Even though the New Jersey Devils are tied with the Washington Capitals for first place in the Metropolitan division standings, they are still in desperate need of sparking a hot stretch of play as they are behind them in point percentage. Fortunately for the Devils, they catch Seattle on the second half of a back-to-back and are in a position to skate circles around their underwhelming defense.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Minnesota Wild as they look to create some separation from the Winnipeg Jets for first place in the Central division standings with a favorable matchup against the Anaheim Ducks. Generating offensive production will be a struggle for the Ducks anemic offense, especially with Vezina Trophy contender Filip Gustavsson anchoring Minnesota’s net.
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Now that health is back on their side, the New Jersey Devils have shown why they are listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Stanley Cup as they are one of the few teams in the league who rank above league average in both Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with their pair of goalies playing at a very high level as Jacob Markstrom and Jake Allen rank top-25 in Goals Against per game while possessing a combined Save Percentage of .907.
With their goalies excelling at walling off opposing Shots on Goal while their back line lessens the quality of their shot attempts, the Seattle Kraken will be hard pressed in their efforts of matching the Devils scoring pace. Especially when their front line already struggles with creating high quality scoring opportunities as the Kraken enter the contest ranked 22nd overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.89 Expected Goals per game.
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Against the Kraken, the Devils front line may receive an uptick in Shots on Goal as they skate circles around a defense who struggles in coverage. As of writing, the Kraken back line ranks well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. That bodes well for the Devils Timo Meier who excels at generating pressure as he averages 3.15 Shots on Goal per game, now in a position to improve on that mark against a defense who allows pucks to be sent towards their net at a high rate.
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Speaking of defense, the Minnesota Wild continue to excel on that side of the ice as they currently rank second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.64 Expected Goals Against per game. Vezina Trophy contender Filip Gustavsson plays a major role in their high rank on defense as the star goalie is averaging just 2.04 Goals Against per game while generating a .929 Save Percentage.
On Friday night, the star goalie will have the opportunity to strengthen his case for the Vezina Trophy award as he walls off a Ducks offense who struggles to generate high quality Shots on Goal. Heading into Friday, only Frank Vatrano averages more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game for the Anaheim Ducks. With a lack of versatility, expect the Ducks front line to struggle with exploiting the gaps in Minnesota’s coverage and be held to minimal scoring opportunities.
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Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, generating Shots on Goal will be a struggle for the Ducks offense as they face off against a Minnesota defense who excels at smothering opposing shot attempts. That spells disaster for Alex Killorn who already underwhelms in his efforts of getting the puck towards the net as he enters the contest averaging just 1.50 Shots on Goal per game. Against a Wild defense who excels in coverage, expect another underwhelming outing from the Ducks forward.
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