Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Fade the Wild Offense Without Kirill Kaprizov

After the injury to Hart Memorial Trophy contender Kirill Kaprizov, the Minnesota Wild are poised to regress as he was the focal point of their offense. Generating offensive production was already a struggle for the Wild as they enter the contest ranked well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Against Winnipeg, expect Minnesota’s offense to continue to underwhelm as they are set to face off against the reigning Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck and the vaunted Jets defense.

Before that takes place, we turn our attention towards the New York Rangers as they look to bounce back in a big way against the lowly St. Louis Blues. Like the Wild, the Blues have also been abysmal in their efforts of generating offensive production as they currently rank 32nd in Expected Goals For in All Situations. That bodes well for the Rangers defense as they struggle with smothering opposing shot attempts, giving their back line the opportunity to round back into form against a lackluster offense.

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Winnipeg Jets vs. Minnesota Wild - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Minnesota Wild Team Total Under 3 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While generating offensive production was already a struggle when Kirill Kaprizov was on the ice, the Wild are now prone to harsh regression after losing their main source of Expected Goals to injury. Heading into Monday, the Wild front line are ranked 23rd overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 2.88 Expected Goals per game.

Against the front runners for the Presidents’ Trophy, the Minnesota Wild will struggle to generate high quality Shots on Goal as the Winnipeg Jets back line excels at smothering opposing shot attempts. As of writing, the Jets defense ranks near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With their back line giving their star goaltender Connor Hellebuyck elite coverage, the reigning Vezina Trophy award winner has a great opportunity to stone wall the anemic Wild offense.

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Gabriel Vilardi Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-195) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Not only are the Wild expected to struggle with generating Shots on Goal, but the Jets front line may find it equally as challenging as Minnesota’s defense ranks second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. The Jets Gabriel Vilardi has already severely lacked in regard to sending the puck towards the net as he averages just 1.86 Shots on Goal per game. Against the Wild’s elite coverage, expect Vilardi to continue to underwhelm while trying to weave the puck through low quality shooting lanes.

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St. Louis Blues vs. New York Rangers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

New York Rangers Puck Line -1.5 (+115) at Caesars Sportsbook

After two straight losses, the New York Rangers are in desperate need of stopping their decline down the Metropolitan division standings. Luckily for the Rangers, they have the opportunity to round back into form as they are set to face off against the lowly St. Louis Blues. Especially on defense, as the Blues front line enters the contest ranked near dead last in both Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play.

With the Rangers defense in a position to finally give their offense the production they need to be a well rounded contender, New York will have the chanceto win by a sizable margin and cover the puke line. Especially when their front line continues to pace a majority of the league in Expected Goals, possessing more than enough production to break down a Blues defense who ranks 24th overall in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 play with an average of 2.12 Expected Goals Against per game.

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Jacob Trouba Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, Jacob Trouba should receive an uptick in Shots on Goal from the Rangers back line as New York will have the opportunity to prolong their time spent in the Blues zone. With more time spent on offense, the Rangers should see a boost in shot attempts to help increase the chances of turning them into a Shot on Goal on the stat sheet.

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