After bringing back a majority of their roster that led them to the Eastern Conference Finals, the New York Rangers were expected to be one of the best teams in the league due to their continuity. That has yet to be the case as the Rangers are currently out of the playoff picture as of writing. Luckily for New York, they will have the opportunity to climb back up the wildcard standings in a favorable matchup against the lowly Buffalo Sabres.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the only other game on Wednesday’s slate with the Anaheim Ducks facing off against the Ottawa Senators. Expect plenty of offense in their contest as both defenses currently rank well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. That creates the perfect opportunity to escalator bet the full game total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.
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Even with continuity on their side, it has not helped the Rangers get off to a hot start as they are currently in fifth place in the Metropolitan division standings and out of the playoff picture. Their lack of defensive production has played a major role in their struggles this season as the Rangers currently rank 28th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.40 Expected Goals Against per game.
While the Rangers' defense has struggled, their offense has thrived as their front line currently ranks fourth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Heading into Wednesday, their offense will have the opportunity to generate another high amount of Shots on Goal as they face off against a Buffalo Sabres defense who struggles to defend their net. With minimal support from their own back line, expect the Rangers' offense to light up the board in order to secure the win and salvage their playoff hopes.
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It’s been a relatively quiet stretch of play for Filip Chytil since making his return from injury as the Rangers forward has only generated one total point and six Shots on Goal in his last five outings. A sharp contrast from his previous play as Chytil averages 0.26 Expected Goals and 2.15 Shots on Goal per game. Against the Sabres, Chytil may revert back to his season averages as he skates circles around a back line who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
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It’s been an abysmal start to the year for the Anaheim Ducks and Ottawa Senators as both clubs are currently in the bottom half of their respective division standings. Starting with Anaheim, defensive production has been practically non-existent for the Ducks this season as their back line currently ranks dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.
That bodes well for the Ottawa Senators as a majority of their offense has struggled with generating high-quality Shots on Goal this season as only Brady Tkachuk is averaging more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game this season. Their lack of versatility has handicapped their ability to spread out opposing defenses, resulting in a below-league-average mark in Expected Goals For in All Situations. With the Ducks struggling to defend their net, expect Ottawa to match their scoring pace in a potentially high-scoring affair.
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Speaking of a lack of versatility, only Frank Vatrano averages more than 0.40 Expected Goals and 3 Shots on Goal per game for Anaheim’s offense. While Ottawa’s defense has performed much better than their offense, their back line still struggles to defend their net at a competitive level as the Senators rank 19th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Senators struggling to plug their own gaps in coverage, expect Vatrano to remain aggressive and continue to generate high-quality Shots on Goal.
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