Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back the Capitals Offense Against the Reeling Predators

Even though there is still plenty of season left to be played, the Washington Capitals metrics back up their hot start to the year as they are one of the few teams who rank above league average in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Heading into Wednesday, the Capitals offense has the opportunity to build on their momentum as they get a favorable matchup against a Nashville back line who ranks 19th overall in Expected Goals Against.

A little after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers as the Stanley Cup betting favorites look to round back into form after getting shut out by the New Jersey Devils. With three time Hart Memorial Trophy winner Connor McDavid still out with an injury, expect Zach Hyman to be more aggressive in his efforts of creating high quality Shots on Goal to help mask McDavid’s loss of offensive production.

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Nashville Predators vs. Washington Capitals - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Washington Capitals Team Total Over 3 (-120) at BetMGM

Heading into the year, the Washington Capitals were projected to finish in the middle of the pack in the Metropolitan division standings while jockeying for one of the last wildcard spots. Eleven games into the year and the 8-3-0 Capitals are just two points back from the first. Their advanced metrics also back up their success as the Capitals currently rank top-6 in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations.

Against the Predators, the Capitals offense will have the opportunity to continue to succeed as Nashville’s defense ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. A shocking level of play when their starting goalie Juuse Saros averages just 2.83 Goals Against, yet his back line does him no favors as they struggle to smother opposing shot attempts. With the Capitals excelling at creating high quality scoring opportunities, expect their front line to take advantage of the Predators lack of coverage.

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Alex Ovechkin Anytime Goalscorer (+150) at FanDuel

Correlating this prop with the previously mentioned one, the Predators lack of coverage shades value towards the Capitals anytime goalscorer market. That puts future hall of famer Alex Ovechkin in a position to continue to add to his legendary career stat line as he is arguably one of the best gap exploiters in the league. Even in his twilight years, Ovechkin still excels at creating high quality Shots on Goal as he is averaging 0.41 Expected Goals per game.

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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers - Prop Bets (8:30 PM, EST)

Zach Hyman Anytime Goalscorer (+145) at FanDuel

While Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl hog most of the spotlight as the focal points of the Edmonton Oilers offense, Zach Hyman continues to quietly generate high quality scoring opportunities by averaging 0.52 Expected Goals per game. A shockingly high mark in Expected Goals while only averaging 2.69 Shots on Goal per game, indicating Hyman excels at maximizing on his minimal scoring opportunities by putting himself in the best position possible to fire the puck at the net.

Unfortunately for Hyman, his high mark in Expected Goals has yet to translate to actual goals as he has only found the back of the net twice this year. That indicates positive regression is looming large, especially when matched up against a defense that struggles to wall off opposing shot attempts as the Vegas Golden Knights back line enters the contest ranked 20th overall in Expected Goals Against in All SItuations.

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Zach Hyman First Goalscorer (+1100) at FanDuel

For a little extra fun, also sprinkle a small wager on Zach Hyman to be the first goal scorer between the Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers. With Connor McDavid still out with an injury, Hyman may be tasked with shouldering a heavier workload to help mask the loss of McDavid’s production. Edmonton’s defense has also managed to play at a high level as their top-10 mark in Expected Goals Against indicates, shading value in the first goalscorer market towards the Oilers as the Golden Knights will struggle to pressure the Oilers net.

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