After getting off to a slow start, the Dallas Stars have hit their stride and are climbing back up the Central division standings. With the Colorado Avalanche hot on their tails, the Stars need to sustain their high level of play in order to secure one of the three auto berths in the playoffs. Fortunately for Dallas, they have the opportunity to add to their point total by skating circles around the New York Rangers' underwhelming defense.
At the same time as their puck drop, we also focus on the matchup between Edmonton and Boston as the Oilers defense are in a favorable position to put together a dominant performance against the lowly Bruins offense. Edmonton’s back line has quietly put together a dominant 2024-2025 campaign as the Oilers defense currently ranks second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
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Heading into the season, the Dallas Stars were projected to be one of the best teams in the league per their preseason odds to win the Stanley Cup. After a sluggish start to the year, the Stars have started to look the part as they enter the contest ranked top-4 in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their goaltending has also been excellent as Jake Oettinger ranks sixth overall in average Goals Against per game while generating a .910 Save Percentage.
While the Stars have lived up to expectations, the New York Rangers have severely underwhelmed as they are currently out of the playoff picture. Their lack of defensive production has played a major role in their struggles as the Rangers' back line currently ranks 31st overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With minimal support from their defense, the Rangers are prone to falling quickly behind on the scoreboard while their own front line will struggle to crack the Stars' stout coverage.
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Even though the Stars have started to round back into form, Calder Memorial Trophy contender Logan Stankoven has yet to break out of his slump. Even during his cold stretch of play, Stankoven has still excelled at pressuring the net as he currently averages 0.28 Expected Goals and 2.69 Shots on Goal per game. Against the Rangers lackluster defense, expect Stankoven to generate a high amount of shots towards their net while weaving through their back line.
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Speaking of Stanley Cup contenders, the Edmonton Oilers are also in the midst of a hot stretch of play by winning their last three contests in a row. While their offense hogs most of the spotlight due to their abundance of star power, the Oilers defense have quietly been one of the more formidable units in the league as their back line currently ranks second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Their defensive production will be on full display against Boston as the Bruins offense has struggled to play at a competitive level. Heading into Tuesday, the Bruins front line ranks 21st overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.96 Expected Goals per game. Their offense suffers from a lack of versatility as only three players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. With not enough talent to stretch out Edmonton’s coverage, expect the Bruins offense to continue to underwhelm.
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Since returning from injury, Zach Hyman has seemingly picked up from where he left off as he currently leads the team in Expected Goals with an average of 0.50 per game. While the Bruins defense does rank top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, Hyman should still be able to generate high-quality scoring opportunities as his surrounding cast stretches out their coverage. Jeremy Swayman has also continued to struggle as the Bruins starting goalie is averaging nearly three Goals Against per game.
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