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Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade the Rangers Defense With Quick in Net

Kody Malstrom
Contributors
Published: Apr. 14, 2025, 02:57 AM ET
5 min read

With Jonathan Quick projected to get the start in net, we kick off Monday’s slate of games fading the New York Rangers defense as the Florida Panthers will have the opportunity to take advantage of their struggles in coverage and relentlessly pressure the backup goalie. At the same time as their puck drop, we continue to fade the Detroit Red Wings back line as they face off against the Dallas Stars who rank top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

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Best NHL Prop Bets Today April 14

New York Rangers vs. Florida Panthers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Florida Panthers Team Total Over 3 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After winning the Presidents’ Trophy in 2023-2024, the New York Rangers failed to carry over their momentum into this season as they have already been eliminated from being able to make the playoffs. A stunning low level of play for a club who returned a majority of their roster from last year, yet the Rangers inability to win at a consistent rate put them in a hole too deep for them to climb out of as they are seven points back for the last wildcard spot with only two games remaining in the season.

A major reason for their collapse stems from their back line as their defense currently ranks 29th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.40 Expected Goals Against per game. Even with Igor Shesterkin anchoring their net, the former Vezina Trophy winner was unable to mask their struggles on defense as he was consistently pressured on a nightly basis. This forced the Rangers to play in high variance contests, hurting their chances of winning and stringing together a hot stretch of play.

Against Florida, the Rangers defense will continue to struggle to play at a competitive level as they face off against a Panthers offense who excels at creating high quality scoring opportunities as their top two mark in Expected Goals For in All Situations indicates. Especially with Jonathan Quick projected to get the start in net as the Rangers backup goalie averages over three Goals Against per game and a .893 Save Percentage. Should the Panthers team total tick up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Carter Verhaeghe Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Rangers back line struggling to defend their net, Carter Verhaeghe will have the opportunity to rifle off a higher amount of shot attempts by consistently exploiting their gaps in coverage which increases his chances of generating a Shot on Goal. Verhaeghe has excelled at pressuring the net this season as the Panthers forward averages 0.35 Expected Goals and 3.03 Shots on Goal per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet Verhaeghe’s Shots on Goal prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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Dallas Stars vs. Detroit Red Wings - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Dallas Stars Team Total Over 3 (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even after shaking up their lineup by trading away their rookie prospect Logan Stankoven for the Carolina Hurricanes Mikko Rantanen, the Dallas Stars front line have been able to sustain their high level of play as their offense ranks eighth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their depth makes it easier for their offense to generate high quality Shots on Goal for the duration of their contests as eight players average over 0.25 Expected Goals per game.

Every bit of their offensive production will be on full display against Detroit as the Stars face off against a Red Wings back line who ranks 25th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their underwhelming coverage will be stretched out thin by the Stars spread out attack which creates higher quality shooting lanes for their front line to exploit. With minimal resistance between them and the net, expect Dallas to overwhelm their goaltending and clear the over on their team total.

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Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goalscorer (+170) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Speaking of Mikko Rantanen, the Stars newly acquired forward has been able to pressure the net at a high rate this season as the former Hurricane is averaging 0.44 Expected Goals per game. The Stars versatility helps create wider shooting lanes for Rantanen to exploit which increases his chances of scoring. With the Red Wings defense struggling in coverage, expect Rantanen to continue to generate high quality Shots on Goal and put himself in a favorable position to score.

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NHL
Betting Picks
Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
More Articles by Kody Malstrom
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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WorldSportsNetwork
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