After entering the year listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Stanley Cup, the New York Rangers have yet to live up to preseason expectations as they are currently out of the playoff picture. Their lack of defensive production has been a thorn in their side as they routinely allow opposing offenses to generate a high amount of Shots on Goal towards their net. Expect their struggles on defense to continue as they face off against the New Jersey Devils who lead the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
At the same time as their puck drop, we also focus on the Edmonton Oilers as they have the opportunity to continue their climb up the Pacific division standings with a favorable matchup against the lowly Pittsburgh Penguins. With clear advantages on both sides of the ice, expect the Oilers to build up a sizable lead and secure the win in regulation.
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It’s been a disappointing start to the season for the reigning Presidents’ Trophy winners as the New York Rangers are currently in seventh place in the Metropolitan division standings and four points back from the Columbus Blue Jackets for the last wildcard spot in the playoffs. Their sluggish play can be pointed towards their lack of defensive production as the Rangers back line currently ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Unfortunately for the Rangers, their struggles on defense are poised to persist as they face off against the New Jersey Devils who currently lead the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.77 Expected Goals per game. With six players averaging more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game, the Devils offense fields plenty of playmakers who are capable of stretching out the Rangers coverage. If your book offers them, sprinkle smaller wagers on the Devils alternate team total overs as well.
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Even though Jack Hughes has failed to find the back of the net in his last six outings, he has still been active in his efforts of pressuring the net as he enters the contest averaging 0.41 Expected Goals and 3.72 Shots on Goal per game. Against the Rangers, Hughes will have a great opportunity to break out of his slump as he blitzes through their lackluster coverage for high quality scoring opportunities in front of their net.
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With health back on their side, the Edmonton Oilers have started to win at a more consistent rate and have chipped away at the Vegas Golden Knights lead for first place in the Pacific division standings. On Thursday night, the Oilers have the opportunity to secure their fifth win a row as their offense skates circles around a Pittsburgh defense who ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Speaking of defensive production, the Oilers back line have quietly been one of the more formidable units in the league as they rank second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their ability to lessen the quality of opposing Shots on Goal has helped Stuart Skinner round back into form as the Oilers starting goalie continues to climb up the board in average Goals Against per game. With clear advantages on both sides of the ice, expect the Oilers to win in regulation and cover the puck line.
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With the Penguins back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their low mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, Connor McDavid will have the opportunity to remain aggressive in his efforts of pressuring the net. Especially with Zach Hyman back from injury as his right wing will help stretch out their coverage and create higher quality shooting lanes for McDavid to exploit.
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