he still sits near the top of the board in both metrics, the gap between him and Hellebuyck has widened.

To make matters worse for Thompson, negative regression looms large as the Washington Capitals defense continues to fall down the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With minimal support from his back line, Thompson will be tasked with having to wall off a high volume of opposing Shots on Goal which hurts his chances of rivaling the Jets goalie for the Vezina Trophy award.

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Mackenzie Blackwood at BetMGM

Since being traded away to the Colorado Avalanche, Mackenzie Blackwood has shot up the board in average Goals Against per game and in Save Percentage as he has received far more support from his back line than when he was at San Jose. The Avs have excelled in coverage this season as their defense ranks sixth overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.88 Expected Goals per game.

Unfortunately for Blackwood, his resurgence came too late into the season as Hellebuyck has already built a sizable lead over the Avs goalie in average Goals Against per game and in Goalie Wins. It also doesn’t help that the Avs have struggled to win as a whole as they are still in fourth place in the Central division standings. That wipes away the impact Blackwood has had since his arrival, hurting his chances of winning the award.

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Filip Gustavsson at BetMGM

After rivaling Hellebuyck at the top of the oddsboard for the Vezina Trophy earlier in the year, Filip Gustavsson has seen his odds come crashing down after a prolonged cold stretch of play. The wheels came flying off the track in January as the Minnesota Wild goalie finished the month averaging a horrific 3.53 Goals Against per game and a .882 Save Percentage.

He failed to get back up off the mat in his only outing in February as the Ottawa Senators scored six goals in a blowout win over the Wild. With zero margin for error for how well Hellebuyck has been playing, Gustavsson’s recent stretch of play has knocked him out of consideration for the award as his current odds imply. Especially now that he is dealing with an injury, potentially resulting in him missing some time.

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Who Will Win the Vezina Trophy - My Pick 

Jake Oettinger at FanDuel

Since the calendar flipped to 2025, the Dallas Stars goalie has been dominant as he finished the month of January averaging just 2.16 Goals Against per game and a .916 Save Percentage. While he did suffer a loss in his only appearance in February, it was hardly any fault of his own as he held the Anaheim Ducks to just two goals while generating a .929 Save Percentage.

Even though his recent play has helped him remain near the top of the board in most metrics, oddsmakers have still tempered their expectations of the Stars goalie upsetting Hellebuyck for the Vezina Trophy as his current odds imply. Unless you bet on Hellebuyck at a more favorable number earlier in the year and are looking to diversify your portfolio to help secure a profit, then pass on Oettinger at his current inflated odds to win the award.

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Who Won the Vezina Trophy in 2023/2024?

The Winnipeg Jets Connor Hellebuyck won the Vezina Trophy in 2023-2024.

Vezina Trophy History

Originally awarded to the goalie who ended the year with the least amount of goals scored against his team, the criteria for the Vezina Trophy changed in 1981 and is now awarded to who receives the most votes by the 32 general managers. Dominik Hasek currently leads the league for the most Vezina Trophy titles since the change in criteria, winning the award six times. Connor Hellebuyck was the last goalie to win the award, claiming his second title in a span of five years.

Past Vezina Trophy Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Vezina Trophy Winner

When looking to make a bet on the Vezina Trophy award, it’s important to create an account with as many online sportsbooks as you can get. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each book. When betting on Jake Oettinger to win the Vezina Trophy, his odds can be found as low as +20000 at FanDuel and as high as +25000 at Caesars. That is a difference of $5,000 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another benefit of acquiring multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect multiple signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NHL season. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $200 in bonus bets after creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5.

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How to Read Vezina Trophy Winner Odds

Before making a wager on the Vezina Trophy market, it’s vital to know how listed odds work. Should you bet Jake Oettinger to win the award at his current odds of +25000, then a $100 wager would profit you $25,000 if he wins the Vezina Trophy. Should you wait to see if he gets off to a hot start and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.