With the Toronto Maple Leafs steadily pulling away in the Atlantic division standings, the Florida Panthers are in desperate need of sparking a hot stretch of play should they want to remain in contention for the division title. Fortunately for the reigning Stanley Cup champions, they will have the opportunity to chip away at the Maple Leafs' lead with a favorable matchup against the Anaheim Ducks and their severely underwhelming defense.
Well before that takes place, we turn our attention towards the New York Rangers as their offense will have the opportunity to consistently generate high quality Shots on Goal by picking apart the Ottawa Senators' gaps in coverage. Staying in front of the puck has been a struggle for Ottawa's back line this season as their defense ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
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While the Panthers' back line have struggled to round back into dominant form, their offense has managed to play at a very high level as they enter the second half of the season ranked eighth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their top line generates a majority of their offensive production as Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and Sam Reinhart all average more than 0.35 Expected Goals per game.
Against Anaheim, expect the Panthers to generate high-quality scoring opportunities at a consistent rate as they face off against a Ducks defense who ranks dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with their goalies playing at a competitive level, the Ducks' lack of coverage leaves them vulnerable to getting beat while opposing offenses capitalize on their high-quality shooting lanes. For some extra exposure, escalator bet the Panthers team total prop by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.
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Speaking of Reinhart, the Panthers forward will be in a great position to score as he exploits the gaps in coverage Tkachuk and Barkov create while blitzing through the underwhelming Ducks back line. Reinhart has excelled at pressuring opposing goalies this season as he enters the contest averaging 0.42 Expected Goals and 2.60 Shots on Goal per game. With the Ducks severely struggling to defend their net, expect Reinhart to generate more Shots on Goal which increases the likelihood of him scoring as well.
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After entering the year listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Eastern Conference Championship, the New York Rangers are in serious jeopardy of missing out on the playoffs as they are currently four points back from Boston in the wildcard standings for the last wildcard spot. Even during their slump, the Rangers' offense have managed to play at a very high level as they currently rank sixth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.35 Expected Goals per game.
Every bit of their offensive production will be needed to secure the win over Ottawa as their starting goalie Linus Ullmark continues to play at a very high level. Fortunately for the Rangers, Ullmark receives minimal support from his back line as the Senators rank below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Rangers' versatility capable of stretching out the Senators' lackluster coverage, expect Ullmark to struggle to wall off their high-quality Shots on Goal throughout the duration of the contest.
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The Rangers Artemi Panarin has played a major role in their success on offense this season as the star forward is currently averaging 0.35 Expected Goals and 3.05 Shots on Goal per game. With the Senators' back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their low mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, expect Panarin to continue to excel at pressuring the net as he weaves the puck through high-quality shooting lanes at a consistent rate.
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