Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Rangers Defense

Since the start of the year, the New York Rangers defense has struggled to play at a competitive level as they currently rank near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Against the reigning Stanley Cup champions, expect the Rangers defense to continue to underwhelm as they face off against a Florida offense who has started to generate Expected Goals at a more consistent rate.

Later in the night, we pair the Winnipeg Jets with the Utah Hockey Club in a two team moneyline parlay as both teams possess some key advantages over their opponents. Winnipeg’s offense will have the opportunity to build on their momentum as they face off against a Nashville Predators back line who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Utah meanwhile, faces off against a Seattle squad who struggles to generate any production on both sides of the ice.

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New York Rangers vs. Florida Panthers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Florida Panthers Team Total Over 3.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After bringing back a majority of their roster that led them to the Eastern Conference Finals, the New York Rangers defense have yet to round back into form as they currently rank 30th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.52 Expected Goals Against per game. A massive difference from last year’s results as they finished their 2023-2024 campaign ranked 13th in the same previously mentioned metric.

Even former Vezina Trophy winner Igor Shesterkin has not been able to mask their low level of play with his own individual production as the star goalie continues to trickle down the board in average Goals Against per game. Against Florida, Shesterkin may continue to find himself under relentless pressure as the Panthers offense excels at creating high quality shooting lanes with their versatility as their above league average mark in Expected Goals For in All Situations indicates.

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Matthew Tkachuk Anytime Goalscorer (+165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

As for who will do the scoring for the Panthers, Matthew Tkachuk is worth a wager as he has been their most consistent source of offensive production as he leads the team in Expected Goals with an average of 0.41 per game. With his line mates Sam Bennett and Carter Verhaeghe also excelling at generating high quality Shots on Goal, the Rangers back line will be stretched out in coverage which creates higher quality shooting lanes for Tkachuk to exploit.

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Nashville Predators vs. Winnipeg Jets - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

Winnipeg Jets / Utah Hockey Club ML Parlay (+205) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After steadily regressing over the past few weeks of play, the Winnipeg Jets defense will have the opportunity to shake out of their slump by smothering a Nashville Predators front line who ranks 17th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Especially with Connor Hellebuyck anchoring their net as the Jets goalie continues to play at a high level as he enters the contest leading the league in average Goals Against per game while generating a .928 Save Percentage.

As for Utah, they have an opportunity to consistently generate high quality scoring chances as they face off against a Seattle back line who struggles to defend their net. Heading into Monday, Seattle’s defense ranks 26th overall in Expected Goals Against with an average of 3.26 Expected Goals Against per game. Seattle’s offense also severely underwhelms in their efforts of generating Expected Goals, leaving them prone to falling quickly behind on the scoreboard should Utah take control of the middle of the ice.

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Kyle Connor Anytime Goalscorer (+120) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Turning our attention back towards Winnipeg, Kyle Connor is in a great position to score his 23rd goal of the season as one of the focal points of the Jets offense. Connor has excelled at pressuring the net this season as he enters the contest averaging 0.38 Expected Goals and 3.35 Shots on Goal per game. With his supporting cast starting to generate Expected Goals at a more consistent rate, Connor gets the benefit of weaving through wider gaps in coverage for higher quality scoring opportunities as well.

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