The Washington Capitals currently lead the league with 84 total points
The Dallas Stars are 8-1-1 in their last 10 contests
Washington’s defense ranks 15th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations
With less than 30 games remaining in the regular season, the race for the Presidents’ Trophy looks like it will come down to either the Washington Capitals or the Winnipeg Jets as both teams possess a sizable lead over the rest of the field. While Washington currently has the edge over Winnipeg in total points, negative regression looms large as their defense continues to fall down the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
After going 8-1-1 in their last 10 contests, the Dallas Stars are still in contention for the Presidents’ Trophy as an intriguing long shot to win the award.
With Winnipeg winning their last nine games in a row, the Washington Capitals room for error is razor thin as they now have only a one point lead over the Jets. Washington is still in full control of their own destiny as they possess a higher point percentage with the same amount of games played, but they can ill-afford to go through a cold stretch of play with only 25 games remaining in the season.
That spells potential disaster for Washington as their back line continues to trickle down the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. While their starting goalie Logan Thompson has been able to mask their struggles on defense with his own high level of individual production, negative regression looms large should their back line continue to concede a high amount of Shots on Goal towards their net.
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Just when it looked like the Washington Capitals were going to run away with the Presidents’ Trophy, the Winnipeg Jets managed to wipe away the deficit by rattling off nine wins in a row. Their back line being able to round back into form played a major role in their success as their defense has climbed back into the top-5 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.87 Expected Goals Against per game.
Not only have the Jets back line broken out of their slump, but their star goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has been able to sustain a high level of play throughout the whole season as the reigning Vezina Trophy winner leads the league in Goals Against per game. With their offense also surging up the board in Expected Goals For, the Jets are worth a wager at their current odds to leap over the Capitals and win the Presidents’ Trophy.
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Like the Capitals, negative regression also looms large over the Vegas Golden Knights as their back line continues to struggle with consistently playing at a competitive level. As of writing, the Golden Knights defense ranks 13th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.96 Expected Goals Against per game.
Fortunately for Vegas, their high powered front line has been able to mask their struggles on defense by lighting up the scoreboard on a nightly basis as their offense ranks fourth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Still, without help from their defense, the Golden Knights will have to combat against a high amount of variance which hurts their chances of sparking a hot stretch of play to win the Presidents’ Trophy.
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The Edmonton Oilers had the opportunity to chip away at Washington’s lead on Sunday night but unfortunately lost to the Capitals 7-3. A stunning poor level of play from a back line who ranks second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, yet the Oilers seemingly had no answer for how to slow down the Capitals high powered offense.
Even after his latest performance, Calvin Pickard still possesses a lower average in Goals Against per game than Stuart Skinner which raises questions on who should be the starting goalie moving forward. Their lack of production from their goaltenders hurt their chances of winning the Stanley Cup last year, making it vital the Oilers make the right choice to avoid suffering the same fate this season.
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While the Capitals and Jets hog the spotlight as the top two contenders for the Presidents’ Trophy, the Dallas Stars are still in contention as a viable long shot. The Stars managed to salvage their hopes of winning the award by going 8-1-1 in their last 10 contests, keeping them close enough to the top of the board to potentially leap over them before the conclusion of the regular season.
Between the three, the Stars are in the best position to sustain their current rate of points as they rank top-6 in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Jake Oettinger has also managed to play at a very high level as their starting goalie averages just 2.37 Goals Against per game and a .912 Save Percentage. Should the top of the board stumble, then expect Dallas to quickly close the gap between them for first place in the overall standings.
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The New York Rangers won the Presidents’ Trophy in 2023-2024, claiming their fourth total title.
While winning the Presidents’ Trophy has shown who has been the best team in the regular season, it has hardly translated to the playoffs as only eight teams have won the Stanley Cup in the same year. The Chicago Blackhawks were the last team to win the Presidents’ Trophy and the Stanley Cup in the same season, winning both titles back in 2012-2013. As for who has won the most Presidents’ Trophy awards, the Detroit Red Wings lead the league with six total titles.
Season | Team |
---|---|
2023-2024 | New York Rangers |
2022-2023 | Boston Bruins |
2021-2022 | Florida Panthers |
2020-2021 | Colorado Avalanche |
2019-2020 | Boston Bruins |
When making a wager on the Presidents’ Trophy award market, it’s vital to get as many sportsbooks as you can get. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each sportsbook. When betting on the Dallas Stars to win the Presidents’ Trophy, their odds can be found as low as +1500 at FanDuel and as high as +1600 at Caesars. That is a difference of $100 in profit for a $100 bettor.
Another benefit of acquiring multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect multiple signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NHL season. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5.
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Dallas Stars Presidents’ Trophy Winner Odds | N/A | +1600 | +1500 |
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Before making any type of wager, it’s important to know how listed odds work. If you bet the Stars to win the Presidents’ Trophy at their current odds of +1600, then a $100 wager would profit you $1,600 should they lead the league in total points. If you wait to see if they get off to a lead and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.
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