After scoring four goals in a win over the New Jersey Devils, the Colorado Avalanche offense will have the opportunity to build on their momentum as they face off against the lowly Pittsburgh Penguins. Especially with Pittsburgh’s back line struggling to play at a competitive level as the Penguins defense ranks near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.
We then turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Kings as their defense gets the opportunity to neutralize a New York Islanders offense who struggles with generating high quality Shots on Goal as their bottom ten mark in Expected Goals For in All Situations indicates. That puts the Kings in a favorable position to continue their climb up the Pacific division standings after winning their last five games in a row.
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It’s been a rough start to the year for the Pittsburgh Penguins defense as they currently rank near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.45 Expected Goals Against per game. Their lack of production in net has played a major role in their low marks on defense as both Alex Nedeljkovic and Joel Blomqvist average over three Goals Against per game while possessing a combined Save Percentage of .893.
Against Colorado, expect the Penguins defensive woes to persist as they get the unfortunate task of having to defend against a versatile Avs offense with seven players averaging more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. Their versatility spells disaster for Pittsburgh as their defense will be stretched out thin in an attempt to stay in front of the puck. That will potentially widen their gaps in coverage while creating higher quality shooting lanes for Colorado in the process.
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Since making his return from injury, Arrturi Lehkonen has wasted no time in his efforts of generating offensive production as the Avs forward is currently averaging 0.54 Expected Goals and 2.12 Shots on Goal per game. Against the Penguins underwhelming coverage, Lehkonen will have the opportunity to be more aggressive in his efforts of pressuring the net. Especially with Hart Memorial Trophy contender Nathan MacKinnon commanding defensive attention, freeing up space for Lehkonen to exploit.
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While the Penguins back line has severely underwhelmed this season, the Los Angeles Kings have backed a majority of their success on the shoulders of their defense as they pace the league in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. On Tuesday night, the Kings defense will have the opportunity to maintain their top ranked mark in Expected Goals Against as the New York Islanders offense continues to struggle with creating high quality scoring opportunities.
Even with no confirmation as for who will get the starting nod in net as of writing, the Kings can expect to receive a high level of individual production from their goaltending as both David Rittich and Darcy Kuemper have excelled at walling off opposing Shots on Goal this season. Expect either goalie to maintain their current top-10 mark in Goals Against per game as they get the benefit of their back line lessening the quality of shots being sent towards them.
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As one of the Kings few consistent sources of offensive production, Kevin Fiala will need to continue to be aggressive in his efforts of scrambling the opposing coverage as he receives minimal support from his surrounding cast. Other than Adrian Kempe, no one else averages more than 0.30 Expected Goals and 2.50 Shots on Goal per game. Fortunately for Fiala, the Islanders back line has struggled with smothering opposing shot attempts as they rank 17th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
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