Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade the Wild Offense Without Kirill Kaprizov

With Kirill Kaprizov still out with an injury, the Minnesota Wild have underwhelmed in their efforts of generating high-quality scoring opportunities as their offense ranks near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Against the Colorado Avalanche, their struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against an Avs back line who excels in coverage.

Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Carolina Hurricanes as they look to chip away at the gap between them and the Washington Capitals for first place in the Metropolitan division standings with a favorable matchup against the lowly Chicago Blackhawks. With Chicago failing to play at a competitive level on both sides of the ice, the Hurricanes will have a great opportunity to secure the win in regulation and cover the puck line in the process.

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Minnesota Wild vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (3:00 PM, EST)

Minnesota Wild Team Total Under 2.5 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Without Kirill Kaprizov, the Minnesota Wild offense have struggled with generating high-quality Shots on Goal as their front line currently ranks 28th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.80 Expected Goals per game. Kaprizov sitting out with an injury severely handicaps their ceiling as the Wild star forward was their main source of offensive production this season as he led the team in Expected Goals and in total points.

Even though Colorado’s back line has regressed over the past few weeks, they still rank above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Mackenzie Blackwood has played at a very high level since getting traded as the Avs newly acquired goalie is averaging 2.54 Goals Against per game and a .918 Save Percentage. With Minnesota’s front line incapable of stretching out the Avs coverage, expect Blackwood to wall off their low quality shot attempts and keep them under their listed team total.

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Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goalscorer (+117) at Caesars Sportsbook

Minnesota’s defense has played at a far higher level than their offense as their back line ranks top-15 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. While that normally results in a decrease in opposing scoring opportunities, Mikko Rantanen should continue to generate a healthy amount of Shots on Goal as he gets the benefit of Nathan MacKinnon commanding defensive attention away from him. Expect Rantanen to exploit their gaps in coverage, setting himself up with an opportunity to score his 26th goal of the season.

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Carolina Hurricanes vs. Chicago Blackhawks - Prop Bets (8:30 PM, EST)

Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line -1.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While Minnesota’s offense has severely underwhelmed this season, the Carolina Hurricanes front line have been dominant as their offense currently ranks top-2 in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Even with a majority of their offensive production stemming from just four players, that has not stopped the Hurricanes from generating a high amount of high-quality scoring opportunities on a nightly basis as their offense averages 3.58 Expected Goals per game.

Against Chicago, the Hurricanes will have the opportunity to light up the scoreboard as Chicago ranks 26th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their lack of production from their goaltending has played a major role in their struggles as Petr Mrazek is averaging an astonishing 3.24 Goals Against per game. With Chicago’s offense also severely underwhelming, expect the Hurricanes to put together a dominant performance and cover the puck line in regulation.

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Connor Bedard Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Blackhawks' front line have been abysmal this season as they currently rank dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.50 Expected Goals per game. Their offense suffers from a lack of versatility as only Tyler Bertuzzi averages more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. With minimal support from his surrounding cast, expect the former Calder Memorial Trophy winner Connor Bedard to struggle with generating Shots on Goal while being suffocated by the Hurricanes coverage.

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