4 Nations Face-Off Predictions and Odds: USA Stamps Their Ticket to the Championship

• Team USA has clinched a berth for the 4 Nations Face-Off Championship

• Canada, Finland, and Sweden are all tied at two points apiece before the final round of games

• Connor Hellebuyck averaged just one Goal Against per game in his two appearances

After two straight wins against Finland and Canada, team USA has already clinched a berth for the 4 Nations Face-Off Championship. Their starting goalie Connor Hellebuyck was instrumental in their success as the reigning Vezina Trophy winner only allowed one goal to get past him in each game which gave their offense the ability to pull away on the scoreboard and secure the win in regulation.

4 Nations Face-Off Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to FanDuel Sportsbook and place your bets: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

4 Nations Face-Off Predictions and Favorites to Win

Canada (+190) at Caesars

It’s win and you’re in for team Canada on Monday night as a win in regulation over Finland will clinch them a spot in the 4 Nations Face-Off Championship. Securing the win in sixty minutes is vital as an overtime win would give Sweden the opportunity to leap over them in the standings should they upset team USA in regulation. A loss to Finland in any way would also leave Canada out of the finals.

Missing out on the championship would be a massive disappointment for Canada as they entered the 4 Nations Face-Off as the favorite to win the tournament. Even in their loss to team USA, Canada was arguably the better team as they finished the contest with a higher mark in Expected Goals. Their underwhelming play in net was the difference maker as Jordan Binnington struggled to wall off USA’s assault. Should Adin Hill help their defense round back into form, then expect Canada to revive their hopes of winning the championship.

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Finland (+1700) at BetMGM

With their overtime win over Sweden, Finland has the opportunity to clinch a berth to the championship should they defeat Canada in regulation. Finland can also move on to the finals with a win in overtime as long as Sweden loses to team USA. A miraculous opportunity for Finland after they entered the 4 Nations Face-Off with the longest odds to win the tournament.

Should Finland want to upset Canada and move on to the championship, then their offense will need to consistently pressure their net to take advantage of the Canadiens poor goaltending. Even if Adin Hill gets the start in net for Canada, negative regression looms large over the Vegas goalie as he ranks below league average in Save Percentage. That brings in a higher amount of variance into their contests, giving Finland a better opportunity to generate the upset and move on to the 4 Nations Face-Off Championship.

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Sweden (+3300) at Caesars

Even after failing to secure a win in their first two games, Sweden still has an opportunity to move on to the finals should they beat team USA in regulation and the game between Canada and Finland goes into overtime. In their losses, Sweden still showed they can compete with the field as they finished their contests against Canada and Finland with a combined Expected Goal scoreboard of 5.57-4.32.

Sweden certainly has the goaltending to give USA’s offense fits as Linus Ullmark has played at a very high level this season. In his 25 starts, Ullmark is averaging just 2.49 Goals Against per game and a .915 Save Percentage. Should his back line be able to lessen the quality of USA’s Shots on Goal, then Ullmark will be in a great position to wall them off at a consistent rate and keep the contest tight enough for Sweden to potentially generate the upset.

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Who Will Win the 4 Nations Face-Off in 2024-2025? 

My Pick - USA (-150) at FanDuel

After their regulation win over Canada, team USA has already clinched a spot in the 4 Nations Face-Off Championship. Reigning Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck played a massive role in their success as he managed to carry over his high level of play into the tournament and shut down Finland and Canada. With USA already stamping their ticket to the finals, they can rest Hellebuyck against Sweden and potentially deploy him again in the championship.

Even with Hellebuyck in net, USA’s back line will still need to elevate their level of play should they want to avoid falling short of winning the championship. Their struggles in coverage were on full display against Canada as they lost the contest in Expected Goals 3.44-3.79. While Hellebuyck is an elite talent in his own right, USA’s defense can not solely rely on his individual production as their lack of coverage brings in a high amount of variance into their contests which hurts their chances of winning.

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How to Read 4 Nations Face-Off Winner Odds 

When looking to make any type of wager, it’s key to know how the listed odds work before placing it. With team USA listed at -150, that means you would need to wager $150 to profit $100 if they win the championship. If you like one of the longer shots like Finland at +1700, then a $100 wager would profit you $1,700 if they win the 4 Nations Face-Off.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the 4 Nations Face-Off

It’s vital to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop as lines can vary between each book. Team USA for example can be found as low as -150 at FanDuel and as high as -170 at Caesars to win the 4 Nations Face-Off. That is a difference of $20 in a tied up wager while returning the same amount of profit.

Each sportsbook also has their own unique new user promotions, giving their users a head start with bonus bets. Caesars Sportsbook for example is giving new users ten 100% profit boosts tokens after making an initial bet of at least $1 with the WSN promo code WSNDYW.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.