Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade the Pittsburgh Penguins Underwhelming Defense

With Pittsburgh’s back line struggling to give their goaltending the coverage they need to succeed, the New Jersey Devils offense are in a position to thrive as they excel at creating high quality Shots on Goal. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Dallas Stars as they have the opportunity to cover the puck line against the Anaheim Ducks who severely underwhelm on both sides of the ice.

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New Jersey Devils vs. Pittsburgh Penguins - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

New Jersey Devils Team Total Over 3.5 (+105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 4-4-2 in their last 10 contests, the New Jersey Devils have seen their odds to win the Metropolitan division title steadily decline while Washington grows their lead for first. Their auto berth for the playoffs is also in jeopardy as the Columbus Blue Jackets continue to chip away at the gap between the two for the third spot in the division standings.

Heading into Tuesday, the Devils offense will have the opportunity to carry them to victory as they face off against a Pittsburgh back line who severely underwhelms in coverage. As of writing, the Penguins defense ranks 28th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and 26th in 5-on-5 Play. With minimal protection in front of him, Alex Nedeljkovic has struggled to play at a competitive level as the Penguins goalie is averaging 3.02 Goals Against per game.

Speaking of the Devils offense, their front line has been in a tier of their own this season as they currently lead the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.67 Expected Goals per game. Their offense fields plenty of playmakers who are capable of consistently pressuring the net as six players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. Expect the Devils to light up the scoreboard by using their versatility to stretch out the Penguins coverage to help create high quality scoring opportunities.

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Erik Karlsson Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-154) at FanDuel Sportsbook

On the other side of the ice, the Devils back line have also played at a high level as their defense ranks above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their stout coverage will make it tough for Pittsburgh’s Erik Karlsson to generate Shots on Goal as the defenseman will need to weave the puck through low quality shooting lanes from the blue line. Expect Karlsson’s shot attempts to be walled off before getting to the net at a consistent rate.

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Dallas Stars vs. Anaheim Ducks - Prop Bets (10:30 PM, EST)

Dallas Stars Team Total Over 3.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With only 30 games remaining in the regular season, the Dallas Stars room for error is minimal as they try to chip away at Winnipeg’s lead for first in the Central division standings. Fortunately for Dallas, they face off against an Anaheim back line who severely struggles to defend their net as the Ducks defense ranks dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and 31st in 5-on-5 Play.

Their inability to stay in front of the puck bodes well for the Stars as their offense excels at generating high quality Shots on Goal as their top-10 rank in Expected Goals For in All Situations indicates. Even with the Ducks goaltending grading out well in Save Percentage, John Gibson and Lukas Dostal will struggle to sustain their high marks as they will be under relentless pressure against the Stars offense. No matter who gets the start in net for Anaheim, back the Stars to clear the over on their team total.

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Dallas Stars Puck Line -1.5 (+118) at Caesars Sportsbook

While Anaheim’s front line has performed far better than their defense, they still struggle to play at a competitive level as the Ducks rank 23rd in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their lack of playmakers gives the Stars back line the opportunity to anchor in front of their net to help consistently lessen the quality of opposing Shots on Goal for Jake Oettinger to wall off. With clear advantages on both sides of the ice, bet the Stars to cover the puck line.

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