Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Wild Offense

After failing to score in last night’s contest against Dallas, the Minnesota Wild are in for another rough outing as they face off against the Vegas Golden Knights who rank above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Colorado Avalanche as their star studded offense should skate circles around a Detroit Red Wings back line who severely struggles in coverage.

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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Minnesota Wild Team Total Under 2.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Heading into the final stretch of the regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights are in a great position to win the Pacific division title as they possess a five point lead over the Edmonton Oilers and Los Angeles Kings with only 12 games remaining in their schedule. Their high powered offense has played a major role in their success this year as the Golden Knights front line ranks third overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.44 Expected Goals per game.

While their offense has been able to play at a high level, their defense has struggled to give them the production they need to be an elite well rounded unit as their back line ranks 11th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Fortunately for Vegas, their goaltending has been able to mask their mediocre level of play on defense and keep them competitive in their contests as their starting goalie Adin Hill is averaging 2.51 Goals Against per game and a .907 Save Percentage.

Against Minnesota, the Golden Knights defense will have an opportunity to thrive as they face off against a Wild offense who ranks 28th in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Especially with Kirill Kaprizov out with an injury as his absence leaves the Wild with only three players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. Their lack of versatility hampers their ability to create high quality scoring opportunities, allowing the Vegas back line to anchor in coverage and consistently wall off their shots at the net.

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Vegas Golden Knights Puck Line -1.5 (+150) at Caesars Sportsbook

With Minnesota’s offense poised to struggle, the Golden Knights are in a favorable position to cover the puck line as they possess more than enough playmakers to stretch out the Wild defense. Especially with tired legs potentially playing a factor as the Wild enter the contest against Vegas on the second half of a back-to-back. Should Minnesota’s back line fail to stay in front of the puck, then this will create higher quality shooting lanes for Vegas to exploit which increases their chances of scoring at a consistent rate.

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Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (9:00 PM, EST)

Colorado Avalanche Team Total Over 3.5 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 8-1-1 in their last 10 contests, the Colorado Avalanche have built up a four point lead over the Minnesota Wild for the third spot in the Central division standings. Should the Avalanche want to increase their chances of holding on to their top three spot and secure an auto berth for the playoffs, then their front line must elevate their level of play as their offense ranks 12th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations

With Detroit’s back line struggling to defend their net as their bottom ten mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, the Avs will be in a position to light up the scoreboard by consistently generating high quality scoring opportunities. Especially with Cam Talbot projected to get the start in net as the Red Wings goalie is ranked 42nd in average Goals Against per game. With minimal coverage in front of him, expect Talbot to continue to struggle while walling off the Avs high volume of shot attempts.

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Nathan MacKinnon Anytime Goalscorer (+120) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Avs Nathan MacKinnon has excelled at pressuring the net as the reigning Hart Memorial Trophy winner is averaging 0.39 Expected Goals and 4.07 Shots on Goal per game. Against the Red Wings underwhelming coverage, expect MacKinnon to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal by using his elite speed to blitz through their back line. For some more exposure, escalator bet MacKinnon’s anytime goalscorer prop by sprinkling smaller wagers on his alternate totals.

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