NHL Atlantic Division Winner Odds, Favorites, Best Bets: Stolarz Nearing His Return From Injury

• The Toronto Maple Leafs currently lead the Atlantic in total points and in point percentage

• Toronto’s Auston Matthews is averaging 0.60 Expected Goals per game

• The Florida Panthers offense ranks eighth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations

With Auston Matthews back on the ice, the Toronto Maple Leafs have received a major boost in offensive production as the star center is averaging 0.60 Expected Goals per game. While their offense has thrived, their defense has yet to give them the production they need to be a well-rounded contender as the Maple Leafs rank 23rd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Luckily for Toronto, their star goalie Anthony Stolarz is nearing his return from injury which would help their defense round back into form.

As for the Florida Panthers, they are nipping at the Toronto Maple Leafs heels as the reigning Stanley Cup champions are just three points back from first as of writing. The Panthers offense have excelled at generating high-quality scoring opportunities this season as their front line ranks well above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. The Tampa Bay Lightning meanwhile continue to remain in contention for the division title as they rival the top of the board in point percentage.

Atlantic Division Winner Odds 2025

Atlantic Division Winner Predictions and Favorites to Win 

With Auston Matthews back from injury, the Toronto Maple Leafs are in a great position to hold on to their lead in the Atlantic division standings.

Florida Panthers (+175) at FanDuel

Heading into the second half of the season, the Florida Panthers remain in contention for the Atlantic division title as they are just three points back from Toronto for first. Their offense has played a major role in their success this season as the Panthers front line currently ranks eighth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.30 Expected Goals per game.

While their offense has played at a high level, their defense has struggled to match their level of production as they rank just slightly above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Former Vezina Trophy winner Sergei Bobrovsky has underwhelmed this season as the Panthers starting goalie is ranked 30th in average Goals Against per game while generating a lowly Save Percentage of .896. Until their defense elevates their level of play, then pass on the Panthers to win the division title.

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Tampa Bay Lightning (+360) at Caesars

Even after losing Steven Stamkos to the Nashville Predators in the offseason, the Tampa Bay Lightning front line have managed to remain competitive as their offense currently ranks above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Nikita Kucherov being able to maintain his high level of play has helped keep them afloat as the Hart Memorial Trophy contender is averaging 0.32 Expected Goals and over 1 assist per game.

On the other side of the ice, the Lightning back line have been dominant as their defense ranks eighth overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.85 Expected Goals Against per game. Not only has their suffocating coverage helped neutralize opposing scoring production, but it has also reduced the amount of variance in their contests. Should the Lightning offense manage to round back into form, then they will remain in contention for the division title throughout the duration of the season.

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Ottawa Senators (+3500) at Caesars

With the Boston Bruins are going through a prolonged cold stretch of play, that has opened the door for the Ottawa Senators to compete for one of the top three spots in the division standings. Finishing in the top three of the division is vital as it allows you to secure an auto berth for the playoffs and avoid having to compete with the rest of the Eastern Conference for one of the two wildcard spots.

Unfortunately for Ottawa, leaping over the Lightning for one of the top three spots in the division will be tough as they underwhelm on both sides of the ice. As of writing, the Senators rank in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. While their starting goalie Linus Ullmark has managed to play at a high level, his production is not nearly enough to help propel them to a division title. Even at their inflated odds, pass on the Senators to win the Atlantic division title.

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Who Will Win the Atlantic Division - My Pick 

Toronto Maple Leafs (+145) at FanDuel

After going 7-3-0 in their last 10 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs have held onto their lead for first place in the Atlantic division standings. Not only are the Maple Leafs in full control of their own destiny in regard to winning the division title, but their star center Auston Matthews already looks like he has rounded back into dominant form after making his return from injury. That bodes well for their season-long outlook as Matthews averages an astonishing 0.60 Expected Goals per game.

Better yet for Toronto, their starting goalie Anthony Stolarz is nearing his return from injury which would give their defense an instant boost in production. Stolarz played at a very high level before suffering an injury as the Maple Leafs goalie averaged just 2.15 Goals Against per game while generating a Save Percentage of .927. Should Stolarz be able to recapture the same success he had earlier in the year, then expect the Maple Leafs to sustain their current pace of points and run away with the Atlantic division title.

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Who Won the Atlantic Division in 2023/2024?

The Florida Panthers won the Atlantic division title in 2023-2024, claiming their third title since making their return to the division in 2013.

Atlantic Division History

Seemingly a revolving door for teams to make brief appearances before moving on to somewhere else, the Atlantic division has seen plenty of different teams claim the division title over the years. The New Jersey Devils currently hold the record for the most Atlantic division titles, winning the division nine times before departing for the Metropolitan division. The Boston Bruins and Florida Panthers are currently tied for first for teams still active in the Atlantic, winning the division three times apiece.

Past Atlantic Division Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Atlantic Division Winner

When looking to make a wager on the Atlantic futures market, it’s important to create an account with as many online sportsbooks as you can. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each book. When betting on the Maple Leafs to win the Atlantic, their odds can be found as high as +145 at FanDuel and as low as +125 at BetMGM. That is a difference of $20 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another perk of creating an account with multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect their new user signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll. BetMGM Sportsbook for example is giving new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets should they lose their first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

How to Read Atlantic Division Winner Odds

Before making any type of wager, it’s important to know how the listed odds work. Should you want to bet the Maple Leafs to win the division at their current odds of +145, then a $100 wager would profit you $145 if they win the Atlantic. Should you wait to see if they get off to a lead in the division standings and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.