NHL Atlantic Division Winner Odds, Favorites, Best Bets: Expect a Tight Race Until the Very End

• The Toronto Maple Leafs are listed as the betting favorite to win the Atlantic division title

• Toronto currently has a one point lead over Florida in the division standings

• Florida’s Matthew Tkachuk is expected to be out until March with a groin injury

Heading into the final stretch of the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs are in full control of their own destiny in regard to winning the Atlantic division title as they currently lead the field in total points and in point percentage. To help them hold on to their lead, the Maple Leafs back line will need to quickly round back into form as their defense currently ranks 23rd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.

Atlantic Division Winner Odds 2025

Atlantic Division Winner Predictions and Favorites to Win 

With less than 30 games remaining in the regular season, the Toronto Maple Leafs room for error is razor thin as they currently possess just a one point lead over the Florida Panthers.

Florida Panthers at BetMGM

Just when the Florida Panthers offense were starting to get into a groove, horror struck when it was announced Matthew Tkachuk suffered an injury during the 4 Nations Face-Off and will be out until at least March. A devastating blow for the Panthers offense as Tkachuk was one of their main sources of offensive production and excelled at pressuring the net. Before the injury, the star forward averaged 0.47 Expected Goals and 3.00 Shots on Goal per game.

With negative regression looming large over their offense, it’s paramount that their back line continues to elevate their level of play to help lessen the amount of variance in their contests. As of writing, the Panthers defense ranks 10th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.49 Expected Goals per game. Sergei Bobrovsky will also need to string together more productive performances as the starting goalie ranks outside the top-20 in average Goals Against per game.

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Caesars

After going through a prolonged cold stretch of play, the Tampa Bay Lightning have managed to get back in contention for the Atlantic division title by winning their last four games in a row. Nikita Kucherov was instrumental in their success during that span as the star forward averaged nearly two points per game. Even after losing their longtime captain Steven Stamkos in the offseason, Kucherov’s versatile play has helped the Lightning remain in the top half of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

With their defense also ranking above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, the Lightning are in a great position to remain in contention for the division title. Especially with Andrei Vasilevskiy giving them a high level of individual production on a nightly basis as the former Vezina Trophy winner is averaging 2.32 Goals Against per game and a .920 Save Percentage. If you already have a bet on Toronto to win the division title, hedge some of your wager on the Lightning at their current odds.

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Ottawa Senators at BetMGM

After losing their last four games in a row, the Ottawa Senators have seen their odds to win the division title crash down as they are now 10 points behind Toronto for first. To make matters worse for Ottawa, Brady Tkachuk is listed as day-to-day on their injury report after he suffered an injury in the 4 Nations Face-Off. Generating offensive production was already a hassle for Ottawa’s front line when Tkachuk was on the ice as the Senators rank below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

Their back line has not performed much better as their defense ranks 19th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.11 Expected Goals Against per game. Even though Linus Ullmark has been able to sustain a high level of play during their struggles, the Senators are still prone to heavy variance contests as their back line allows an alarming number of Shots on Goal to be sent towards their net. Even at their current inflated odds, pass on the Senators to win the division title.

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Who Will Win the Atlantic Division - My Pick 

Toronto Maple Leafs at Caesars

With regression looming over Florida after the injury to Matthew Tkachuk, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a great opportunity to pad their lead at the top of the Atlantic division standings. Especially with Anthony Stolarz back on the ice as the star goalie is averaging 2.13 Goals Against per game and a .928 Save Percentage. His individual production helps mask Toronto’s poor level of play on defense as the Maple Leafs rank 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.

Auston Matthews will also need to shake out of his slump as the star center has only scored one goal in his last nine contests. That does not account for his three appearances in the 4 Nations Face-Off as he was held scoreless throughout the tournament as well. Fortunately for Matthews, positive regression does loom large as he averages an astonishing 0.6 Expected Goals per game. Back Toronto to win the division title now before Matthews rounds back into form and helps the Maple Leafs spark a hot stretch of play.

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Who Won the Atlantic Division in 2023/2024?

The Florida Panthers won the Atlantic division title in 2023-2024, claiming their third title since making their return to the division in 2013.

Atlantic Division History

Seemingly a revolving door for teams to make brief appearances before moving on to somewhere else, the Atlantic division has seen plenty of different teams claim the division title over the years. The New Jersey Devils currently hold the record for the most Atlantic division titles, winning the division nine times before departing for the Metropolitan division. The Boston Bruins and Florida Panthers are currently tied for first for teams still active in the Atlantic, winning the division three times apiece.

Past Atlantic Division Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Atlantic Division Winner

When looking to make a wager on the Atlantic futures market, it’s important to create an account with as many online sportsbooks as you can. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each book. When betting on the Maple Leafs to win the Atlantic, their odds can be found as high as +110 at Caesars and as low as +105 at BetMGM. That is a difference of $40 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another perk of creating an account with multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect their new user signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5.

How to Read Atlantic Division Winner Odds

Before making any type of wager, it’s important to know how the listed odds work. Should you want to bet the Maple Leafs to win the division at their current odds of +110, then a $100 wager would profit you $110 if they win the Atlantic. If you wait to see if they get off to a lead in the division standings and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.