With Mackenzie Blackwood and Anthony Stolarz set to take the ice, the matchup between the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs creates the perfect opportunity to escalator bet the full game under. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Minnesota Wild as their defense is in a favorable position to keep Seattle off the scoreboard as the Kraken offense ranks well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
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With less than 15 games remaining in the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs room for error is razor thin as both clubs look to hold on to their top three spot in their respective division standings. As of writing, the Toronto Maple Leafs possess a six point lead over the Ottawa Senators for third in the Atlantic division standings while the Colorado Avalanche have a four point lead over the Minnesota Wild in the Central.
In an attempt to secure some much needed points, the matchup between Toronto and Colorado will feature a pair of star studded goalies with Anthony Stolarz set to face off against Mackenzie Blackwood. Even though Stolarz has regressed since returning from injury, the Maple Leafs goalie still averages 2.39 Goals Against per game and a .918 Save Percentage. Stolarz will have the opportunity to round back into form against Colorado as the Avs struggle to generate Expected Goals at a consistent rate.
While Toronto’s offense has fared slightly better than Colorado’s this season, their front line will find it tough to sustain their high level of play as they face off against an Avs defense who ranks second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their suffocating coverage has played a major role in Mackenzie Blackwood’s resurgence as the former San Jose goalie is averaging just 2.50 Goals Against per game. Escalator bet the full game under by sprinkling smaller wagers on the alternate totals.
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In order to keep Stolarz constantly moving, Colorado’s defenseman Cale Makar will need to be aggressive in his efforts of generating shots from the blue line. Especially with Toronto’s back line struggling in coverage as the Maple Leafs defense ranks 23rd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.24 Expected Goals Against per game. Their gaps in coverage creates wider shooting lanes for Makar to exploit, increasing the probability of his shot attempts turning into Shots on Goal.
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Speaking of Minnesota, the Wild will have the opportunity to chip away at the Avs lead in the Central division standings as they head into Wednesday’s contest against the Seattle Kraken listed as a sizable betting favorite on the moneyline. In order to secure the win over Seattle, the Wild will need to continue to lean on their defense to help mask their struggles on offense. While their defense ranks 11th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, their offense ranks in the bottom five in Expected Goals For.
Fortunately for the Wild, their defense faces off against a Seattle front line who ranks 27th in Expected Goals For in All Situations. The Krakens struggles on offense stems from their lack of versatility as only three players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. With no ability to stretch out Minnesota’s defense, the Wild back line can anchor in coverage which helps lessen the quality of Seattle’s shooting lanes. Expect Filip Gustavsson to wall off their low quality Shots on Goal and hold Seattle under their total.
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Even though his offense ranks near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations, that has not stopped Matt Boldy from being able to pressure the net this season as the Wild forward averages 0.42 Expected Goals and 3.41 Shots on Goal per game. With the Kraken back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, expect Boldy to continue to put himself in favorable positions to score by consistently exploiting their gaps in coverage.
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