Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back the Avs to Sustain Their Hot Stretch of Play

With clear advantages on both sides of the ice, the Colorado Avalanche have a great opportunity to cover the puck line against Calgary to help create more separation between them and Minnesota in the Central division standings. Later in the night, we target the Dallas Stars team total over as their high powered offense faces off against a Seattle Kraken defense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.

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Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (8:30 PM, EST)

Colorado Avalanche Puck Line -1.5 (+110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After a second half surge, the Colorado Avalanche are in a great position to secure one of the three auto berths for the playoffs as they possess a six point lead over Minnesota for the third spot in the Central division standings. Finishing above the Wild is vital as it allows the Avs to avoid having to compete against the rest of the Western Conference for one of the two wildcard spots. Falling into a wildcard spot also forces you to play a division champion which lessens your chances of moving on to the next round.

Against Calgary, the Avs will have a great opportunity to secure the win in regulation and pad their lead over Minnesota in the division standings as their back line faces off against a Flames offense who ranks 25th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Especially with Mackenzie Blackwood anchoring their net as the former San Jose Shark goalie helps limit the amount of variance in their contests by averaging just 2.45 Goals Against per game and a .916 Save Percentage.

On the other side of the ice, Calgary’s back line have also struggled to play at a competitive level as the Flames defense ranks 20th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their lack of coverage will allow Colorado’s offense to generate high quality scoring opportunities at a more consistent rate as their versatility will have the Flames defense stretched out thin. This will help open up wider gaps in coverage in front of Dustin Wolf’s net, increasing the Avs chances of scoring on the star rookie goalie. 

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Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though his supporting cast has underperformed, Nathan MacKinnon has still been able to successfully pressure the net as the reigning Hart Memorial Trophy winner averages 4.01 Shots on Goal per game. Against Calgary’s lackluster back line, MacKinnon will have more opportunities to generate Shots on Goal when he blitzes through their lackluster coverage. For some more exposure, also place a wager on MacKinnon to score as his uptick in Shots on Goal will increase his chances of scoring.

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Dallas Stars vs. Seattle Kraken - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Dallas Stars Team Total Over 3 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Dallas Stars front line have been one of the more explosive units in the league this season as their offense ranks fifth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.35 Expected Goals per game. With eight players averaging more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game, their depth decreases the possibility of them going through a prolonged scoring lull as each line features a playmaker who can consistently create high quality scoring opportunities.

Every bit of their offensive production will be on full display against Seattle as the Kraken back line ranks 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially if Phillip Grubauer gets the start in net as the Kraken back up goalie ranks near dead last in average Goals Against per game while generating a lowly Save Percentage of .873. If Joey Daccord gets the start instead, or the Stars team total moves up to 3.5 across the board, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goalscorer (+195) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since being traded to the Dallas Stars, Mikko Rantenan has been able to sustain his high level of play as he currently leads the team in Expected Goals with an average of 0.46 per game. His productive linemates around him frees up more space to help generate higher quality Shots on Goal, increasing his chances of scoring. With the Kraken struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect Rantenan to exploit their gaps in coverage and put himself in a favorable position to score.

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