Not only have the Washington Capitals odds to win the Metropolitan division title continue to grow, but so have their chances of winning the Presidents’ Trophy as they are only one point back from Vegas in the overall standings. Heading into Friday, the Capitals have a great opportunity to add to their point total as they host the Montreal Canadiens who severely underwhelm on both sides of the ice.
While that takes place, we also focus on the matchup between Vancouver and Carolina as the Canucks offense will continue to struggle with generating high quality scoring opportunities as they face off against a stout Hurricanes defense. Generating offensive production has been a hassle for Vancouver’s offense this season as their front line enters the contest ranked 30th in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
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Heading into the second half of the regular season, the Washington Capitals are in full control of their own destiny in regard to winning the Metropolitan division title as they currently possess a four point lead over the New Jersey Devils for first. Their offense has played a major role in their hot start to the year as the Capitals front line ranks third overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.51 Expected Goals per game.
Against Montreal, expect the Capitals to continue to generate high quality scoring opportunities at a consistent rate as the Canadiens defense ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. That leaves the Canadiens prone to falling quickly behind on the scoreboard as their own anemic offense will struggle to match Washington’s scoring pace. Especially with their own offense underwhelming in their efforts of pressuring the net as Montreal ranks 28th overall in Expected Goals For.
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Heading into Friday, Alexander Ovechkin is in a great position to add to his career total by taking advantage of Montreal’s high quality shooting lanes that they provide due to their lackluster coverage. Ovechkin has been Washington’s most consistent source of offensive production this season as he enters the contest averaging 0.48 Expected Goals per game. With the Canadiens back line struggling to defend their net, sprinkle smaller wagers on Ovechkin’s alternate goal scoring totals as well.
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Like the Canadiens, the Vancouver Canucks have also struggled with generating high quality Shots on Goal as their front line currently ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.72 Expected Goals per game. Their offense suffers from a lack of versatility as only four Canucks average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. With a lack of playmakers to help stretch out the coverage, the Canucks are forced to weave the puck through low quality shooting lanes.
Unfortunately for Vancouver, Carolina’s back line has excelled at smothering opposing shot attempts as the Hurricanes rank top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their suffocating coverage has helped Pyotr Kochetkov sustain his high marks in net as the Hurricanes goalie is averaging 2.50 Goals Against per game and a .902 Save Percentage. With the Canucks unable to stretch out their coverage, expect Kochetkov to hold them under their team total while walling off low quality Shots on Goal.
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Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, the Canucks offense will continue to struggle with generating Shots on Goal as they face off against a Hurricanes defense who excels in coverage. That spells potential disaster for J.T. Miller as he already underwhelms in his efforts of pressuring the net as he enters the contest averaging just two Shots on Goal per game. With minimal support from his linemates, expect Miller to continue to struggle with sending the puck through clogged lanes.
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