Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade the Predators Offense Against Toronto

After reclaiming the lead for first in the Atlantic division standings, the Toronto Maple Leafs have the opportunity to create more separation from the rest of the pack in a favorable matchup against the Nashville Predators. Especially with their defense smothering opposing shot attempts at a high rate, now getting the opportunity to build on their hot stretch of play against a Predators offense who ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations.

In the night slate, we turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Kings as their top ranked defense attempts to slow down the Dallas Stars with their suffocating coverage. Generating Shots on Goal past their coverage will be a struggle for the Stars offense, leaving Dallas prone to falling behind on the scoreboard in regulation while the Kings get the benefit of attacking their regressing defense.

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Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

Nashville Predators Team Total Under 2.5 (-106) at Caesars Sportsbook

It’s safe to say it’s been a severely underwhelming start to the season for Nashville after the Predators were one of the bigger spenders in the offseason in an attempt to bolster their offense. As of writing, the Predators are near the bottom of the Central division standings while their offense ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.01 Expected Goals per game.

Against the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Predators offensive woes are poised to persist as they face off against a back line who excels at smothering opposing shot attempts. Heading into Wednesday, the Maple Leafs defense ranks top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their goaltending has played a major role in their high marks on defense as both Joseph Woll and Anthony Stolarz rank top-4 in Goals Against per game while possessing a combined Save Percentage of .923.

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John Tavares Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-185) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Now only have the Predators offense struggled to generate a competitive level of production, but their defense has also underwhelmed as Nashville’s back line ranks 23rd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. That bodes well for the Maple Leafs John Tavares as he has excelled at pressuring opposing goalies this season, entering the contest averaging 3.43 Shots on Goal per game. With a lack of coverage, expect Tavares to get the puck towards the net at a higher rate to clear the over on this prop.

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Dallas Stars vs. Los Angeles Kings - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Los Angeles Kings 60 Minute Moneyline (+165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Los Angeles Kings defense has been in a tier above the rest this season as they comfortably pace the league in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.46 Expected Goals Against per game. Their ability to lessen the quality of Shots on Goal being sent towards their net on a nightly basis has helped their goaltenders maintain their low marks in Goals Against per game, as well as give their own offense the opportunity to to pull away on the scoreboard.

Speaking of offense, the Kings front line have quietly crept into the top half of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations and have the opportunity to build on their momentum against a Stars defense who has steadily regressed as of late. While the Stars did hold the Utah Hockey Club to just one goal in their last outing, they flirted with disaster as Utah finished the contest with an Expected Goal of 3.24. Expect negative regression to hit the Stars, giving the Kings the opportunity to win in regulation.

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Brandt Clarke Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-150) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While the Kings Brandt Clarke has struggled with generating high quality scoring opportunities, that has not stopped him in his efforts of pressuring opposing goalies as he is averaging 2.32 Shots on Goal per game. Even against the Stars regressing coverage, Clarke’s shots from the blue line will be vital as it will help scramble their coverage. Expect the defenseman to remain aggressive while comfortably clearing the over in the process.

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