Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Expect the Stars to Secure a Sizable Win in Regulation

With the Vancouver Canucks offense struggling to pressure the net at a consistent rate, the Dallas Stars back line have the opportunity to round back into form and build some momentum before the start of the playoffs. Before that takes place, we turn our attention towards the matchup between Carolina and Buffalo as the Hurricanes offense are in a favorable position to clear the over on their team total as they face off against a Sabres back line who severely underwhelms in coverage.

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Vancouver Canucks vs. Dallas Stars - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Vancouver Canucks Team Total Under 2.5 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With five games remaining in their schedule, the Dallas Stars must finish out the year strong should they want to leap over the Winnipeg Jets for first in the Central division standings and win the division title at the last second. Winning the division will help increase their chances of competing for the Stanley Cup as the winner will face off against a wildcard contender in the first round of the playoffs instead of the Colorado Avalanche, a massive difference in the quality of opponent.

Fortunately for Dallas, they have the opportunity to secure a sizable win in regulation against Vancouver as they face off against a Canucks offense who ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Especially with the Canucks front line unable to take advantage of the Stars regressing defense as only three players average over 0.25 Expected Goals per game. This will allow the Stars back line to remain anchored in front of their net which will help lessen the quality of Vancouver’s shooting lanes.

When the Stars back line are smothering opposing shot attempts at a consistent rate, then they are one of the more lethal units in the league as they also receive a high level of production from their goaltending on a nightly basis. Heading into Tuesday, both Jake Oettinger and Casey DeSmith average less than 2.50 Goals Against per game and a Save Percentage higher than .900. No matter who gets the start in net, expect either goalie to continue to play at a high level and hold the Canucks under their team total.

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Dallas Stars Puck Line -1.5 (+120) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With their defense intact, the Stars are in a great position to cover the puck line as they possess more than enough playmakers to stretch out the Canucks vaunted defense. As of writing, the Stars offense ranks seventh overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.32 Expected Goals per game. This will help create higher quality scoring opportunities for their front line to exploit, increasing their chances of scoring at a consistent rate and pulling away on the scoreboard to cover the puck line.

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Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo Sabres - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Carolina Hurricanes Team Total Over 3.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Carolina Hurricanes offense have been in a tier of their own this season as they currently lead the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Even after reshuffling their lineup, the Hurricanes offense have been able to sustain their high level of play as the newly formed duo of Seth Jarvis and Sebastian Aho have led to an uptick in their number of Expected Goals per game.

Against Buffalo, Seth Jarvis and the rest of the Hurricanes offense will have the opportunity to consistently pressure their net as they face off against a Sabres back line who ranks 29th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen anchoring their net as the Sabres struggling goalie is ranked near dead last in average Goals Against per game. Should James Reimer get the start in net instead for Buffalo, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Brent Burns Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though Brent Burns only averages 0.09 Expected Goals, his poor shot selection has not stopped him from aggressively attacking the net as he also averages 2.25 Shots on Goal per game. With the Sabres back line struggling in coverage, the Hurricanes defenseman will have the opportunity to turn his low quality shot attempts into more Shots on Goal as he gets the benefit of weaving the puck through less traffic in front of the net.

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