After entering the year as one of the betting favorites to win the Atlantic division title, the Boston Bruins have severely underwhelmed as they are currently in fifth place with just 23 total points. Their lack of offensive production has played a major role in their struggles as they rank well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Against the Canucks, expect the Bruins offense to continue to struggle as they face off against one of the best back lines in the league.
While generating offensive production may be a hassle for the Vancouver Canucks and Boston Bruins, the Montreal Canadiens and Utah Hockey Club could provide us a high scoring affair as both offenses get the benefit of skating circles around two horrific defenses. That helps boost the chances of Cole Caufield netting his 13th goal of the season as he gets to pressure a Utah back line who ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
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The Vancouver Canucks offense have also struggled to generate high quality Shots on Goal as their front line ranks near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Fortunately for Vancouver, their defense has managed to keep them competitive as their back line ranks third overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.68 Expected Goals Against per game.
Against Boston, the Canucks defense will have the opportunity to continue to play at a high level as they face off against a Bruins offense who ranks 20th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations and 30th in 5-on-5 Play. Other than Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak, no one on the Bruins averages more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game. With a lack of versatility, expect the Bruins to struggle to stretch out the Canucks coverage while firing the puck into low quality shooting lanes.
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While the Canucks Quinn Hughes has struggled to generate high quality shots towards the net, that has not stopped him in his efforts of creating pressure from the blue line as the defenseman is averaging 3.47 Shots on Goal per game. Against a Bruins defense who excels in coverage, Hughes will need to continue to send the puck from deep in an attempt to scramble their coverage. When scrambled, Hughes may have the opportunity to exploit the gaps in front of their net and clock in a Shot on Goal.
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With the Utah’s back line continuing to regress, the Montreal Canadiens offense will have the opportunity to play at a competitive level as they currently average just 2.81 Expected Goals per game. That bodes well for Montreal’s Cole Caufield as he is the Canadiens lone source of offensive production, entering the contest leading the team in both Expected Goals and Shots on Goal per game.
With Caufield poised to receive an uptick in shot attempts, his chances of scoring a goal also increases. Especially when matched up against a Utah defense who ranks 23rd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations while their starting goalie continues to struggle with walling off low quality Shots on Goal. Heading into Tuesday, Connor Ingram is averaging an astonishing 3.61 Goals Against per game while generating a lowly Save Percentage of .871.
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Calder Memorial Trophy contender Lane Hutson has underwhelmed in his efforts of generating Shots on Goal this season as he has settled into more of a facilitating role from the Canadiens back line. As of writing, Hutson is averaging just 0.07 Expected Goals and 0.95 Shots on Goal per game. Even with Utah’s back line struggling to cover their net, expect Hutson to stay under this total as he uses his positioning to set up gap exploiting passes instead of Shots on Goal.
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