After losing their last two contests, the Carolina Hurricanes are now behind the Washington Capitals in point percentage in the Metropolitan division standings. Fortunately for Carolina, they have the opportunity to round back into form in a favorable matchup against the lowly Seattle Kraken on Tuesday night. Especially while Seattle’s defense continues to struggle, now having the unfortunate task of having to defend against a Carolina offense who leads the league in Expected Goals.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Edmonton Oilers as their offense has the opportunity to sustain their high marks in Expected Goals For in All Situations against the Vegas Golden Knights. Even without Zach Hyman, the Oilers top line should still excel at generating pressure with Hart Memorial Trophy contender Connor McDavid shouldering a heavier workload.
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With the Seattle Kraken struggling to give their net proper coverage as their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates, then they will be prone to falling quickly behind on the scoreboard against the best offense in the league. Even after their slump, the Hurricanes still lead the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.89 Expected Goals per game.
Better yet for the Hurricanes, their defense will have the opportunity to continue to climb up the board in Expected Goals Against as they face off against a Kraken offense who struggles with generating high quality scoring opportunities. That puts Carolina’s starting goalie Pyotr Kochetkov in a position to thrive as he has excelled at walling off low quality Shots on Goal this season as he enters the contest averaging just 2.42 Goals Against per game while generating a .904 Save Percentage.
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Should the Hurricanes want to shake off their slump, then their offense will need to recapture the same success they had earlier in the year. That starts with Andrei Svechnikov who has been their main source of offensive production this season as he enters the contest leading the team in Expected Goals while averaging 3.25 Shots on Goal per game. With the Hurricanes offense in a position to prolong their time of possession in the Kraken zone and increase their volume in shot attempts, expect an uptick in Shots on Goal for the Hurricanes forward.
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Since the start of the season, the Edmonton Oilers have dealt with injuries to their key players. Zach Hyman is the latest to go down with an injury, leaving the Oilers void of his consistent offensive production. Fortunately for Edmonton, future hall of famer Connor McDavid has been able to mask his loss of production by being more aggressive in his efforts of pressuring opposing goalies. In his last five appearances, McDavid has generated an astonishing 10 points on 5 goals and 5 assists.
With McDavid helping the Oilers maintain their top-10 marks in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play, Edmonton’s offense will have the opportunity to put up points on the board against a Vegas Golden Knights defense who ranks 24th overall in Expected Goals Against. Their lack of protection leaves their starting goalie Adin Hill prone to getting beat by the Oilers versatile offense, especially if McDavid continues to command defensive attention which creates wider gaps in the Golden Knights coverage.
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As previously mentioned, Zach Hyman’s absence may result in more shot attempts for Connor McDavid as he shoulders a heavier workload to help keep the Oilers offense afloat. McDavid already excels at generating high quality scoring opportunities as he averages an astonishing 0.58 Expected Goals per game, now in a position to improve on that mark even more with an uptick in Shots on Goal.
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