With a lower point percentage than the Washington Capitals and Carolina Hurricanes, the New Jersey Devils are in desperate need of sparking a hot stretch of play should they want to remain near the top of the Metropolitan division standings. Heading into Monday, their offense will have the opportunity to build some momentum as they face off against the New York Rangers who continue to concede high quality Shots on Goal towards their net.
Shortly after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Toronto Maple Leafs as they look to leap over the Florida Panthers in the Atlantic division standings with a win over the lowly Chicago Blackhawks. With advantages on both sides of the ice, the Maple Leafs are in a great position to secure a sizable win and cover the puck line in the process.
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After a hot start to the season, the New York Rangers have started to trend in the wrong direction as they continue to trickle down the Metropolitan division standings. Their defense is largely to blame for their recent struggles as the Rangers back line currently ranks 29th overall in Expected Goals Against in All SItuations. Their lack of coverage has also started to affect Vezina Trophy contender Igor Shesterkin as the Rangers goalie has crashed down the board in average Goals Against per game.
Against New Jersey, Shesterkin may find himself under relentless pressure as the Devils front line excels at generating high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate. Heading into Monday, the Devils offense ranks third overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.68 Expected Goals per game. With the Devils expected to reside in the Rangers zone for prolonged periods of time, expect their uptick in shot attempts to result in more goals on the board.
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Nico Hischier continues to excel at pressuring opposing goalies as he enters the contest leading the Devils in Expected Goals while averaging 2.85 Shots on Goal per game. With his left wing Timo Meier commanding defensive attention, Hischier gets the benefit of feeding off of him while exploiting the gaps in coverage. With the Rangers struggling to shift their coverage to stay in front of the puck, expect Hischier to continue to generate high quality Shots on Goal.
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While just one point back from the reigning Stanley Cup champions, the Toronto Maple Leafs have the opportunity to leap over them for first place in the Atlantic division standings should they secure the win over the Chicago Blackhawks. That puts the Maple Leafs in a great position to shake up the division title picture as the Blackhawks offense continues to severely underwhelm, entering the contest ranked dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
The Blackhawks woes on offense are poised to persist as they face off against a Maple Leafs defense who ranks sixth overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and second in 5-on-5 Play. Their pair of goalies have played a major role in their high marks on defense as both Anthony Stolarz and Joseph Woll rank top-5 in Goals Against per game while possessing a combined Save Percentage of .922. Expect their defense to continue to thrive, holding the Blackhawks under their team total.
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Not only do the Blackhawks struggle on offense, but their back line has been nearly just as poor as their defense ranks 26th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.31 Expected Goals Against per game. That creates an opportunity for the Maple Leafs to secure a sizable win on Monday night, setting a scoring pace too fast for the Blackhawks to keep up with while routinely exploiting Chicago’s gaps in coverage.
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