Hart Memorial Trophy Odds, Predictions, Best Bets 2024/25: A New Name at the Top of the Oddsboard

• Connor McDavid is listed as the new betting favorite to win the Hart Memorial Trophy

• Nathan MacKinnon currently leads the league in total points

• Edmonton’s offense ranks sixth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations

Nearing the halfway point of the season, Connor McDavid finds himself back on top of the oddsboard for the Hart Memorial Trophy. A direct result of the Oilers offense rounding back into form, as well as Minnesota’s Kirill Kaprizov sitting out with an injury. McDavid is not the only Oiler in contention for the MVP award as Leon Draisaitl is also listed in the top-5. While Draisaitl currently leads McDavid in total points, he has also had the benefit of playing in three more games than the future hall of famer.

Speaking of Kaprizov, his chances to win the Hart Memorial Trophy award continue to decline while he sits out with an injury. While no timetable for his return has been announced as of writing, it was recently reported that he has still yet to practice. With Kaprizov falling down the board, reigning Hart Memorial Trophy winner Nathan MacKinnon has seen his name steadily rise as he currently leads the league in total points while the Colorado Avalanche are in the midst of a hot stretch of play.

Hart Memorial Trophy Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to Caesaars Sportsbook and place your bets. Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets

*Rest of field listed at +750 or higher

Hart Memorial Trophy Predictions and Favorites to Win 

With Kaprizov out with an injury, Connor McDavid and Nathan MacKinnon have seen their names climb up the oddsboard.

Nathan MacKinnon (+350) at BetMGM

After winning his first Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023-2024, the Avs Nathan MacKinnon is making a strong case to win his second straight award as he currently leads the league with 66 total points. A majority of his points have come from assists as MacKinnon gets the benefit of playing in an offense that ranks above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.

Not only has MacKinnon been the Avs main source of facilitation, but he has also remained aggressive in his efforts of pressuring the net as is averaging 0.34 Expected Goals and 3.80 Shots on Goal per game. Should his shots start to find the back of the net at a higher rate while maintaining his current pace of assists, then MacKinnon will have a great opportunity to close the gap between him and McDavid on the oddsboard for the Hart Memorial Trophy.

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Kirill Kaprizov (+375) at Caesars

After being listed as the betting favorite to win the Hart Memorial Trophy for a majority of the season, Kirill Kaprizov has steadily trickled down the oddsboard while sitting out with an injury. During his absence, MacKinnon and the rest of the top contenders have started to pad their lead in total points. While no timetable has been announced for his return, it was reported Kaprizov has still not been able to practice.

Maintaining his rate of points before the injury will be tough as Minnesota’s offense has continued to regress throughout the year. As of writing, the Wild front line ranks 27th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.86 Expected Goals per game. Even though Minnesota has managed to keep on winning to remain in contention for the Central division title, their offense is in desperate need of Kaprizov’s production as negative regression looms large.

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Leon Draisaitl (+575) at Caesars

While Connor McDavid hogs most of the spotlight as the current betting favorite to win the Hart Memorial Trophy, Leon Draisaitl is nipping at his heels as a viable contender for the award. Draisaitl has been a steady source of production for the Oilers offense this season as he has scored 29 goals while dishing out 30 assists. His production has helped Edmonton’s offense round back into form as the Oilers front line currently ranks top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

Unfortunately for Draisaitl, his scoring output is expected to regress which opens the door for McDavid to close the gap between them in total points. Nearing the halfway point of the season, Draisaitl is averaging 0.38 Expected Goals per game while McDavid is averaging an astonishing 0.47. At his current odds, pass on Draisaitl to win the Hart Memorial Trophy as McDavid is expected to pass him in total points in the near future which handicaps his chances of winning the MVP award.

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Who Will Win the Hart Memorial Trophy - My Pick 

Connor McDavid (+300) at Caesars

Even though his teammate Leon Draisaitl leads him in total points, Connor McDavid’s outlook for the MVP award looks bright as he possesses a higher rate of Expected Goals while also outpacing him in assists. Barring another injury, McDavid is projected to pass Draisaitl in total points which helps strengthen his case for his fourth Hart Memorial Trophy.

Zach Hyman making his return from injury has also helped McDavid maintain his current rate of assists as his right wing excels at generating high quality scoring opportunities. Their production has played a critical role in the Oilers recent resurgence, keeping Edmonton in contention for the Pacific division title. If you have not made a wager on McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy, then now is the time to do so before his odds continue to trickle down as the wins rack up at a more consistent rate.

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Who Won the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023/2024?

Nathan MacKinnon won the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023-2024.

Hart Memorial Trophy History

Originally called the Hart Trophy before being renamed to the Hart Memorial Trophy in 1960, the MVP award has been given to plenty of legendary names over the years. Most notably to Wayne Gretzky who won the award a league high nine times throughout the 1980’s, including a unanimous win in 1981-1982. Connor McDavid has been the only other player to win the prestigious award by a unanimous vote since Gretzky, sweeping the poll in 2020-2021.

Past Hart Memorial Trophy Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

When looking to make a wager on the Hart Memorial Trophy winner market, it’s important to acquire as many sportsbooks as you can get that are available to you. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each sportsbook. When betting on Connor McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy, his odds can be found as low as +280 at BetMGM and as high as +300 at Caesars. That is a difference of $20 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another benefit of acquiring multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect multiple signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NHL season. BetMGM Sportsbook for example is giving new users up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

How to Read Hart Memorial Trophy Winner Odds

Before making a wager on the Hart Memorial Trophy, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. Should you bet Connor McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy at his current odds of +300, then a $100 wager would profit you $300 if he wins the award. Should you wait to see if he pulls ahead as a sizable favorite and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.