Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade a Pair of Backup Goalies

After going 8-1-1 in their last 10 contests, the Dallas Stars are back in contention for the Central division title as they are only six points behind the Winnipeg Jets for first. On Tuesday night, the Stars will have the opportunity to continue to chip away at the Jets lead as their offense is poised to light up the scoreboard against the Toronto Maple Leafs regressing defense.

Later in the night, we turn our attention towards another Central division title contender as the surging Colorado Avalanche look to take advantage of the anemic New York Rangers defense. Generating defensive production has been a struggle for the Rangers this season as their back line currently ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.

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Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Dallas Stars Team Total Over 2.5 (-172) at Caesars Sportsbook

After a slow start to the season, the Dallas Stars have managed to quickly get back in contention for the division title and have made a strong case for being listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Stanley Cup. Not only does their defense rank third overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, but their offense also ranks top-5 in Expected Goals For with an average of 3.46 Expected Goals per game.

Against the Maple Leafs, the Stars offense are in a favorable position to maintain their high level of play as Toronto’s defense ranks 20th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even though their back up goalie Joseph Woll has managed to play at a competitive level, his current marks in net are still comfortably lower than Anthony Stolarz before he suffered an injury. With Toronto’s back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect the Stars to capitalize on their high quality shooting lanes and light up the scoreboard.

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Roope Hintz Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-200) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Maple Leafs lack of coverage benefits Roope Hintz as he has been one of the Stars most consistent sources of offensive production this season as he averages 0.42 Expected Goals and 2.39 Shots on Goal per game. With his linemate Jason Robertson also possessing a high mark in Expected Goals, opposing defenses have had to shade their coverage towards the forward which frees up more space for Hintz to work with. Escalator bet Hintz Shots on Goal prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs.

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New York Rangers vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (9:00 PM, EST)

Colorado Avalanche Team Total Over 3.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Dallas Stars are not the only Central division title contender in a great position to light up the scoreboard as the Colorado Avalanche get the benefit of facing off against one of the worst back lines in the league. At the halfway point of the season, the Rangers defense ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.50 Expected Goals Against per game. 

Not only have the Rangers back line struggled in coverage, but their new starting goalie Jonathan Quick has been a downgrade in production after former Vezina Trophy winner Igor Shesterkin went down with an injury. While their current marks in average Goals Against per game are identical, Quick possesses a lower Save Percentage. His struggles in net are poised to persist as he faces off against an Avs offense who excels at creating high quality Shots on Goal as their top-10 mark in Expected Goals For indicates.

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Artturi Lehkonen Anytime Goalscorer (+220) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since returning from injury, Artturi Lehkonen has wasted no time in his efforts of generating offensive production as the Avs forward currently averages 0.45 Expected Goals and 2.22 Shots on Goal per game. While his low mark in Shots on Goal is concerning, his ability to maximize on the efficiency of his shots more than makes up for it. Especially with the Rangers back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, giving Lehkonen the opportunity to generate a higher volume of shots towards their net.

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