Hart Memorial Trophy Odds, Predictions, Best Bets 2024/25: Fade Kirill Kaprizov as a Short Favorite

• Nathan MacKinnon currently leads the league with 46 total points

• Kirill Kaprizov is the betting favorite to win the Hart Memorial Trophy

• The Edmonton Oilers offense ranks seventh overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations

With the Minnesota Wild shooting up the oddsboard for the Presidents’ Trophy as one of the league leaders in total points, Kirill Kaprizov has garnered a lot of attention for the Hart Memorial Trophy. Kaprizov has been one of the Wild’s few consistent sources of offensive production as he sits near the top of the board in total points after scoring 18 goals and generating 25 assists. Unfortunately for the star forward, his underwhelming cast around him handicaps his ability to sustain his current pace of points.

Moving down the oddsboard, the Edmonton Oilers Connor McDavid has wasted no time in his efforts of closing the gap between him and Kaprizov since returning from injury. Not only has McDavid played a major role in the Oilers top-10 mark in Expected Goals For in All Situations, but he is surrounded by a more productive group of skill players which puts him in a far better position to succeed. With regression looming over Kaprizov, now may be the time to start looking down the oddsboard for hedge opportunities.

Hart Memorial Trophy Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to FanDuel Sportsbook and place your bets. Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

*Rest of field listed at +2200 or higher

Hart Memorial Trophy Predictions and Favorites to Win 

With Connor McDavid back from injury, he remains in contention for his fourth Hart Memorial Trophy as one of the betting favorites for the award.

Kirill Kaprizov (+125) at FanDuel

With the Minnesota Wild steadily building a case for being one of the top contenders for the Stanley Cup, their star forward Kirill Kaprizov has seen his odds to win the Hart Memorial Trophy grow in the process. When healthy, Kaprizov has been one of the more versatile players in the league this season as he ranks near the top of the board in total points and +/- after scoring 18 goals and generating 25 assists.

Unfortunately for Kaprizov, he finds himself surrounded by a severely underwhelming cast of playmakers as the Wild offense as a whole ranks in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations. That hurts his ability to sustain his current rate of points, handicapping his chances of winning the MVP award as well. Until the Wild offense as a whole drastically elevates their level of play, then pass on Kaprizov at his current short odds to win the Hart Memorial Trophy.

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Nathan MacKinnon (+750) at FanDuel

After winning the Hart Memorial Trophy last season, Nathan MacKinnon is building a strong case to win it for the second year in a row as the Avs star center currently leads the league in total points. MacKinnon is surrounded by a very productive group of scorers which helps him maintain his current rate of assists as the Avs offense ranks fifth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.39 Expected Goals per game.

Unfortunately for MacKinnon, their success on offense has not been enough to help secure the win as the Avs are currently eight points back from the Minnesota Wild for first place in the Central division standings. As the losses rack up, the spotlight for the MVP award shades towards more successful teams as their star players’ production has resulted in more success. Should the Avs round back into form, then be prepared to make a wager on MacKinnon to win his second straight Hart Memorial Trophy.

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Nikita Kucherov (+1400) at FanDuel

Since returning from injury, Nikita Kucherov has quickly rounded back into form as he has generated four total points in his last two contests against the Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers. Even after his brief absence, the Tampa Bay Lightning forward is still near the top of the board in total points and just eight points back from the current leader Nathan MacKinnon.

The issue for Kucherov is the same one that plagues Nathan MacKinnon and that is his team’s lack of success diminishes his claim for the Hart Memorial Trophy. Even with an offense that ranks 11th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations, their production has not been enough to help secure the win as the Lightning are on the verge of being removed from the playoff picture. Until the Lightning can climb back up the overall standings, then pass on Kucherov’s current odds to win the Hart Memorial Trophy.

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Who Will Win the Hart Memorial Trophy - My Pick 

Connor McDavid (+270) at FanDuel

After going 7-3-0 in their last 10 games, the Edmonton Oilers have swiftly climbed back up the Pacific division standings while Connor McDavid’s odds to win the Hart Memorial Trophy have steadily grown in the process. Their recent play has also helped them strengthen their position for the playoffs as they are now in one of the top three spots in the division rather than one of the two wildcard spots against the rest of the conference.

McDavid has played a major role in the Oilers resurgence as he is their main source of offensive production. As of writing, the future hall of famer is averaging 0.52 Expected Goals and 3.64 Shots on Goal per game. McDavid is also averaging 0.63 assists per game to go along with his scoring output. With the Oilers finally showing signs of why they are listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Stanley Cup, now is the time to bet on McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy before his odds steadily decline.

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Who Won the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023/2024?

Nathan MacKinnon won the Hart Memorial Trophy in 2023-2024.

Hart Memorial Trophy History

Originally called the Hart Trophy before being renamed to the Hart Memorial Trophy in 1960, the MVP award has been given to plenty of legendary names over the years. Most notably to Wayne Gretzky who won the award a league high nine times throughout the 1980’s, including a unanimous win in 1981-1982. Connor McDavid has been the only other player to win the prestigious award by a unanimous vote since Gretzky, sweeping the poll in 2020-2021.

Past Hart Memorial Trophy Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

When looking to make a wager on the Hart Memorial Trophy winner market, it’s important to acquire as many sportsbooks as you can get that are available to you. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each sportsbook. When betting on Connor McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy, his odds can be found as low as +250 at BetMGM and as high as +270 at FanDuel. That is a difference of $20 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another benefit of acquiring multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect multiple signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll ahead of the NHL season. Caesars Sportsbook for example you can bet $1 and double your winnings on your next 10 bets with the WSN promo code WSNDYW.

How to Read Hart Memorial Trophy Winner Odds

Before making a wager on the Hart Memorial Trophy, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. Should you bet Connor McDavid to win the Hart Memorial Trophy at his current odds of +270, then a $100 wager would profit you $270 if he wins the award. Should you wait to see if he pulls ahead as a sizable favorite and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.